Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7% Move

$185.96 +2.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.61

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is H stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $185.96 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $16.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, H ranks #608 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does H compare to HTHT and LVS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), H carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HTHT (H World Group Limited) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 66.8%, cap $14.66B) and LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 36.2%, cap $23.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for H?
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Per H's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468174), Hyatt Hotels Corporation generated $7.10B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$52.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $14.04B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.61 (+0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$217 Bull$177 Base$138 Bear
📬 FREE H RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for H)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY H SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($159.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$160.32+11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$178.61-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$173.35+7.3% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$185.96-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a H Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While H currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($166.03) and Max Pain ($195.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $217.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $H• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “H Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7% Swing Band

±$13.02 Expected Swing
$172.94 (-7%)Spot $185.96$198.98 (+7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

H Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.55 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.8%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$7.10B-$52.0M$159.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$6.65B$1.30B$463.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$6.67B$220.0M$500.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring H)

  • ✓Walkthrough of H's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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H // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.87%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $184.3H $186.0L $180.6C $186.0VOL 986.5K
RES: $186.5SUP: $144.1SMA50: $166.0SMA200: $170.0
$210.6$195.0$179.3$163.6$148.0RES $186.5SUP $144.1$186.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

H Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on H today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for H. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for H today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (H)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #608 of 1011 ⚔️ HTHT vs H Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (H vs. HTHT, LVS, IHG, LTH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) ranks #608 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #111 by equity capitalization ($16.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while HTHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 66.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HTHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with H at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
H ACTIVE
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
D 47/100 — — -0.7% +2.99% $16.86B Benchmark Subject
HTHT
H World Group Limited
B 74/100 19.9x — 66.8% +1.62% $14.66B /htht-vs-h →
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
D+ 56/100 14.3x — 36.2% +3.33% $23.18B /lvs-vs-h →
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group American
C+ 66/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.27% $24.70B /ihg-vs-h →
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 27.1x 47.6% 8.6% -2.84% $10.13B /lth-vs-h →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001468174

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) reported GAAP revenue of $7.10B (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.65B , and +6.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.0M, operating cash flow of $379.0M, and free cash flow of $159.0M (-65.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, H closed FY2025 with $14.04B in total assets against $4.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.10B -$52.0M $379.0M $159.0M $14.04B $4.27B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.65B $1.30B $633.0M $463.0M $13.32B $3.33B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.67B $220.0M $800.0M $500.0M $9.55B $2.23B

3. H Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is H stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $185.96 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $16.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, H ranks #608 in composite RQD confidence.

How does H compare to HTHT and LVS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), H carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HTHT (H World Group Limited) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 66.8%, cap $14.66B) and LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 36.2%, cap $23.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for H?

Per H's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468174), Hyatt Hotels Corporation generated $7.10B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$52.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $14.04B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is H trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

H last traded at $185.96 (+2.99% on volume of 1,202,481 shares), positioning the stock +12.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($166.03) and +9.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($170.00). Across its 52-week range of $134.18 to $206.86, H sits at the 71.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($172.94 to $198.98).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

H — Hyatt Hotels Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:12Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

H scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC -0.7%; FCF yield 0.92%), Whale/13F Flow at 15 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7 of 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8 of 20 (Altman Z 1.78; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1.28).

For a prospective investor, the pillar mix shows the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning, the strongest pillar at 15 of 20. The weakest economic signals are the cash engine and insider conviction, and the cash engine is the core concern: negative ROIC paired with a 0.92% FCF yield implies limited current cash generation relative to the share price. The forensic reading (Altman Z 1.78, Piotroski F 5/9) sits in a middling-to-weak zone that warrants caution rather than comfort. The Beta of 1 and the Macro Regime Fit score of 7 of 20 indicate that sector sensitivity is not a source of support in this framework. Forward P/E of 32 is shown in the snapshot; the source does not provide a trailing P/E or EV/EBITDA to test valuation further. This is an analytical summary of the factors in the scoring, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Hotels/Resorts industry. The profile identifies the company as a hotel and resort operator with a market capitalization of $17.4B. Further detail on the business model is —

Revenue rose from $6.67B in FY 2023 to $7.10B in FY 2025, while FY 2025 operating income and net income turned negative at -$61.4M and -$52.0M. Gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -0.9%, and net margin is -0.7%, with ROIC at -0.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.78 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt rose from $2.23B in FY 2023 to $4.27B in FY 2025 against cash of $787.0M, and the RQD rating reports Debt/Equity of 1.28.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional positioning is the strongest RQD pillar at 15 of 20, and the stock closed up 6.32% with volume of 1670398. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC -0.7%, FCF yield 0.92%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $134.18 – $206.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: FY 2025 turned to an operating loss of -$61.4M and net loss of -$52.0M with ROIC at -0.7% and a 0.92% FCF yield. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.9% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided material.

  • Key Question #1: What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, given both are unavailable and forward P/E is 32 against negative trailing EPS?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the swing from FY 2024 net income of $1.30B to FY 2025 net loss of -$52.0M, and how much of it is recurring?
  • Key Question #3: What is the size and identity of the insider sale referenced in the MarketScreener item, and do other Form 4 filings support or offset it?

H Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to H Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

H Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $185.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON H 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on H:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.30 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional positioning is the strongest RQD pillar at 15 of 20, and the stock closed up 6.32% with volume of 1670398.

Picked up a starter position in H in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $180.57. Institutional positioning is the strongest RQD pillar at 15 of 20, and the stock closed up 6.32% with volume of 1670398.. Trading inside a $134.73–$206.86 52-week range with 0.92% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Hotels/Resorts multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 32.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hotels/Resorts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $148.07 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $180.57

FY 2025 turned to an operating loss of -$61.4M and net loss of -$52.0M with ROIC at -0.7% and a 0.92% FCF yield.

Fading this rally in H at $180.57. FY 2025 turned to an operating loss of -$61.4M and net loss of -$52.0M with ROIC at -0.7% and a 0.92% FCF yield.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $180.57 (52-wk range $134.73–$206.86), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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