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Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$20.22 -3.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.06

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Garrett Motion Inc. (NASDAQ: GTX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.22 (-3.30% 1D, market cap $3.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GTX ranks #345 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GTX compare to ATMU and DORM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), GTX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 20.4%, and ROIC of 69.2%. By comparison, ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 34.6%, cap $3.73B) and DORM (Dorman Products Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $4.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTX?
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Per GTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001735707), Garrett Motion Inc. generated $3.58B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $310.0M in net income, and $341.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $1.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.06 (-0.78%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (16)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$38 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE GTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GTX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($341.0M FCF) & 20.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$25.35-5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$23.93-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$22.33-9.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$20.22+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GTX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, GTX faces multiple-compression risk if 13.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.29) or 200D SMA ($25.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.31) toward Bear Floor ($15.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

GTX Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (GTX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on GTX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GTX Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.12%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $22.48H $22.48L $20.22C $20.22VOL 4.78M
RES: $24.76SUP: $22.57SMA50: $25.29SMA200: $25.46
$37.63$31.91$26.18$20.45$14.72RES $24.76SUP $22.57$20.222026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #345 of 1009 ⚔️ ATMU vs GTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GTX vs. ATMU, DORM, GNTX, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) ranks #345 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #318 by equity capitalization ($3.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. DORM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with GTX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GTX ACTIVE
Garrett Motion Inc.
C- 59/100 13.5x 20.4% 69.2% -3.30% $3.86B Benchmark Subject
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
C 62/100 18.3x 28.2% 34.6% +4.31% $3.73B /atmu-vs-gtx →
DORM
Dorman Products Inc.
C+ 68/100 19.3x 42.1% 12.9% +2.44% $4.01B /dorm-vs-gtx →
GNTX
Gentex Corporation
C 65/100 11.1x 34.2% 14.8% +3.47% $4.19B /gntx-vs-gtx →
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 — — — -0.19% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-gtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001735707 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.58B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.48B , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $310.0M, operating cash flow of $413.0M, and free cash flow of $341.0M (+7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTX closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $1.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.99, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.58B $310.0M $413.0M $341.0M $2.37B $1.41B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.48B $282.0M $408.0M $317.0M $2.28B $1.46B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.89B $261.0M $465.0M $290.1M $4.66B $1.09B

3. GTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Garrett Motion Inc. (NASDAQ: GTX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.22 (-3.30% 1D, market cap $3.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GTX ranks #345 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTX compare to ATMU and DORM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), GTX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 20.4%, and ROIC of 69.2%. By comparison, ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 34.6%, cap $3.73B) and DORM (Dorman Products Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $4.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTX?

Per GTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001735707), Garrett Motion Inc. generated $3.58B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $310.0M in net income, and $341.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $1.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTX last traded at $20.22 (-3.30% on volume of 4,158,779 shares), positioning the stock -20.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.29) and -20.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.46). Across its 52-week range of $15.54 to $36.25, GTX sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($18.56 to $21.88).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GTX — Garrett Motion Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $20.22 (-3.30% 1D, market capitalization $3.86B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 69.2%, gross margin of 20.4%, operating margin of 10.6%, and free cash flow yield of 8.13%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.95x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.99, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. Gross margin is reported at 20.4%, operating margin at 10.6%, and net margin at 8.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) reported $3.58B in annual revenue (up from $3.48B in FY2024, +3.1% YoY) and $310.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.89B revenue, $261.0M net income) through FY2025, GTX scaled operating cash flow to $413.0M and free cash flow to $341.0M, backed by $2.37B in total assets against $1.41B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (20.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.54 – $36.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 13.5x trailing P/E and 12.3x EV/EBITDA against 10.6% operating margins and a 0.95x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph returns supply chain "NONE" with empty butterfly links and empty proprietary signals, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GTX sustain or expand its 10.6% operating margin and 69.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.58B and free cash flow of $341.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.41B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GTX's 12.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.95x)?

GTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.30 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

High ROIC of 69.2% and an FCF yield of 8.13% anchor the highest-scoring pillar, supported by insider conviction at 17/20.

High ROIC of 69.2% and an FCF yield of 8.13% anchor the highest-scoring pillar, supported by insider conviction at 17/20.. When you look under the hood at GTX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 20.4% gross margins and 69.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $36.25. My 12M target is $25.30.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 0.95 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $20.91 and keeping dry powder in case we test $19.45.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.52 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $20.91

A 1.99 Altman Z-Score and 6/9 Piotroski F-Score leave the forensic balance sheet at only 12/20, with institutional flow weak at 6/20.

Fading this rally in GTX at $20.91. A 1.99 Altman Z-Score and 6/9 Piotroski F-Score leave the forensic balance sheet at only 12/20, with institutional flow weak at 6/20.. With a beta of 0.95 and the stock sitting at $20.91 (52-wk range $15.54–$36.25), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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