What is GCT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GCT.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GCT / options

CNXN (60) RVLV (65) PTRN (55) LUXE (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$57.46 -1.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.43

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23.3% gross margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $2.08B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCT) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $57.46 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $2.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCT ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GCT compare to CNXN and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), GCT carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 23.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCT?

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Per GCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857816), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $137.4M in net income, and $182.8M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.44 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 14.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCT SCORES 81/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.2% FCF Margin ($182.8M FCF) & 23.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.3) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$57.03+3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$58.93+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$59.60-3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade A-$57.46+8.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → A- (81)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, GCT faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($54.75) or 200D SMA ($44.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.41) toward Bear Floor ($47.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 81%NO 19%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GCT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GCT.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GCT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.31%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $60.62H $60.62L $57.46C $57.46VOL 902.1K

RES: $62.61SUP: $57.20SMA50: $54.75SMA200: $44.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCT Butterfly Map → + Track GCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #16 of 1009 ⚔️ CNXN vs GCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GCT vs. CNXN, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCT ACTIVE GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	A-	81/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-1.58%	$2.08B	Benchmark Subject
CNXN PC Connection Inc.	C-	60/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-0.08%	$2.19B	/cnxn-vs-gct →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	-1.92%	$1.59B	/rvlv-vs-gct →
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	D+	55/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+0.18%	$2.94B	/ptrn-vs-gct →
LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+3.00%	$1.35B	/luxe-vs-gct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857816 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+11.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.16B , and +83.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $137.4M, operating cash flow of $190.7M, and free cash flow of $182.8M (+28.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCT closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.10, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	$137.4M	$190.7M	$182.8M	$1.20B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.16B	$125.8M	$158.1M	$142.5M	$1.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$703.8M	$94.1M	$133.5M	$133.5M	—	—

3. GCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GCT compare to CNXN and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCT?

Where is GCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCT last traded at $57.46 (-1.58% on volume of 496,443 shares), positioning the stock +4.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($54.75) and +30.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.13). Across its 52-week range of $25.39 to $62.03, GCT sits at the 87.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($52.46 to $62.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: GCT RQD Cockpit GCT 12M Forecast GCT Earnings & Move GCT Dividends & DRIP GCT Insiders & 13F GCT Whale Options GCT Profit Sankey GCT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 81/100 (A-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GCT — GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 81/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $57.46 (-1.58% 1D, market capitalization $2.08B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 23.3%, operating margin of 11.2%, and free cash flow yield of 8.44%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.10, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) trades on NASDAQ under ticker GCT. It operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) reported $1.29B in annual revenue (up from $1.16B in FY2024, +11.1% YoY) and $137.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($703.8M revenue, $94.1M net income) through FY2025, GCT scaled operating cash flow to $190.7M and free cash flow to $182.8M, backed by $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (A- • RQD 81/100): Strong cash generator (23.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.39 – $62.03 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 15.8x trailing P/E and 11.8x EV/EBITDA against 11.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided inputs. The practical implication for a prospective investor is that the ripple-effect analysis is an information gap, not evidence of absence of risk.

Key Question #1: Can GCT sustain or expand its 11.2% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.29B and free cash flow of $182.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GCT's 14.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GCT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) Stock

Yahoo Finance report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investor's Business Daily • 1d ago

GigaCloud, IBD Stock Of The Day, Breaks Out To Record High

Investor's Business Daily report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago

GigaCloud Technology (NASDAQ:GCT) Delivers High Growth and Improving Fundamentals

ChartMill report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Gets A Fresh Analyst Lift, Does It Look Fully Valued?

Yahoo Finance report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

GigaCloud Tech Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript - GigaCloud Technology (NASDAQ:GCT)

Benzinga report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Zacks Investment Research • 1d ago

Bull of the Day: GigaCloud Technology Group Inc. (GCT)

Zacks Investment Research report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago

GigaCloud Technology (NASDAQ:GCT): Strong Growth and High-Quality Technical Setup

ChartMill report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Are Business Services Stocks Lagging GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) This Year?

Yahoo Finance report covering GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $57.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.72 (+16.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 8.44% FCF yield drive the fundamental cash engine to 19 of 20.

Picked up a starter position in GCT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $58.38. Per the Roarable RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 8.44% FCF yield drive the fundamental cash engine to 19 of 20.. Trading inside a $25.39–$62.03 52-week range with 8.44% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Catalog/Specialty Distribution multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 81/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $58.38 and keeping dry powder in case we test $54.29.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.46 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $58.38

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the macro regime fit scores only 12 of 20 at a beta of 1.0, exposing the stock to sector sensitivity.

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the macro regime fit scores only 12 of 20 at a beta of 1.0, exposing the stock to sector sensitivity.. Look at the math on GCT: paying 15.8x trailing P/E for 85.0% ROIC and 11.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Catalog/Specialty Distribution demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $51.37 before getting long.