What is GWW's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GWW.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GWW / options

NATL (55) PBI (63) DBD (51) VYX (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1,377.66 +1.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,384.34

W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $64.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GWW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GWW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, W.W. Grainger Inc. (NYSE: GWW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $1,377.66 (+1.36% 1D, market cap $64.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GWW ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GWW compare to NATL and PBI in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), GWW carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.9x, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of 35.8%. By comparison, NATL (NCR Atleos Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $3.39B) and PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC —, cap $2.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PBI leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while GWW leads on capital efficiency (35.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GWW?

▼

Per GWW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000277135), W.W. Grainger Inc. generated $17.94B in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $1.71B in net income, and $1.33B in free cash flow against $8.96B in total assets and $2.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,384.27 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GWW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GWW SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 14.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.4% FCF Margin ($1.33B FCF) & 39.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.1) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$1,330.62+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$1,351.87-0.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$1,340.76+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$1,377.66+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GWW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, GWW faces multiple-compression risk if 37.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,304.18) or 200D SMA ($1,241.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,495.45) toward Bear Floor ($1,129.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GWW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GWW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GWW)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GWW.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GWW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GWW
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GWW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.62%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $1,371.9H $1,377.7L $1,359.2C $1,377.7VOL 237.7K

RES: $1,387.5SUP: $1,219.3SMA50: $1,304.2SMA200: $1,241.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GWW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GWW Butterfly Map → + Track GWW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

29.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GWW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GWW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GWW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GWW)

Industrials Rank #8 of 485 ⚔️ NATL vs GWW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GWW vs. NATL, PBI, DBD, VYX)

Industry: Office Equipment/Supplies/Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #25 by equity capitalization ($64.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PBI leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while GWW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.8% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. GWW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GWW ACTIVE W.W. Grainger Inc.	B+	77/100	37.9x	39.1%	35.8%	+1.36%	$64.02B	Benchmark Subject
NATL NCR Atleos Corporation	D+	55/100	20.9x	—	14.4%	+1.86%	$3.39B	/natl-vs-gww →
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc.	C	63/100	15.6x	—	—	-1.16%	$2.21B	/pbi-vs-gww →
DBD Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated	D	51/100	21.0x	25.3%	11.5%	+1.82%	$1.85B	/dbd-vs-gww →
VYX NCR Voyix Corporation	E	32/100	18.3x	—	1.1%	+5.19%	$1.17B	/vyx-vs-gww →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000277135

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) reported GAAP revenue of $17.94B (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.17B , and +8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.71B, operating cash flow of $2.02B, and free cash flow of $1.33B (-15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GWW closed FY2025 with $8.96B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 14.74, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.94B	$1.71B	$2.02B	$1.33B	$8.96B	$2.36B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.17B	$1.91B	$2.11B	$1.57B	$8.83B	$2.28B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$16.48B	$1.83B	$2.03B	$1.29B	$35.54B	$8.32B

3. GWW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GWW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GWW compare to NATL and PBI in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GWW?

Where is GWW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GWW last traded at $1,377.66 (+1.36% on volume of 263,279 shares), positioning the stock +5.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,304.18) and +10.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,241.22). Across its 52-week range of $906.52 to $1,419.91, GWW sits at the 91.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($1,314.29 to $1,441.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: GWW RQD Cockpit GWW 12M Forecast GWW Earnings & Move GWW Dividends & DRIP GWW Insiders & 13F GWW Whale Options GWW Profit Sankey GWW News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GWW — W.W. Grainger Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 77/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $1,377.66 (+1.36% 1D, market capitalization $64.02B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 35.8%, gross margin of 39.1%, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.06%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 14.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.63x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the Industrials sector and Office Equipment/Supplies/Services industry classification in the profile, W.W. Grainger Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. Per the financials, the company generated revenue of $17.94B in FY 2025, indicating a large-scale operating base. — for the specific monetization model beyond the reported revenue, operating income, and net income figures.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) reported $17.94B in annual revenue (up from $17.17B in FY2024, +4.5% YoY) and $1.71B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($16.48B revenue, $1.83B net income) through FY2025, GWW scaled operating cash flow to $2.02B and free cash flow to $1.33B, backed by $8.96B in total assets against $2.36B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 77/100): Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $906.52 – $1,419.91 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 37.9x trailing P/E and 21.6x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is the Industrials / Office Equipment/Supplies/Services classification. An investor should note that the RQD macro regime pillar (12 / 20) is the area most exposed to sector sensitivity, but the source does not quantify the mechanism.

Key Question #1: Can GWW sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 35.8% ROIC against Office Equipment/Supplies/Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.94B and free cash flow of $1.33B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.36B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GWW's 35.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

GWW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GWW Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

W.W. Grainger (GWW): Strong Beat-and-Raise Quarter Outweighed by Macro Sentiment Headwinds

Yahoo Finance report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 1d ago

W.W. Grainger (NYSE:GWW): A Quality Stock Passing Strict Quality Investing Tests

ChartMill report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

W.W. Grainger, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:GWW

TradingView report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why W.W. Grainger (GWW) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Yahoo Finance report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

W.W. Grainger (GWW) Declares $2.49 Quarterly Dividend Amid Strat

GuruFocus report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

$100 Invested In W.W. Grainger 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

Benzinga report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

W.W. Grainger (NYSE:GWW) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Grainger (GWW) is Growing Faster. How Much of its Margin Gain Can Last?

Yahoo Finance report covering W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GWW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,377.66?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GWW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,563.05 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 35.8% and a forensic balance sheet score of 18/20 (Altman Z 14.74, Piotroski F 8/9) point to a high-quality

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 35.8% and a forensic balance sheet score of 18/20 (Altman Z 14.74, Piotroski F 8/9) point to a high-quality cash engine.. When you look under the hood at GWW, Fundamental Cash Engine is 17/20 with 39.1% gross margins and 35.8% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1419.91. My 12M target is $1563.05.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GWW's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1,168.89 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $1,359.17

Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 37.9 and FCF yield of 2.06% leave little valuation cushion if the macro regime pillar (12/20) we

Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 37.9 and FCF yield of 2.06% leave little valuation cushion if the macro regime pillar (12/20) weakens.. Look at the math on GWW: paying 37.9x trailing P/E for 35.8% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Office Equipment/Supplies/Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1196.07 before getting long.