GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.35 -4.25% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34

GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $15.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GIGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, GigaMedia Limited (NASDAQ: GIGM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (-4.25% 1D, market cap $15.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GIGM ranks #609 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GIGM compare to JF and IPM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GIGM carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of -34.2%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $16.7M) and IPM (Intelligent Protection Management Corp.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $14.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GIGM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GIGM?
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Per GIGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001105101), GigaMedia Limited generated $3.5M in revenue (+17.0% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and -$2.0M in free cash flow against $39.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34 (-0.96%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GIGM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GIGM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GIGM SCORES 29/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±10.6% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
21
Grade E$1.26+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$1.28-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$1.26+7.1% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.35-9.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (21) β†’ E (29)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GIGM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GIGM currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.36) and Max Pain ($1.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.74.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GIGMβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGIGM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GIGM)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GIGM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GIGM)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GIGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GIGM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.17%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.23H $1.41L $1.23C $1.35VOL 95.6K
RES: $1.45SUP: $0.94SMA50: $1.36SMA200: $1.44
$1.61$1.48$1.34$1.20$1.07RES $1.45SUP $0.94$1.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GIGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GIGM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GIGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GIGM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GIGM)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GIGM vs. JF, IPM, SST, GMM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) ranks #609 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #620 by equity capitalization ($15.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GIGM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and 37.7% gross margin. GMM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with GIGM at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GIGM ACTIVE
GigaMedia Limited
E 29/100 β€” 52.4% -34.2% -4.25% $15.6M Benchmark Subject
JF
J and Friends Holdings Limited
D 44/100 β€” 71.5% -32.2% +3.30% $16.7M /jf-vs-gigm β†’
IPM
Intelligent Protection Management Corp.
D- 38/100 β€” 52.3% -29.6% +7.10% $14.0M /ipm-vs-gigm β†’
SST
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 β€” 37.7% -28.5% -0.59% $17.8M /sst-vs-gigm β†’
GMM
Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 β€” 40.2% β€” +5.77% $13.3M /gmm-vs-gigm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001105101

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) reported GAAP revenue of $3.5M (+17.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.0M , and -19.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.6M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.0M (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GIGM closed FY2025 with $39.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.5M -$1.6M -$2.0M -$2.0M $39.2M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.0M -$2.3M -$2.3M -$2.4M $42.4M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.3M -$3.4M -$1.2M -$1.2M β€” β€”

3. GIGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GIGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, GigaMedia Limited (NASDAQ: GIGM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (-4.25% 1D, market cap $15.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GIGM ranks #609 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GIGM compare to JF and IPM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GIGM carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of -34.2%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $16.7M) and IPM (Intelligent Protection Management Corp.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $14.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GIGM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GIGM?

Per GIGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001105101), GigaMedia Limited generated $3.5M in revenue (+17.0% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and -$2.0M in free cash flow against $39.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GIGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GIGM last traded at $1.35 (-4.25% on volume of 20,770 shares), positioning the stock -0.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.36) and -6.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.44). Across its 52-week range of $1.11 to $1.66, GIGM sits at the 43.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.6% ($1.21 to $1.49).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 29/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GIGM β€” GigaMedia Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:56Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GIGM scores 21 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 2/20 (ROIC of -34.2% and FCF yield of -14.84%); Whale 13F Flow scores 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 5/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8/20 (Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 4/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the cash-engine pillar is the most consequential: negative ROIC and negative free-cash-flow yield indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital or cash to shareholders. The forensic pillar's low Altman Z-Score sits in the distress zone of that model, a signal the rating treats as elevated balance-sheet risk. Upside drivers are limited in the source data; the rating's weakest pillars (fundamentals, insider and institutional flow) offer little offsetting evidence. This is an analytical summary of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry..0B, though the market data section lists $13.6M. β€”: product lines, customer base, and revenue model detail.

Per the market data, gross margin is 52.4%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -44.7%, with ROIC of -34.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash declined from $34.8M (FY 2024) to $28.7M (FY 2025) while operating losses persisted in each reported year. β€”: reported debt figures and a standalone Altman or Piotroski computation.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Q3 2026 results reported net income of $1.93M on revenue of $3.16M, with a 245% revenue surge headline and $28.7M in reported cash. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC -34.2%, FCF yield -14.84%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.11 – $1.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD rating's cash engine (ROIC -34.2%, FCF yield -14.84%) and Altman Z of 0.2 signal persistent cash burn and distress-zone balance-sheet risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals. The market data's beta of 1.0 is the only sector-sensitivity datapoint provided.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the one-time gain referenced in Q3 results, and how much of the reported Q3 net income it accounts for?
  • Key Question #2: Reported debt is listed as N/A for every period; what is the actual debt load behind the 0.5 Debt/Equity figure?
  • Key Question #3: Given cash declined from $34.8M to $28.7M, what is the company's cash runway at the current operating loss rate?

GIGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GIGM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GIGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.35?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GIGM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GIGM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.85 (+31.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Q3 2026 results reported net income of $1.93M on revenue of $3.16M, with a 245% revenue surge headline and $28.7M in reported cash.

Don't sleep on GIGM's setup in Technology. Q3 2026 results reported net income of $1.93M on revenue of $3.16M, with a 245% revenue surge headline and $28.7M in reported cash.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (29/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” GIGM's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.10 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $1.41

The RQD rating's cash engine (ROIC -34.2%, FCF yield -14.84%) and Altman Z of 0.2 signal persistent cash burn and distress-zone balance

I respect the product at GigaMedia Limited, but the stock at $1.41 is a different story. The RQD rating's cash engine (ROIC -34.2%, FCF yield -14.84%) and Altman Z of 0.2 signal persistent cash burn and distress-zone balance-sheet risk.. FCF yield is -14.84% and RQD sits at 29/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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