What is GECC's 12-month stock price target?

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.46 (-10.8% from $5.00), with a bull-case target of $8.55 and a bear-case floor of $3.48.

Stock Ratings / Financials / GECC / forecast

UPXI (20) BCIC (45) SUIG (20) MGLD (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GECC E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 34/100.

$5.00 +1.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $68.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $68.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GECC ranks #990 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GECC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UPXI (Upexi Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.3%, cap $67.0M) and BCIC (BCP Investment Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $73.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCIC leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while BCIC leads on capital efficiency (5.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?

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Per GECC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001675033), Great Elm Capital Corp. generated $143.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $340.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GECC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GECC SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$4.98-0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.96-5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.70+6.4% Next Q

Current

Grade E$5.00-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GECC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GECC currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.36) and Max Pain ($5.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GECC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GECC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GECC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.00: 2000.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.48

$6,960

$-3,040 (-30.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.46

$8,920

$-1,080 (-10.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $8.55

$17,100

+$7,100 (+71.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$5	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$8	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$4	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GECC)

✓Walkthrough of GECC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GECC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.58%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $4.98H $5.00L $4.95C $5.00VOL 54.3K

RES: $5.99SUP: $4.68SMA50: $5.36SMA200: $5.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GECC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GECC Butterfly Map → + Track GECC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GECC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GECC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GECC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GECC)

Financials Rank #990 of 1097 ⚔️ UPXI vs GECC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GECC vs. UPXI, BCIC, SUIG, MGLD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) ranks #990 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #1001 by equity capitalization ($68.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCIC leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while BCIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.5% ROIC and — gross margin. BCIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with GECC at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GECC ACTIVE Great Elm Capital Corp.	E	34/100	—	—	—	+1.01%	$68.8M	Benchmark Subject
UPXI Upexi Inc.	E	20/100	—	—	-20.3%	-6.16%	$67.0M	/upxi-vs-gecc →
BCIC BCP Investment Corporation	D	45/100	6.6x	—	5.5%	-0.67%	$73.6M	/bcic-vs-gecc →
SUIG Sui Group Holdings Limited	E	20/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$79.1M	/suig-vs-gecc →
MGLD The Marygold Companies Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-29.1%	0.00%	$84.1M	/mgld-vs-gecc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001675033 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) reported GAAP revenue of $143.1M (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $143.7M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.8M (+96.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GECC closed FY2025 with $340.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$143.1M	$0	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	$340.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$143.7M	$0	-$82.7M	-$82.7M	$342.0M	—

3. GECC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?

Where is GECC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GECC last traded at $5.00 (+1.01% on volume of 113,528 shares), positioning the stock -6.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.36) and -11.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.66). Across its 52-week range of $4.63 to $8.14, GECC sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($4.77 to $5.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: GECC RQD Cockpit GECC 12M Forecast GECC Earnings & Move GECC Dividends & DRIP GECC Insiders & 13F GECC Whale Options GECC Profit Sankey GECC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GECC — Great Elm Capital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.00 (+1.01% 1D, market capitalization $68.8M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -4.07%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) reported $143.1M in annual revenue (up from $143.7M in FY2024, -0.4% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($143.7M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, GECC scaled operating cash flow to -$2.8M and free cash flow to -$2.8M, backed by $340.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.07% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.63 – $8.14 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the Financials classification and the Finance: Consumer Services industry label. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no quantified view of how supplier, customer, or sector shocks would transmit to GECC.

Key Question #1: Can GECC sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $143.1M and free cash flow of -$2.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GECC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GECC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GECC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Are Investors Undervaluing Great Elm Capital Group (GECC) Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Daily Tribune News • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Corp. (“GECC”) Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

The Daily Tribune News report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Transcript: Great Elm Capital Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Benzinga report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Group (GECC) Stock Price, News & Analysis

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Corp. to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call

Quiver Quantitative report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Group (GECC) Expected to Release Earnings on Tuesday

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Great (GECC) Accelerates +1.33% — Uptrend Strengthens 2026-10-21 - Elliott Wave Count

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Group Q3 2026 Earnings Date and Estimates

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GECC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GECC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.04 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $4.95, near the low end of its $4.63 - $8.14 52-week range, with a beta of 1.0 that leaves room for a rebound if ca

Picked up a starter position in GECC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.95. The stock trades at $4.95, near the low end of its $4.63 - $8.14 52-week range, with a beta of 1.0 that leaves room for a rebound if cash generation improves.. Trading inside a $4.63–$8.14 52-week range with -4.07% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Finance: Consumer Services multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 34/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.60.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.76 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $4.95

Reported revenue and net income are $0.0M in both periods, free cash flow was negative at -$82.7M in FY 2024 and -$2.8M in FY 2025, and

Reported revenue and net income are $0.0M in both periods, free cash flow was negative at -$82.7M in FY 2024 and -$2.8M in FY 2025, and the RQD score of 46 reflects weak insider conviction at 5 of 20.. Look at the math on GECC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.36 before getting long.