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Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.6% Move

$5.00 +1.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $68.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $68.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GECC ranks #990 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GECC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UPXI (Upexi Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.3%, cap $67.0M) and BCIC (BCP Investment Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $73.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCIC leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while BCIC leads on capital efficiency (5.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?
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Per GECC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001675033), Great Elm Capital Corp. generated $143.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $340.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$9 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE GECC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GECC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GECC SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$4.98-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$4.96-5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$4.70+6.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$5.00-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GECC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GECC currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.36) and Max Pain ($5.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GECC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GECC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.6% Swing Band

±$0.23 Expected Swing
$4.77 (-4.6%)Spot $5.00$5.23 (+4.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GECC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 34/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (34/100)Model Risk Weight (66/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$143.1M$0-$2.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$143.7M$0-$82.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GECC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GECC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GECC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.58%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.98H $5.00L $4.95C $5.00VOL 54.3K
RES: $5.99SUP: $4.68SMA50: $5.36SMA200: $5.66
$8.06$7.15$6.24$5.33$4.42RES $5.99SUP $4.68$5.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GECC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GECC Butterfly Map → + Track GECC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GECC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GECC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GECC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GECC)

Financials Rank #990 of 1097 ⚔️ UPXI vs GECC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GECC vs. UPXI, BCIC, SUIG, MGLD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) ranks #990 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #1001 by equity capitalization ($68.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCIC leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while BCIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.5% ROIC and — gross margin. BCIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with GECC at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GECC ACTIVE
Great Elm Capital Corp.
E 34/100 — — — +1.01% $68.8M Benchmark Subject
UPXI
Upexi Inc.
E 20/100 — — -20.3% -6.16% $67.0M /upxi-vs-gecc →
BCIC
BCP Investment Corporation
D 45/100 6.6x — 5.5% -0.67% $73.6M /bcic-vs-gecc →
SUIG
Sui Group Holdings Limited
E 20/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $79.1M /suig-vs-gecc →
MGLD
The Marygold Companies Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -29.1% 0.00% $84.1M /mgld-vs-gecc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001675033 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) reported GAAP revenue of $143.1M (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $143.7M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.8M (+96.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GECC closed FY2025 with $340.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $143.1M $0 -$2.8M -$2.8M $340.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $143.7M $0 -$82.7M -$82.7M $342.0M —

3. GECC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $68.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GECC ranks #990 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GECC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UPXI (Upexi Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.3%, cap $67.0M) and BCIC (BCP Investment Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $73.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCIC leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while BCIC leads on capital efficiency (5.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?

Per GECC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001675033), Great Elm Capital Corp. generated $143.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $340.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GECC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GECC last traded at $5.00 (+1.01% on volume of 113,528 shares), positioning the stock -6.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.36) and -11.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.66). Across its 52-week range of $4.63 to $8.14, GECC sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($4.77 to $5.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: GECC RQD Cockpit GECC 12M Forecast GECC Earnings & Move GECC Dividends & DRIP GECC Insiders & 13F GECC Whale Options GECC Profit Sankey GECC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GECC — Great Elm Capital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.00 (+1.01% 1D, market capitalization $68.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -4.07%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) reported $143.1M in annual revenue (up from $143.7M in FY2024, -0.4% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($143.7M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, GECC scaled operating cash flow to -$2.8M and free cash flow to -$2.8M, backed by $340.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.07% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.63 – $8.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the Financials classification and the Finance: Consumer Services industry label. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no quantified view of how supplier, customer, or sector shocks would transmit to GECC.

  • Key Question #1: Can GECC sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $143.1M and free cash flow of -$2.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GECC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GECC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GECC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GECC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GECC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GECC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.04 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $4.95, near the low end of its $4.63 - $8.14 52-week range, with a beta of 1.0 that leaves room for a rebound if ca

Picked up a starter position in GECC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.95. The stock trades at $4.95, near the low end of its $4.63 - $8.14 52-week range, with a beta of 1.0 that leaves room for a rebound if cash generation improves.. Trading inside a $4.63–$8.14 52-week range with -4.07% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Finance: Consumer Services multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 34/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.60.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.76 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $4.95

Reported revenue and net income are $0.0M in both periods, free cash flow was negative at -$82.7M in FY 2024 and -$2.8M in FY 2025, and

Reported revenue and net income are $0.0M in both periods, free cash flow was negative at -$82.7M in FY 2024 and -$2.8M in FY 2025, and the RQD score of 46 reflects weak insider conviction at 5 of 20.. Look at the math on GECC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.36 before getting long.

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