ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Materials / GRO
FEAM (38) ABAT (29) SND (52) IONR (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.69 -0.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $105.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GRO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Brazil Potash Corp. (NYSE: GRO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $105.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GRO ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GRO compare to FEAM and ABAT in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), GRO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FEAM (5E Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.6M) and ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $201.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRO?
▼

For Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #158 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68 (-0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE GRO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRO SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($2.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$2.28-10.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$2.05-8.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.87-9.6% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$1.69-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GRO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GRO currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.22) and Max Pain ($1.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $2$1.69H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GRO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GRO
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GRO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
GRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.98%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.85H $1.85L $1.69C $1.69VOL 314.0K
RES: $2.61SUP: $1.57SMA50: $2.22SMA200: $2.55
$3.33$2.87$2.41$1.95$1.49RES $2.61SUP $1.57$1.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRO Butterfly Map → + Track GRO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRO)

Materials Rank #158 of 270 ⚔️ FEAM vs GRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GRO vs. FEAM, ABAT, SND, IONR)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #227 by equity capitalization ($105.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with GRO at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GRO ACTIVE
Brazil Potash Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -0.59% $105.3M Benchmark Subject
FEAM
5E Advanced Materials Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -4.72% $115.6M /feam-vs-gro →
ABAT
American Battery Technology Company
E 29/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.01% $201.7M /abat-vs-gro →
SND
Smart Sand Inc.
D+ 52/100 154.1x 11.5% -1.6% -4.54% $205.2M /snd-vs-gro →
IONR
ioneer Ltd
D 47/100 — — — -3.91% $216.0M /ionr-vs-gro →

2. GRO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) operates in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $105.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brazil Potash Corp. (NYSE: GRO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $105.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GRO ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRO compare to FEAM and ABAT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), GRO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FEAM (5E Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.6M) and ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $201.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRO?

For Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #158 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRO last traded at $1.69 (-0.59% on volume of 227,594 shares), positioning the stock -23.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.22) and -33.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.99, GRO sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.48 to $1.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: GRO RQD Cockpit GRO 12M Forecast GRO Earnings & Move GRO Dividends & DRIP GRO Insiders & 13F GRO Whale Options GRO Profit Sankey GRO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GRO — Brazil Potash Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market capitalization $105.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Brazil Potash Corp. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, within the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.1B. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%. —: product mix, customer base, and revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.63 – $3.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should note that the only operational development cited (sorting test results) has no linked supply-chain nodes in the graph to trace second-order effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can GRO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $3.99 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GRO's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GRO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GRO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GRO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GRO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GRO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.16 (+27.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance-sheet pillar (13 / 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9) and the green Seeking Alpha catalyst headline indicate a credible bas

The balance-sheet pillar (13 / 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9) and the green Seeking Alpha catalyst headline indicate a credible base for a turnaround narrative.. When you look under the hood at GRO, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $3.99. My 12M target is $2.16.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GRO's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.38 (-18.8%)
Spot @ $1.70

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, whale flow scores 3 / 20, and the feed carries two red risk-watch items, so the cash engine and institu

Careful chasing GRO at $1.70. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, whale flow scores 3 / 20, and the feed carries two red risk-watch items, so the cash engine and institutional support are weak.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.38 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%