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L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$36.68 +2.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.76

L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $377.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, L.B. Foster Company (NASDAQ: FSTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $36.68 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $377.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FSTR ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FSTR compare to IMSR and UAMY in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), FSTR carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.7x, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M) and UAMY (United States Antimony Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $446.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSTR?
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Per FSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000352825), L.B. Foster Company generated $540.0M in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $7.5M in net income, and $25.2M in free cash flow against $330.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.76 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$48 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE FSTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FSTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FSTR SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.7% FCF Margin ($25.2M FCF) & 21.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$35.54-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$35.47+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$35.79+2.5% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$36.68-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FSTR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FSTR currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (21.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.57) and Max Pain ($38.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $48.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FSTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FSTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FSTR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FSTR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FSTR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FSTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FSTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.22%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $36.39H $36.68L $35.85C $36.68VOL 36.8K
RES: $36.74SUP: $32.94SMA50: $36.57SMA200: $35.93
$47.08$41.81$36.54$31.27$25.99RES $36.74SUP $32.94$36.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FSTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
36.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FSTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSTR)

Industrials Rank #192 of 486 ⚔️ IMSR vs FSTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FSTR vs. IMSR, UAMY, AAC, TG)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #313 by equity capitalization ($377.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with FSTR at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FSTR ACTIVE
L.B. Foster Company
D+ 54/100 50.7x 21.1% 10.1% +2.32% $377.1M Benchmark Subject
IMSR
Terrestrial Energy Inc.
E 28/100 — — -10.0% -7.14% $341.1M /imsr-vs-fstr →
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 — 25.2% -6.0% -3.69% $446.0M /uamy-vs-fstr →
AAC
Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — 0.00% $491.7M /aac-vs-fstr →
TG
Tredegar Corporation
C- 59/100 7.8x — 15.5% +0.40% $262.1M /tg-vs-fstr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000352825 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) reported GAAP revenue of $540.0M (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $530.8M , and +2017.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.5M, operating cash flow of $35.6M, and free cash flow of $25.2M (+96.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FSTR closed FY2025 with $330.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $540.0M $7.5M $35.6M $25.2M $330.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $530.8M $42.9M $22.6M $12.8M $334.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.5M $1.5M $37.0M $37.0M — —

3. FSTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, L.B. Foster Company (NASDAQ: FSTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $36.68 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $377.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FSTR ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FSTR compare to IMSR and UAMY in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), FSTR carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.7x, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M) and UAMY (United States Antimony Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $446.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSTR?

Per FSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000352825), L.B. Foster Company generated $540.0M in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $7.5M in net income, and $25.2M in free cash flow against $330.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FSTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FSTR last traded at $36.68 (+2.32% on volume of 30,259 shares), positioning the stock +0.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.57) and +2.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.93). Across its 52-week range of $23.81 to $45.81, FSTR sits at the 58.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($34.99 to $38.37).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FSTR — L.B. Foster Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $36.68 (+2.32% 1D, market capitalization $377.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.1%, gross margin of 21.1%, operating margin of 4.1%, and free cash flow yield of 6.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

L.B. Foster Company is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Metal Fabrications industry. Specific products, customer segments, and revenue mechanics are — Gross margin is 21.1%, operating margin is 4.1%, and net margin is 1.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) reported $540.0M in annual revenue (up from $530.8M in FY2024, +1.7% YoY) and $7.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($25.5M revenue, $1.5M net income) through FY2025, FSTR scaled operating cash flow to $35.6M and free cash flow to $25.2M, backed by $330.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Strong cash generator (21.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 6.58% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.81 – $45.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 50.7x trailing P/E and 12.3x EV/EBITDA against 4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Metal Fabrications classification: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The news wire references rail and infrastructure exposure in the price-action headline, but the source does not quantify any linkage.

  • Key Question #1: Can FSTR sustain or expand its 4.1% operating margin and 10.1% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $540.0M and free cash flow of $25.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FSTR's 47.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FSTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FSTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FSTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FSTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FSTR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.94 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the market data, ROIC of 10.1% and an FCF yield of 6.58% show the business generating cash returns well above what its 1.4% net mar

The street is overcomplicating L.B. Foster Company (FSTR). Per the market data, ROIC of 10.1% and an FCF yield of 6.58% show the business generating cash returns well above what its 1.4% net margin would suggest.. With an RQD score of 54/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $38.72.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FSTR's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $27.96 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $35.85

Per the market data, trailing P/E of 50.7 and forward P/E of 47.2 leave the stock priced at a steep multiple against EPS of 0.72.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FSTR above $35.85. Per the market data, trailing P/E of 50.7 and forward P/E of 47.2 leave the stock priced at a steep multiple against EPS of 0.72.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (6.58%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $45.81.

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