Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.26B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($265.7M FCF) & 18.7% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.21) or 200D SMA ($48.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.66) toward Bear Floor ($30.15).
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) advanced +1.25% to $39.01, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($36.35 – $59.19). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
We assess the investment worthiness of Ryder stock post its third-quarter 2026 earnings release.
Greenbrier Companies came into this Q4 2026 report under pressure, with the share price down over the past month and another 1.1% lower today around US$37. The long-term thesis has often leaned on through-cycle resilienc
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #237 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with GBX at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBX
ACTIVE
Greenbrier Companies Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +1.25% | $1.19B | Benchmark Subject |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +4.03% | $2.26B | /trn-vs-gbx → |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | — | -0.35% | $339.2M | /fip-vs-gbx → |
| RAIL FreightCar America Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -0.24% | $137.1M | /rail-vs-gbx → |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | C | 64/100 | 41.0x | 34.1% | 11.1% | -2.09% | $47.92B | /wab-vs-gbx → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-31 | $3.24B | $204.1M | $265.7M | $265.7M | $4.30B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $3.54B | $160.1M | $329.6M | $329.6M | $4.29B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-08-31 | $3.94B | $62.5M | $71.2M | $71.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.26B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
GBX last traded at $39.01 (+1.25% on volume of 464,652 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.21) and -18.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.11). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($36.51 to $41.51).
Why GBX Stock advanced +1.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GBX scores 56 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 24.1%; FCF yield 22.25%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash-generation metrics (ROIC and FCF yield) are high in the rating's own inputs. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, which means the rating does not find evidence of broad institutional accumulation. The macro-fit score of 8/20 signals that the rating views the stock's sector sensitivity as a headwind. The balance sheet sits in a middle band rather than a clear strength. The overall grade reflects these offsetting elements, and the verdict label itself recommends trimming rather than accumulating. Valuation metrics in the market data (P/E of 5.9 trailing, 5.5 forward) are low in absolute terms, but the source does not provide a peer or sector valuation benchmark, so the investor cannot determine from this data alone whether the low multiple reflects mispricing or deteriorating earnings expectations.
Greenbrier Companies Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry, per the profile section. Market capitalization is listed at $1.2B in the profile and $1.19B in market data. The source data does not describe the company's specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for detailed business description.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3240.2M | $360.1M | $204.1M | N/A | $265.7M | $361.8M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $3544.7M | $324.5M | $160.1M | N/A | $329.6M | $300.0M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $3944.0M | $176.4M | $62.5M | N/A | $71.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods while operating income and net income rose, with FY 2025 operating income of $360.1M against FY 2023's $176.4M. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.7%, operating margin 11.1%, and net margin 6.3%, with ROIC at 24.1%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 as forensic inputs. FCF declined from $329.6M in FY 2024 to $265.7M in FY 2025.
Per the recent news and catalysts feed:
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals (supply_chain: NONE).
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GBX, but look at what you are paying: 5.9x trailing P/E with 18.7% gross margins. Unless Greenbrier Companies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GBX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $38.53 (52-wk range $36.35 - $59.19), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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