Why FUTU Stock dropped -2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$98.45 -2.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.73

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.22B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FUTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Futu Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: FUTU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $98.45 (-2.98% 1D, market cap $14.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FUTU ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FUTU compare to SEIC and FRHC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), FUTU carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.2%. By comparison, SEIC (SEI Investments Company) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $12.42B) and FRHC (Freedom Holding Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $11.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JEF leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while SEIC leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUTU?
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Per FUTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001754581), Futu Holdings Limited generated $1.36B in revenue (+74.6% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $5.18B in free cash flow against $29.35B in total assets and $10.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.73 (-0.73%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 381.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (4)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$213 Bull$100 Base$78 Bear
📬 FREE FUTU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUTU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FUTU SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 381.3% FCF Margin ($5.18B FCF) & 188.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$114.06-7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$105.51-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$102.36-3.8% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$98.45+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FUTU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, FUTU faces multiple-compression risk if 9.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 185.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($111.02) or 200D SMA ($124.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($100.22) toward Bear Floor ($78.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUTU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FUTU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FUTU Stock dropped -2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) dropped -2.98% to $98.45, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($80.5 – $202.53). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($80.5 – $202.53) with RSI-14 at 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $98.45 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 188.3% gross margin and $5.2B annual free cash flow.
Live FUTU Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FUTU Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FUTU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $101.8H $101.8L $98.45C $98.45VOL 323.5K
RES: $107.9SUP: $95.96SMA50: $111.0SMA200: $124.7
$174.8$149.3$123.7$98.13$72.57RES $107.9SUP $95.96$98.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FUTU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +74.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUTU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUTU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUTU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUTU)

Financials Rank #365 of 1096 ⚔️ SEIC vs FUTU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FUTU vs. SEIC, FRHC, JEF, SF)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) ranks #365 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #147 by equity capitalization ($14.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JEF leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while SEIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SEIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FUTU at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FUTU ACTIVE
Futu Holdings Limited
C 62/100 9.8x — 10.2% -2.98% $14.22B Benchmark Subject
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
B- 70/100 17.4x — 24.2% -1.25% $12.42B /seic-vs-futu →
FRHC
Freedom Holding Corp.
D 47/100 76.4x — 11.0% +1.81% $11.72B /frhc-vs-futu →
JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
C 63/100 7.9x — 6.0% -6.16% $11.29B /jef-vs-futu →
SF
Stifel Financial Corporation
C- 59/100 16.0x — 3.4% -2.44% $10.32B /sf-vs-futu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001754581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) reported GAAP revenue of $1.36B (+74.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $778.2M , and +169.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.46B, operating cash flow of $5.24B, and free cash flow of $5.18B (+30.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUTU closed FY2025 with $29.35B in total assets against $10.88B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.36B $1.46B $5.24B $5.18B $29.35B $10.88B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $778.2M $700.7M $3.99B $3.96B $20.44B $7.57B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $505.0M $548.1M -$811.4M -$834.1M $7.82B $1.83B

3. FUTU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FUTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Futu Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: FUTU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $98.45 (-2.98% 1D, market cap $14.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FUTU ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FUTU compare to SEIC and FRHC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), FUTU carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.2%. By comparison, SEIC (SEI Investments Company) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $12.42B) and FRHC (Freedom Holding Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $11.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JEF leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while SEIC leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUTU?

Per FUTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001754581), Futu Holdings Limited generated $1.36B in revenue (+74.6% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $5.18B in free cash flow against $29.35B in total assets and $10.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FUTU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FUTU last traded at $98.45 (-2.98% on volume of 1,223,952 shares), positioning the stock -11.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($111.02) and -21.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($124.70). Across its 52-week range of $80.50 to $202.53, FUTU sits at the 14.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($92.15 to $104.75).

FUTU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FUTU stock moving today?

Why FUTU Stock dropped -2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FUTU — Futu Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FUTU scores 62 out of 100 (grade C, verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20 (ROIC 10.2%; FCF yield 22%); Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 10/20 (Beta 0.88; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the weakest is institutional flow, which is the pillar most directly tied to observable "smart money" positioning. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars support the case for the business, while the low whale-flow score signals less institutional endorsement than the insider data suggests. The macro pillar is moderate, consistent with the low beta of 0.88. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 9.8 and forward P/E of 8.2 sit against a 52-week range of $80.5 to $202.53, indicating the stock has traded well below its prior high. Upside drivers per the source data are the cash-flow yield and insider activity; the principal offset is the weak institutional flow score and the reported net margin and cash/debt trajectory, which an investor should weigh against the rating's "balanced" verdict.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$101.47$14.22B9.88.212.410.391.94%0.88$80.5 - $202.5310.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1358.4M$1809.1M$1456.7MN/A$5179.3M$1344.7M$10876.1M
FY 2024$778.2M$852.5M$700.7MN/A$3955.4M$1504.7M$7574.8M
FY 2023$505.0M$641.1M$548.1MN/A$-834.1MN/A$1830.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $505.0M in FY 2023 to $1358.4M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $548.1M to $1456.7M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 75%, net margin is 68%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is 10.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported debt rose from $1830.5M to $10876.1M across the three periods, a trajectory the source data does not explain.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. The only sector context available is the Financials / Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service classification and the Roarable macro pillar score of 10/20 tied to sector sensitivity.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue sources, given that the source data provides only sector and industry labels?
  • What explains the rise in reported debt from $1830.5M to $10876.1M while the Piotroski and Altman scores remain at 8/9 and 2.5?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% when operating margin is 75%, and what drives the gap between operating income and net income?
  • What catalysts or news events have occurred, given that the recent news section contains no entries?
  • Why are institutional (13F) flow and options positioning scored so low (4/20) while insider conviction is scored high (17/20)?

FUTU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FUTU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FUTU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $98.45?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FUTU 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FUTU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $109.59 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FUTU (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $101.47?

Welcome to the FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $77.12 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $101.47

Pump the brakes on FUTU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FUTU, but look at what you are paying: 9.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Futu Holdings Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $118.72 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $101.47

FUTU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FUTU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $101.47 (52-wk range $80.50 - $202.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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