GATX Corporation (GATX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$181.14 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $180.92

GATX Corporation (GATX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GATX Corporation (NYSE: GATX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $6.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GATX ranks #407 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GATX carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 159.1x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?
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Per GATX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000040211), GATX Corporation generated $1.74B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $333.3M in net income, and $569.8M in free cash flow against $18.00B in total assets and $6.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $180.92 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 32.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$216 Bull$180 Base$141 Bear
📬 FREE GATX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GATX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GATX SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 22.6% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$166.72-3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$161.67+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$167.48+8.2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$181.14-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GATX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GATX faces multiple-compression risk if 19.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($173.74) or 200D SMA ($179.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($180.32) toward Bear Floor ($140.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GATX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GATX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GATX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $181.14: 55.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $140.65
$7,765
$-2,235 (-22.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $180.32
$9,955
$-45 (-0.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $215.84
$11,916
+$1,916 (+19.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$18874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$20369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$16058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GATX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GATX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GATX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $168.9H $181.1L $168.9C $181.1VOL 449.8K
RES: $183.9SUP: $153.0SMA50: $173.7SMA200: $179.1
$203.0$191.0$179.1$167.1$155.2RES $183.9SUP $153.0$181.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GATX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GATX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GATX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GATX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GATX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #407 of 1011 ⚔️ HAFN vs GATX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GATX vs. HAFN, GXO, RXO, BWLP)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GATX Corporation (GATX) ranks #407 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #231 by equity capitalization ($6.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GATX at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GATX ACTIVE
GATX Corporation
D+ 57/100 19.1x — 4.0% +0.37% $6.37B Benchmark Subject
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
C 65/100 — — — -1.72% $5.92B /hafn-vs-gatx →
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc.
D 48/100 159.1x — 4.2% +0.68% $5.73B /gxo-vs-gatx →
RXO
RXO Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — -2.9% -0.58% $4.56B /rxo-vs-gatx →
BWLP
BW LPG Limited
C- 61/100 — — — -3.32% $4.12B /bwlp-vs-gatx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000040211

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GATX Corporation (GATX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.74B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.59B , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.3M, operating cash flow of $648.1M, and free cash flow of $569.8M (+7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GATX closed FY2025 with $18.00B in total assets against $6.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.85, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.74B $333.3M $648.1M $569.8M $18.00B $6.46B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.59B $284.2M $602.1M $530.8M $12.30B $4.44B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.41B $259.2M $520.4M $456.9M $3.50B $819.9M

3. GATX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GATX Corporation (NYSE: GATX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $6.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GATX ranks #407 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GATX carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 159.1x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?

Per GATX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000040211), GATX Corporation generated $1.74B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $333.3M in net income, and $569.8M in free cash flow against $18.00B in total assets and $6.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GATX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GATX last traded at $181.14 (+0.37% on volume of 272,505 shares), positioning the stock +4.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($173.74) and +1.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($179.06). Across its 52-week range of $150.42 to $205.56, GATX sits at the 55.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($169.73 to $192.55).

GATX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GATX's 12-month stock price target?

GATX Corporation (GATX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $180.32 (-0.5% from $181.14), with a bull-case target of $215.84 and a bear-case floor of $140.65.

Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GATX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GATX — GATX Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GATX scores 57 out of 100, equating to a D+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 of 20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 8.94%), Whale 13F Flow at 12 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 0.85; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 2.19). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, while the cash-engine pillar, which is the weakest, carries the most weight in a fundamental evaluation. For a prospective investor, the rating indicates that the reported return on invested capital of 4% and an 8.94% free-cash-flow yield are not offset strongly by the other pillars. The Altman Z-Score of 0.85 and Debt/Equity of 2.19 point to balance-sheet leverage that a prospective investor would need to weigh against the valuation: the forward P/E of 17.8 and EV/EBITDA of 24.6 leave limited margin for error if earnings or utilization soften. Upside drivers are the insider and institutional flow signals and the strong Piotroski reading; the principal tradeoff is that valuation and leverage are already priced against a weak cash-return profile.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
180.47$6.37B19.117.824.69.441.41%1.1$150.42 - $205.564%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1740.4M$393.3M$333.3MN/A$569.8M$743.0M$6464.0M
FY 2024$1585.5M$335.4M$284.2MN/A$530.8M$401.6M$4435.9M
FY 2023$1410.9M$305.9M$259.2MN/A$456.9MN/A$819.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow each rose across the three reported periods, and debt rose from $819.9M to $6464.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin is 23.4%, the net margin is 19.2%, and ROIC is 4%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.85 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9 per the Roarable RQD rating. The Debt/Equity ratio is 2.19 per the same source, indicating a leveraged balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are as follows:

  • A Seeking Alpha report, "GATX: Strong Demand And Utilization But Fairly Valued," is flagged YELLOW as a market-wire item.
  • A GuruFocus report on Q3 earnings that beat estimates is flagged GREEN as a catalyst.
  • AlphaStreet reported a 6.0% jump on an EPS beat, flagged GREEN as a catalyst.
  • Yahoo Finance and marketscreener.com items cover the Q3 2026 earnings date and a quarterly dividend payable December 31, 2026, both flagged YELLOW.

Risk watch items, per the same feed, are the valuation characterization ("Fairly Valued") and the leverage reflected in the RQD forensic pillar. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded: the supply_chain field is NONE and both link and signal arrays are empty.

Open Questions

  • What are GATX's revenue sources and customer base, given that the source data provides no business description beyond sector classification?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three financial periods, and what share count underlies the EPS (TTM) of 9.44?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $819.9M in FY 2023 to $6464.0M in FY 2025, and how is that debt structured?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is marked N/A, and how does cash coverage compare with debt across periods?
  • What supply-chain, customer, or sector-correlation links exist, since the Butterfly graph records none?

GATX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GATX Corporation (GATX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GATX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GATX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $181.14?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GATX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GATX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $194.91 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GATX (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $180.47?

Welcome to the GATX (GATX Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $138.96 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $180.47

Pump the brakes on GATX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GATX, but look at what you are paying: 19.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GATX Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $209.35 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $180.47

GATX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GATX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $180.47 (52-wk range $150.42 - $205.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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