Key TakeawaysMarathon Asset Management opened stakes in West Fraser Timber, Buenaventura and GFL Environmental in the third quarter, its latest 13F shows. West Fraser lost money again and is shutting two mills indefinite
Why GFL Stock advanced +0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
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Is GFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (NYSE: GFL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.21 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $19.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, GFL ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does GFL compare to WCN and CWST in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), GFL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B) and CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFL?
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For GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, GFL faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.87) or 200D SMA ($40.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.06) toward Bear Floor ($37.07).
Why GFL Stock advanced +0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) advanced +0.38% to $45.21, trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($33.33 – $46.76). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($33.33 – $46.76) with RSI-14 at 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $45.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $434.0M annual free cash flow.
Waste Management has raised its dividend every year since 2009, and the cash keeps flowing in, but a quiet volume problem is building beneath the surface that could force a reckoning for income investors counting on deca
Barclays analyst William Grippin maintains GFL Environmental (NYSE:GFL) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $58 to $59.
GFL Environmental (NYSE:GFL) raised its full-year 2026 outlook for the third time this year after reporting third-quarter results that management said exceeded expectations, supported by pricing, improving landfill volum
GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL:CA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 29, 2026 8:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsPatrick Dovigi - Founder, Chairman, President &...
GFL Environmental is back in the spotlight after a proposed take private deal sized in the tens of billions, and the real question for investors is whether the current share price lines up with the cash the business can
SECURE acquisition integration drives 27% revenue growth and margin expansion.
Is GFL a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on GFL Environmental Inc. on TradersPro’s Substack. Since the thesis was published on August 29th, GFL shares have made modest gains, supported by the SECURE ac
The publicly traded company has retained a special committee of independent directors and outside advisors to examine any potential deal. Meanwhile, it reported a strong quarter on Thursday.
This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities. Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner. Traders will
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GFL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
GFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFL)
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (GFL vs. WCN, CWST, RSG, WM)
Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #35 by equity capitalization ($19.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFL leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while RSG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and 42.0% gross margin. RSG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with GFL at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFL
ACTIVE
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value | B | 72/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.38% | $19.64B | Benchmark Subject |
| WCN Waste Connections Inc. | B | 73/100 | 42.3x | 42.4% | 9.9% | +1.16% | $45.52B | /wcn-vs-gfl → |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 33.8% | 2.4% | +3.34% | $5.75B | /cwst-vs-gfl → |
| RSG Republic Services Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 33.8x | 42.0% | 13.9% | +3.28% | $72.35B | /rsg-vs-gfl → |
| WM Waste Management Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 33.9x | 40.4% | 13.7% | +1.10% | $91.81B | /wm-vs-gfl → |
2. GFL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) operates in Environmental Services (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $19.64B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
3. GFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (NYSE: GFL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.21 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $19.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, GFL ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GFL compare to WCN and CWST in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), GFL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B) and CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFL?
For GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GFL last traded at $45.21 (+0.38% on volume of 4,295,922 shares), positioning the stock +5.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.87) and +10.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.81). Across its 52-week range of $33.33 to $46.76, GFL sits at the 88.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($42.27 to $48.15).
GFL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GFL stock moving today?
Why GFL Stock advanced +0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
GFL — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GFL scores 72 out of 100, a grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Investor implication: returns on capital are positive but the free cash flow yield is thin relative to the share price, so the cash engine supports the rating only partially.
- Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: this is the strongest pillar, indicating that institutional flow is a meaningful support for the rating; the underlying holder detail is not available in the source data.
- Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: insider and congressional flow is moderately supportive, though the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 0.59 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the low beta suggests lower sensitivity to broad market moves, a defensive characteristic, but it does not by itself guarantee relative performance.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. Investor implication: this pillar points to a relatively healthy balance sheet based on the scoring model's inputs.
Valuation tradeoff: per the market data section, the P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and forward P/E of 30.5 are elevated, and the FCF yield of 2.21% is low. The rating's favorable reading depends on a investor's willingness to pay a premium multiple for the balance sheet and institutional support.
Snapshot
Open Questions
- What are GFL's revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures by reporting period, given that the financials section is empty?
- What drives the reported 0% gross margin, and is it a data reporting artifact or a structural feature?
- Which institutional holders and insiders underlie the 13F and Form 4 pillar scores?
- What are the analyst consensus ratings and price targets?
- What recent events or catalysts explain the 3.33% price move and the stock's position within its 52-week range?
GFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Key TakeawaysMarathon Asset Management opened stakes in West Fraser Timber, Buenaventura and GFL Environmental in the third quarter, its latest 13F shows. West Fraser lost money again and is shutting two mills indefinite
Waste Management has raised its dividend every year since 2009, and the cash keeps flowing in, but a quiet volume problem is building beneath the surface that could force a reckoning for income investors counting on deca
Barclays analyst William Grippin maintains GFL Environmental (NYSE:GFL) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $58 to $59.
GFL Environmental (NYSE:GFL) raised its full-year 2026 outlook for the third time this year after reporting third-quarter results that management said exceeded expectations, supported by pricing, improving landfill volum
GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL:CA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 29, 2026 8:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsPatrick Dovigi - Founder, Chairman, President &...
GFL Environmental is back in the spotlight after a proposed take private deal sized in the tens of billions, and the real question for investors is whether the current share price lines up with the cash the business can
SECURE acquisition integration drives 27% revenue growth and margin expansion.
Is GFL a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on GFL Environmental Inc. on TradersPro’s Substack. Since the thesis was published on August 29th, GFL shares have made modest gains, supported by the SECURE ac
GFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.21?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GFL (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $45.04?
Welcome to the GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Environmental Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GFL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GFL, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GFL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GFL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Environmental Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.04 (52-wk range $33.33 - $46.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.