Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$55.05 -6.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.26

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (NYSE: DBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $55.05 (-6.92% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DBD ranks #210 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DBD compare to PBI and VYX in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), DBD carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC —, cap $2.21B) and VYX (NCR Voyix Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PBI leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while NATL leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DBD?
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Per DBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000028823), Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated generated $3.81B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $94.6M in net income, and $300.7M in free cash flow against $3.85B in total assets and $938.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.26 (-1.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$97 Bull$53 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE DBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DBD SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$65.19+4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$67.84-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$66.68-17.4% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$55.05-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DBD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DBD currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($64.66) and Max Pain ($57.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $96.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.79>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $53$55.05H: $92
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (25% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DBD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

11.5% ROIC with 25.3% gross margin and 15.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.79 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DBD
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DBD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $59.14H $59.14L $55.05C $55.05VOL 740.0K
RES: $105.8SUP: $52.32SMA50: $64.66SMA200: $74.84
$94.82$83.45$72.08$60.71$49.34RES $105.8SUP $52.32$55.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DBD)

Industrials Rank #210 of 485 ⚔️ PBI vs DBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DBD vs. PBI, VYX, NATL, PAR)

Industry: Office Equipment/Supplies/Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) ranks #210 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #214 by equity capitalization ($1.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PBI leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while NATL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with DBD at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DBD ACTIVE
Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated
D 51/100 21.0x 25.3% 11.5% -6.92% $1.85B Benchmark Subject
PBI
Pitney Bowes Inc.
C 63/100 15.6x — — -0.91% $2.21B /pbi-vs-dbd →
VYX
NCR Voyix Corporation
E 32/100 18.3x — 1.1% +3.16% $1.17B /vyx-vs-dbd →
NATL
NCR Atleos Corporation
D+ 55/100 20.9x — 14.4% +0.24% $3.39B /natl-vs-dbd →
PAR
PAR Technology Corporation
E 31/100 — 43.5% -4.9% -0.73% $730.9M /par-vs-dbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000028823

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) reported GAAP revenue of $3.81B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.75B ) , GAAP net income of $94.6M, operating cash flow of $300.7M, and free cash flow of $300.7M (+101.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DBD closed FY2025 with $3.85B in total assets against $938.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.81B $94.6M $300.7M $300.7M $3.85B $938.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.75B -$16.5M $149.2M $149.2M $3.54B $927.3M

3. DBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (NYSE: DBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $55.05 (-6.92% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DBD ranks #210 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DBD compare to PBI and VYX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), DBD carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC —, cap $2.21B) and VYX (NCR Voyix Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PBI leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while NATL leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DBD?

Per DBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000028823), Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated generated $3.81B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $94.6M in net income, and $300.7M in free cash flow against $3.85B in total assets and $938.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DBD last traded at $55.05 (-6.92% on volume of 740,002 shares), positioning the stock -14.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($64.66) and -26.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.84). Across its 52-week range of $52.87 to $92.08, DBD sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($50.37 to $59.73).

DBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DBD stock right now?

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DBD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DBD's 12-month base price target is $53.32 (range $41.59 to $96.68), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DBD — Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DBD scores 52 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 11.5%; FCF yield 15.14%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 1.79; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the cash-generation metrics and the insider-flow pillar, which score comparatively better. The weakest pillar is institutional flow, which scores 4 of 20, meaning the 13F data offers little support for the thesis. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 21 and forward P/E of 19.5 sit alongside an operating margin of 6.4% and a net margin of 2.5%, so the reported FCF yield of 15.14% is not matched by strong earnings conversion in the income statement. The combined rating points to a cautious stance rather than an endorsement.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$59.14$1.99B2119.510.62.820%1.0$52.87 - $92.0811.5%

Business

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Office Equipment/Supplies/Services industry. Per the company profile, it is a publicly traded US company with a market capitalization of $2.0B. Not available in source data: the specific products, customer segments, and revenue model details.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3805.7M$242.0M$94.6MN/A$300.7M$368.9M$938.5M
FY 2024$3751.1M$182.1M$-16.5MN/A$149.2M$296.2M$927.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3751.1M in FY 2024 to $3805.7M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-16.5M to $94.6M. Gross margin is 25.3%, operating margin 6.4%, and net margin 2.5% per the market data. ROIC is 11.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.85. Cash of $368.9M against debt of $938.5M at FY 2025 indicates a leveraged balance sheet, though the Piotroski score signals solid financial health indicators.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are headline-level and include market-wire coverage (relative time 1h ago), a Yahoo Finance report on market upswing outperformance (GREEN, 3h ago), and Seeking Alpha coverage of the 2026 Q3 results and earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-31 (6h ago). A Seeking Alpha analysis frames the upside as dependent on converting backlog into cash (12h ago). Risk watch items are limited to the source headlines; no quantified risk events are provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the gap between FY 2024 net loss of $-16.5M and FY 2025 net income of $94.6M, and how much of that improvement is recurring?
  • Why is the reported FCF yield of 15.14% so high relative to the 2.5% net margin, and how does free cash flow reconcile to reported earnings?
  • What is the composition and maturity of the $938.5M debt load against $368.9M of cash?
  • What is the status of the backlog-to-cash conversion referenced in the Seeking Alpha coverage?
  • What institutional, insider, and analyst positioning exists beyond the aggregate pillar scores?

DBD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DBD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DBD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $55.05?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DBD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DBD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $63.87 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DBD (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $59.14?

Welcome to the DBD (Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Office Equipment/Supplies/Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.49 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $59.14

Pump the brakes on DBD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DBD, but look at what you are paying: 21.0x trailing P/E with 25.3% gross margins. Unless Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $68.60 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $59.14

DBD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DBD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Office Equipment/Supplies/Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $59.14 (52-wk range $52.87 - $92.08), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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