Should I buy, hold, or sell GHM stock right now?

Graham Corporation (GHM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 67x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GHM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GHM's 12-month base price target is $64.04 (range $49.95 to $132.11), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GHM

CYD (45) KRNT (49) MLAB (59) ENVX (22) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Graham Corporation (GHM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$70.72 +1.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.73

Graham Corporation (GHM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $821.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GHM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $70.72 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $821.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GHM ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHM compare to CYD and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GHM carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.3x, gross margin of 23.5%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CYD (China Yuchai International Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $842.3M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $752.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHM?

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Per GHM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000716314), Graham Corporation generated $245.3M in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and -$121.0K in free cash flow against $292.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.73 (+0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GHM SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (43% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 23.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$77.58-11.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$68.65+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$71.02-0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$70.72-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GHM currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($81.30) and Max Pain ($74.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $132.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GHM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

38.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.67>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE25% OF RANGE

L: $53$70.72H: $126

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GHM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

10.9% ROIC with 23.5% gross margin and -0.01% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.67 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GHM

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHM)

✓Walkthrough of GHM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GHM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $71.69H $71.69L $69.95C $70.72VOL 136.9K

RES: $101.3SUP: $58.34SMA50: $81.30SMA200: $91.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GHM Butterfly Map → + Track GHM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

44.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHM)

Industrials Rank #356 of 486 ⚔️ CYD vs GHM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GHM vs. CYD, KRNT, MLAB, ENVX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Corporation (GHM) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #267 by equity capitalization ($821.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHM leads on earnings valuation at 67.3x trailing P/E, while GHM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and 23.5% gross margin. MLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with GHM at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GHM ACTIVE Graham Corporation	D-	37/100	67.3x	23.5%	10.9%	+1.10%	$821.0M	Benchmark Subject
CYD China Yuchai International Limited	D	45/100	—	—	—	-1.87%	$842.3M	/cyd-vs-ghm →
KRNT Kornit Digital Ltd.	D	49/100	—	44.3%	-4.0%	-0.46%	$752.8M	/krnt-vs-ghm →
MLAB Mesa Laboratories Inc.	C-	59/100	110.9x	63.5%	9.3%	-4.57%	$715.2M	/mlab-vs-ghm →
ENVX Enovix Corporation	E	22/100	—	19.2%	-20.5%	-5.71%	$691.3M	/envx-vs-ghm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000716314 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Graham Corporation (GHM) reported GAAP revenue of $245.3M (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $209.9M , and +32.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.5M, operating cash flow of $15.9M, and free cash flow of -$121.0K (-102.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHM closed FY2025 with $292.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.67, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$245.3M	$12.5M	$15.9M	-$121.0K	$292.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$209.9M	$12.2M	$24.3M	$5.4M	$264.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$185.5M	$4.6M	$28.1M	$28.1M	—	—

3. GHM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GHM compare to CYD and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHM?

Where is GHM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHM last traded at $70.72 (+1.10% on volume of 124,762 shares), positioning the stock -13.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.30) and -22.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.29). Across its 52-week range of $52.57 to $125.82, GHM sits at the 24.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($63.65 to $77.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: GHM RQD Cockpit GHM 12M Forecast GHM Earnings & Move GHM Dividends & DRIP GHM Insiders & 13F GHM Whale Options GHM Profit Sankey GHM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GHM — Graham Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Graham Corporation (GHM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $70.72 (+1.10% 1D, market capitalization $821.0M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%, gross margin of 23.5%, operating margin of 6.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.01%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.67, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Graham Corporation (GHM) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in Industrial Machinery/Components..8B. — for specific products, customer base, or revenue mix. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.5%, operating margin 6.1%, and net margin 5.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Graham Corporation (GHM) reported $245.3M in annual revenue (up from $209.9M in FY2024, +16.9% YoY) and $12.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($185.5M revenue, $4.6M net income) through FY2025, GHM scaled operating cash flow to $15.9M and free cash flow to -$121.0K, backed by $292.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of -0.01% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $52.57 – $125.82 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 67.3x trailing P/E and 28.6x EV/EBITDA against 6.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck relationships. The only sector context is the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification from the profile, and the source does not describe customer or supplier linkages.

Key Question #1: Can GHM sustain or expand its 6.1% operating margin and 10.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $245.3M and free cash flow of -$121.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GHM's 56.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GHM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Graham Corporation (GHM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GHM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 22h ago

Graham Corporation (GHM) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Graham Corporation (GHM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

3 Big Reasons to Love Graham Corporation (GHM)

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🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

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🟢 CATALYST The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

DXP, Graham Corporation, MSC Industrial, CACI, and Powell shares are soaring, what you need to know

The Globe and Mail report covering Graham Corporation (GHM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Graham Corporation (GHM) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Graham Corporation (GHM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Precision Trading with Graham Corporation (GHM) Risk Zones

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🟡 MARKET WIRE StockStory • 1d ago

2 Russell 2000 stocks on our buy list and 1 we question

StockStory report covering Graham Corporation (GHM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Graham Corporation (GHM) Edges Up 1.10% to $69.23, Holding Mid-Range Between Key Levels - High Conviction Picks

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Graham Corporation (GHM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $70.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $91.63 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 4.67, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and ROIC of 10.9% shows the business earn

Don't sleep on GHM's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 4.67, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and ROIC of 10.9% shows the business earns a solid return on invested capital.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $69.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $65.05.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.16 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $69.95

Free cash flow fell from $28.1M in FY 2023 to -$0.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is -0.01%, and the stock trades at 67.3x TTM earnings with i

Fading this rally in GHM at $69.95. Free cash flow fell from $28.1M in FY 2023 to -$0.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is -0.01%, and the stock trades at 67.3x TTM earnings with institutional and insider pillars scoring 3/20 and 4/20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $69.95 (52-wk range $52.57–$125.82), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.