Seeking Alpha report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GATX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GATX Corporation (GATX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GATX Corporation (NYSE: GATX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $6.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GATX ranks #407 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GATX carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 159.1x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?
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Per GATX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000040211), GATX Corporation generated $1.74B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $333.3M in net income, and $569.8M in free cash flow against $18.00B in total assets and $6.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 22.6% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GATX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GATX faces multiple-compression risk if 19.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($173.74) or 200D SMA ($179.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($180.32) toward Bear Floor ($140.65).
Why GATX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GATX Corporation (GATX) advanced +0.37% to $181.14, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($150.42 – $205.56). Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($150.42 – $205.56) with RSI-14 at 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $181.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $569.8M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GATX (NYSE:GATX) reported third-quarter 2026 diluted earnings per share of $2.92, up from $2.25 a year earlier, as favorable rail leasing conditions, strong secondary-market activity and engine leasing performance suppor
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GATX)
- ✓Walkthrough of GATX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GATX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GATX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GATX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GATX)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GATX vs. HAFN, GXO, RXO, BWLP)
Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GATX Corporation (GATX) ranks #407 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #231 by equity capitalization ($6.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GATX at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GATX
ACTIVE
GATX Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 19.1x | — | 4.0% | +0.37% | $6.37B | Benchmark Subject |
| HAFN Hafnia Limited | C | 65/100 | — | — | — | -1.72% | $5.92B | /hafn-vs-gatx → |
| GXO GXO Logistics Inc. | D | 48/100 | 159.1x | — | 4.2% | +0.68% | $5.73B | /gxo-vs-gatx → |
| RXO RXO Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -2.9% | -0.58% | $4.56B | /rxo-vs-gatx → |
| BWLP BW LPG Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | -3.32% | $4.12B | /bwlp-vs-gatx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000040211In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GATX Corporation (GATX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.74B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.59B , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.3M, operating cash flow of $648.1M, and free cash flow of $569.8M (+7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GATX closed FY2025 with $18.00B in total assets against $6.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.85, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.74B | $333.3M | $648.1M | $569.8M | $18.00B | $6.46B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.59B | $284.2M | $602.1M | $530.8M | $12.30B | $4.44B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.41B | $259.2M | $520.4M | $456.9M | $3.50B | $819.9M |
3. GATX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, GATX Corporation (NYSE: GATX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $6.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GATX ranks #407 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GATX carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 159.1x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?
Per GATX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000040211), GATX Corporation generated $1.74B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $333.3M in net income, and $569.8M in free cash flow against $18.00B in total assets and $6.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GATX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GATX last traded at $181.14 (+0.37% on volume of 272,505 shares), positioning the stock +4.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($173.74) and +1.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($179.06). Across its 52-week range of $150.42 to $205.56, GATX sits at the 55.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($169.73 to $192.55).
GATX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GATX stock moving today?
Why GATX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 19x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
GATX — GATX Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GATX scores 57 out of 100, equating to a D+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 of 20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 8.94%), Whale 13F Flow at 12 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 0.85; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 2.19). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, while the cash-engine pillar, which is the weakest, carries the most weight in a fundamental evaluation. For a prospective investor, the rating indicates that the reported return on invested capital of 4% and an 8.94% free-cash-flow yield are not offset strongly by the other pillars. The Altman Z-Score of 0.85 and Debt/Equity of 2.19 point to balance-sheet leverage that a prospective investor would need to weigh against the valuation: the forward P/E of 17.8 and EV/EBITDA of 24.6 leave limited margin for error if earnings or utilization soften. Upside drivers are the insider and institutional flow signals and the strong Piotroski reading; the principal tradeoff is that valuation and leverage are already priced against a weak cash-return profile.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1740.4M | $393.3M | $333.3M | N/A | $569.8M | $743.0M | $6464.0M |
| FY 2024 | $1585.5M | $335.4M | $284.2M | N/A | $530.8M | $401.6M | $4435.9M |
| FY 2023 | $1410.9M | $305.9M | $259.2M | N/A | $456.9M | N/A | $819.9M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow each rose across the three reported periods, and debt rose from $819.9M to $6464.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin is 23.4%, the net margin is 19.2%, and ROIC is 4%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.85 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9 per the Roarable RQD rating. The Debt/Equity ratio is 2.19 per the same source, indicating a leveraged balance sheet.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are as follows:
- A Seeking Alpha report, "GATX: Strong Demand And Utilization But Fairly Valued," is flagged YELLOW as a market-wire item.
- A GuruFocus report on Q3 earnings that beat estimates is flagged GREEN as a catalyst.
- AlphaStreet reported a 6.0% jump on an EPS beat, flagged GREEN as a catalyst.
- Yahoo Finance and marketscreener.com items cover the Q3 2026 earnings date and a quarterly dividend payable December 31, 2026, both flagged YELLOW.
Risk watch items, per the same feed, are the valuation characterization ("Fairly Valued") and the leverage reflected in the RQD forensic pillar. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded: the supply_chain field is NONE and both link and signal arrays are empty.
Open Questions
- What are GATX's revenue sources and customer base, given that the source data provides no business description beyond sector classification?
- Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three financial periods, and what share count underlies the EPS (TTM) of 9.44?
- What drove the increase in debt from $819.9M in FY 2023 to $6464.0M in FY 2025, and how is that debt structured?
- What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is marked N/A, and how does cash coverage compare with debt across periods?
- What supply-chain, customer, or sector-correlation links exist, since the Butterfly graph records none?
GATX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GATX Corporation (GATX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GATX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $181.14?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GATX (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $180.47?
Welcome to the GATX (GATX Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GATX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GATX, but look at what you are paying: 19.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GATX Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GATX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GATX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $180.47 (52-wk range $150.42 - $205.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.