Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$40.51 +0.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.47

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (NYSE: FNF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $40.51 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $10.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNF ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNF compare to RYAN and ERIE in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), FNF carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $11.07B) and ERIE (Erie Indemnity Company) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 24.3%, cap $11.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACT leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while ERIE leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNF?
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Per FNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001331875), Fidelity National Financial Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+9.1% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $5.73B in free cash flow against $109.01B in total assets and $45.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.47 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 273.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$61 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE FNF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FNF SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$39.23+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$40.50-2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$39.45+2.7% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$40.51+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FNF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, FNF faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.98) or 200D SMA ($47.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.51) toward Bear Floor ($31.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FNF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FNF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $40.51: 246.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $31.60
$7,801
$-2,199 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $40.51
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $61.33
$15,139
+$5,139 (+51.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$5869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FNF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $39.30H $40.51L $39.30C $40.51VOL 3.42M
RES: $57.84SUP: $36.29SMA50: $41.98SMA200: $47.87
$55.98$51.08$46.17$41.26$36.36RES $57.84SUP $36.29$40.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNF)

Financials Rank #483 of 1096 ⚔️ RYAN vs FNF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNF vs. RYAN, ERIE, EQH, ACT)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) ranks #483 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #177 by equity capitalization ($10.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACT leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while ERIE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ERIE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with FNF at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNF ACTIVE
Fidelity National Financial Inc.
D+ 58/100 17.9x — 1.2% +0.57% $10.80B Benchmark Subject
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc.
C+ 67/100 — — 10.3% +1.29% $11.07B /ryan-vs-fnf →
ERIE
Erie Indemnity Company
B 74/100 20.7x — 24.3% +4.23% $11.58B /erie-vs-fnf →
EQH
Equitable Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — 0.0% -1.39% $14.91B /eqh-vs-fnf →
ACT
Enact Holdings Inc.
B 73/100 9.8x — 12.6% -1.83% $6.61B /act-vs-fnf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001331875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+9.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.92B , and +12.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $602.0M, operating cash flow of $5.83B, and free cash flow of $5.73B (-14.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNF closed FY2025 with $109.01B in total assets against $45.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.10B $602.0M $5.83B $5.73B $109.01B $45.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.92B $1.27B $6.82B $6.73B $95.26B $39.03B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.86B $517.0M $6.48B $6.39B $5.94B $1.39B

3. FNF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (NYSE: FNF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $40.51 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $10.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNF ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNF compare to RYAN and ERIE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), FNF carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $11.07B) and ERIE (Erie Indemnity Company) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 24.3%, cap $11.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACT leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while ERIE leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNF?

Per FNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001331875), Fidelity National Financial Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+9.1% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $5.73B in free cash flow against $109.01B in total assets and $45.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNF last traded at $40.51 (+0.57% on volume of 3,824,596 shares), positioning the stock -3.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.98) and -15.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.87). Across its 52-week range of $37.88 to $58.41, FNF sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($38.28 to $42.74).

FNF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FNF's 12-month stock price target?

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $40.51 (+0% from $40.51), with a bull-case target of $61.33 and a bear-case floor of $31.6.

Is FNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FNF D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FNF — Fidelity National Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FNF scores 58 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, ROIC is 1.2% and FCF yield is 22%. The FCF yield is strong on the surface, but the very low ROIC indicates the capital base is earning little relative to what is invested in it, which is a weak signal for long-run compounding.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. The RQD pillar points to institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weak area. For a prospective investor, this means large-holder support is not a current tailwind in the rating's view.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is modestly supportive but not strong.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, beta is 1.08 and the sector sensitivity is a drag under the rating's framework. The stock is expected to move slightly more than the market, which amplifies drawdown risk in a weak tape.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is not the primary concern.

Translated for a prospective investor: the upside case rests on the high FCF yield and the balance sheet holding up, while the valuation tradeoff is that a 22% FCF yield alongside a 1.2% ROIC signals that reported cash generation is not translating into returns on invested capital. The rating does not treat the stock as a buy at current conditions.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
40.28$10.8B17.916.661.62.245.05%1.08$37.88 - $58.411.2%

Business

Fidelity National Financial Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Specialty Insurers industry. Per the company profile, it operates as a specialty insurer. Not available in source data for: specific products, customer segments, or revenue mix. Not available in source data for: detailed description of how it generates revenue beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2099.0M$710.4M$602.0MN/A$5733.5M$2636.0M$45018.9M
FY 2024$1924.0M$1498.6M$1270.0MN/A$6728.4M$3479.0M$39028.9M
FY 2023$1863.0M$610.1M$517.0MN/A$6394.2MN/A$1390.3M

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $1270.0M in FY 2024 to $602.0M in FY 2025, and debt rose from $39028.9M to $45018.9M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 35%, net margin is 28.7%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 1.2%. Per the RQD pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. The balance sheet posture, per the RQD pillar, reflects a Debt/Equity of 0.5, though the reported debt figures in the financials table are substantially larger than the cash balance.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to FNF, all carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Yahoo Finance report describes a fair value trim tied to mortgage earnings caution.
  • A Stocktwits report covers market action and institutional positioning.
  • A TradingView report announces a third quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call.
  • A Simply Wall St report suggests the stock may be undervalued on excess returns.
  • An Investing.com UK report notes the stock hit a 52-week low at 38.05 USD.
  • A Yahoo Finance report notes analysts estimate a decline in earnings.

Risk watch items, per the news feed: mortgage earnings caution, a 52-week low, and estimated earnings decline. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly graph: none.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE and there are no butterfly links. Not available in source data for: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation partners. For a prospective investor, the mortgage earnings caution flagged in the news feed is the most visible second-order channel to monitor, but the source data does not map which other tickers or sectors it propagates to.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between a 22% FCF yield and a 1.2% ROIC, and how much of reported free cash flow is retained versus distributed?
  • What does the mortgage earnings caution in the news feed specifically reference, and how exposed is FNF's reported revenue to that channel?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A for all three fiscal years despite reported net income?
  • How does debt rising from $39028.9M to $45018.9M in FY 2025 align with the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What is the composition of FNF's revenue and which products or segments generate the operating income?

FNF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FNF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FNF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.51?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FNF 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FNF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $43.50 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FNF (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $40.28?

Welcome to the FNF (Fidelity National Financial Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Specialty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.42 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $40.28

Pump the brakes on FNF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FNF, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fidelity National Financial Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.34 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $40.28

FNF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FNF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $40.28 (52-wk range $37.88 - $58.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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