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Stock Ratings / Utilities / GFL / earnings
WCN (73) CWST (57) RSG (79) WM (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

$45.21 +0.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.35

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $19.64B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GFL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (NYSE: GFL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.21 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $19.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, GFL ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GFL compare to WCN and CWST in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), GFL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B) and CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFL?
▼

For GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.35 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$57 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE GFL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GFL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$42.75+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$44.47+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$45.00+0.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$45.21+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, GFL faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.87) or 200D SMA ($40.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.06) toward Bear Floor ($37.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GFL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$2.94 Expected Swing
$42.27 (-6.5%)Spot $45.21$48.15 (+6.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GFL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $1.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GFL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GFL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
GFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.89%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $43.59H $45.21L $43.59C $45.21VOL 9.73M
RES: $47.02SUP: $39.15SMA50: $42.87SMA200: $40.81
$47.53$43.68$39.83$35.98$32.14RES $47.02SUP $39.15$45.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GFL Butterfly Map → + Track GFL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFL)

Utilities Rank #6 of 117 ⚔️ WCN vs GFL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (GFL vs. WCN, CWST, RSG, WM)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #35 by equity capitalization ($19.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFL leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while RSG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and 42.0% gross margin. RSG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with GFL at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GFL ACTIVE
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.38% $19.64B Benchmark Subject
WCN
Waste Connections Inc.
B 73/100 42.3x 42.4% 9.9% +1.16% $45.52B /wcn-vs-gfl →
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 33.8% 2.4% +3.34% $5.75B /cwst-vs-gfl →
RSG
Republic Services Inc.
B+ 79/100 33.8x 42.0% 13.9% +3.28% $72.35B /rsg-vs-gfl →
WM
Waste Management Inc.
B- 71/100 33.9x 40.4% 13.7% +1.10% $91.81B /wm-vs-gfl →

2. GFL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) operates in Environmental Services (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $19.64B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. GFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (NYSE: GFL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.21 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $19.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, GFL ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFL compare to WCN and CWST in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), GFL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WCN (Waste Connections Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 42.3x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $45.52B) and CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFL leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while RSG leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFL?

For GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFL last traded at $45.21 (+0.38% on volume of 4,295,922 shares), positioning the stock +5.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.87) and +10.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.81). Across its 52-week range of $33.33 to $46.76, GFL sits at the 88.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($42.27 to $48.15).

GFL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GFL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is GFL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for GFL, spanning a range between $42.27 and $48.15.

Direct Sub-Reports: GFL RQD Cockpit GFL 12M Forecast GFL Earnings & Move GFL Dividends & DRIP GFL Insiders & 13F GFL Whale Options GFL Profit Sankey GFL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GFL — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GFL scores 72 out of 100, a grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Investor implication: returns on capital are positive but the free cash flow yield is thin relative to the share price, so the cash engine supports the rating only partially.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: this is the strongest pillar, indicating that institutional flow is a meaningful support for the rating; the underlying holder detail is not available in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: insider and congressional flow is moderately supportive, though the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 0.59 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the low beta suggests lower sensitivity to broad market moves, a defensive characteristic, but it does not by itself guarantee relative performance.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. Investor implication: this pillar points to a relatively healthy balance sheet based on the scoring model's inputs.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data section, the P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and forward P/E of 30.5 are elevated, and the FCF yield of 2.21% is low. The rating's favorable reading depends on a investor's willingness to pay a premium multiple for the balance sheet and institutional support.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.04$19.64B32.830.5211.373.4%0.59$33.33 - $46.769.9%

Open Questions

  • What are GFL's revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures by reporting period, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What drives the reported 0% gross margin, and is it a data reporting artifact or a structural feature?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders underlie the 13F and Form 4 pillar scores?
  • What are the analyst consensus ratings and price targets?
  • What recent events or catalysts explain the 3.33% price move and the stock's position within its 52-week range?

GFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value (GFL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GFL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 10h ago
A $24 Billion Fund Just Bought These 3 Stocks

Key TakeawaysMarathon Asset Management opened stakes in West Fraser Timber, Buenaventura and GFL Environmental in the third quarter, its latest 13F shows. West Fraser lost money again and is shutting two mills indefinite

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GFL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GFL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.15 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GFL (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $45.04?

Welcome to the GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Environmental Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.38 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $45.04

Pump the brakes on GFL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GFL, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.05 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $45.04

GFL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GFL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Environmental Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.04 (52-wk range $33.33 - $46.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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