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American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.33 -6.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.31

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $201.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, American Battery Technology Company (NASDAQ: ABAT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.33 (-6.01% 1D, market cap $201.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ABAT ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABAT compare to SND and IONR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), ABAT carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SND (Smart Sand Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $205.2M) and IONR (ioneer Ltd) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABAT?
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Per ABAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001576873), American Battery Technology Company generated $4.3M in revenue (+1149.0% YoY), -$46.8M in net income, and -$28.9M in free cash flow against $123.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.31 (-1.27%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.8% Base Target
$6 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ABAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABAT SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (48% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$1.75-16% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.47+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$1.49-10.7% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.33-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABAT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABAT currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.09) and Max Pain ($1.40) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
26.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.33H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ABAT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and -13.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 26.00 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ABAT
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABAT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.70%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.56H $1.56L $1.33C $1.33VOL 2.04M
RES: $2.80SUP: $1.14SMA50: $2.09SMA200: $2.90
$4.46$3.59$2.73$1.87$1.00RES $2.80SUP $1.14$1.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABAT)

Materials Rank #240 of 270 ⚔️ SND vs ABAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ABAT vs. SND, IONR, PHOS, FEAM)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #211 by equity capitalization ($201.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with ABAT at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABAT ACTIVE
American Battery Technology Company
E 29/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.01% $201.7M Benchmark Subject
SND
Smart Sand Inc.
D+ 52/100 154.1x 11.5% -1.6% -4.54% $205.2M /snd-vs-abat →
IONR
ioneer Ltd
D 47/100 — — — -3.91% $216.0M /ionr-vs-abat →
PHOS
First Phosphate Corp.
D 44/100 — — — -7.67% $233.0M /phos-vs-abat →
FEAM
5E Advanced Materials Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -4.72% $115.6M /feam-vs-abat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001576873

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) reported GAAP revenue of $4.3M (+1149.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.5K , and -93.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.8M, operating cash flow of -$28.9M, and free cash flow of -$28.9M (-72.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABAT closed FY2025 with $123.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $4.3M -$46.8M -$28.9M -$28.9M $123.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $343.5K -$52.5M -$16.7M -$16.7M $88.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $62.8M -$21.3M -$13.4M -$13.4M — —

3. ABAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Battery Technology Company (NASDAQ: ABAT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.33 (-6.01% 1D, market cap $201.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ABAT ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABAT compare to SND and IONR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), ABAT carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SND (Smart Sand Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $205.2M) and IONR (ioneer Ltd) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABAT?

Per ABAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001576873), American Battery Technology Company generated $4.3M in revenue (+1149.0% YoY), -$46.8M in net income, and -$28.9M in free cash flow against $123.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABAT last traded at $1.33 (-6.01% on volume of 2,414,240 shares), positioning the stock -36.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.09) and -54.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.90). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $5.33, ABAT sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.16 to $1.50).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABAT — American Battery Technology Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.33 (-6.01% 1D, market capitalization $201.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -13.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector, within the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) industry,. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) reported $4.3M in annual revenue (up from $343.5K in FY2024, +1149.0% YoY) and -$46.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($62.8M revenue, -$21.3M net income) through FY2025, ABAT scaled operating cash flow to -$28.9M and free cash flow to -$28.9M, backed by $123.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.00% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.27 – $5.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ABAT sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.3M and free cash flow of -$28.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABAT's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ABAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABAT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABAT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.80 (+26.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, with an Altman Z of 26 and cash rising to $47.9M in FY 2025.

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, with an Altman Z of 26 and cash rising to $47.9M in FY 2025.. When you look under the hood at ABAT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with -30.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $5.33. My 12M target is $1.80.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels). If gross margin (-30.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.15 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $1.42

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -13% alongside operating losses widening to -$42.0M in FY 2025 indicate a cash-burning business.

Careful chasing ABAT at $1.42. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -13% alongside operating losses widening to -$42.0M in FY 2025 indicate a cash-burning business.. Gross margin is -30.0%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.15 on multiple compression.

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