Stock Ratings / Financials / FNF / dividends

RYAN (67) ERIE (74) EQH (56) ACT (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$40.51 +0.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.47

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FNF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (NYSE: FNF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $40.51 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $10.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNF ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNF compare to RYAN and ERIE in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), FNF carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, RYAN (Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $11.07B) and ERIE (Erie Indemnity Company) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 24.3%, cap $11.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACT leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while ERIE leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNF?

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Per FNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001331875), Fidelity National Financial Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+9.1% YoY), $602.0M in net income, and $5.73B in free cash flow against $109.01B in total assets and $45.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.47 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 273.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FNF SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$39.23+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$40.50-2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$39.45+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$40.51+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FNF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, FNF faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.98) or 200D SMA ($47.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.51) toward Bear Floor ($31.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FNF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

6.85% Total Yield

5.05% Cash ($2.05/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14.9% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $30,782

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,109/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.2K

Yr 1

$12.5K

Yr 2

$14.0K

Yr 3

$15.7K

Yr 4

$17.5K

Yr 5

$19.6K

Yr 6

$22.0K

Yr 7

$24.6K

Yr 8

$27.5K

Yr 9

$30.8K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNF)

✓Walkthrough of FNF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $39.30H $40.51L $39.30C $40.51VOL 3.42M

RES: $57.84SUP: $36.29SMA50: $41.98SMA200: $47.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FNF Butterfly Map → + Track FNF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNF)

Financials Rank #483 of 1096 ⚔️ RYAN vs FNF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNF vs. RYAN, ERIE, EQH, ACT)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) ranks #483 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #177 by equity capitalization ($10.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACT leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while ERIE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ERIE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with FNF at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FNF ACTIVE Fidelity National Financial Inc.	D+	58/100	17.9x	—	1.2%	+0.57%	$10.80B	Benchmark Subject
RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc.	C+	67/100	—	—	10.3%	+1.29%	$11.07B	/ryan-vs-fnf →
ERIE Erie Indemnity Company	B	74/100	20.7x	—	24.3%	+4.23%	$11.58B	/erie-vs-fnf →
EQH Equitable Holdings Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	0.0%	-1.39%	$14.91B	/eqh-vs-fnf →
ACT Enact Holdings Inc.	B	73/100	9.8x	—	12.6%	-1.83%	$6.61B	/act-vs-fnf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001331875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+9.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.92B , and +12.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $602.0M, operating cash flow of $5.83B, and free cash flow of $5.73B (-14.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNF closed FY2025 with $109.01B in total assets against $45.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.10B	$602.0M	$5.83B	$5.73B	$109.01B	$45.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.92B	$1.27B	$6.82B	$6.73B	$95.26B	$39.03B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.86B	$517.0M	$6.48B	$6.39B	$5.94B	$1.39B

3. FNF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FNF compare to RYAN and ERIE in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNF?

Where is FNF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNF last traded at $40.51 (+0.57% on volume of 3,824,596 shares), positioning the stock -3.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.98) and -15.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.87). Across its 52-week range of $37.88 to $58.41, FNF sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($38.28 to $42.74).

FNF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FNF pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) offers a 5.05% cash dividend yield ($2.05 annualized) and 6.85% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: FNF RQD Cockpit FNF 12M Forecast FNF Earnings & Move FNF Dividends & DRIP FNF Insiders & 13F FNF Whale Options FNF Profit Sankey FNF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FNF — Fidelity National Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FNF scores 58 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, ROIC is 1.2% and FCF yield is 22%. The FCF yield is strong on the surface, but the very low ROIC indicates the capital base is earning little relative to what is invested in it, which is a weak signal for long-run compounding.
Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. The RQD pillar points to institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weak area. For a prospective investor, this means large-holder support is not a current tailwind in the rating's view.
Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is modestly supportive but not strong.
Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, beta is 1.08 and the sector sensitivity is a drag under the rating's framework. The stock is expected to move slightly more than the market, which amplifies drawdown risk in a weak tape.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is not the primary concern.

Translated for a prospective investor: the upside case rests on the high FCF yield and the balance sheet holding up, while the valuation tradeoff is that a 22% FCF yield alongside a 1.2% ROIC signals that reported cash generation is not translating into returns on invested capital. The rating does not treat the stock as a buy at current conditions.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
40.28	$10.8B	17.9	16.6	61.6	2.24	5.05%	1.08	$37.88 - $58.41	1.2%

Business

Fidelity National Financial Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Specialty Insurers industry. Per the company profile, it operates as a specialty insurer. Not available in source data for: specific products, customer segments, or revenue mix. Not available in source data for: detailed description of how it generates revenue beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2099.0M	$710.4M	$602.0M	N/A	$5733.5M	$2636.0M	$45018.9M
FY 2024	$1924.0M	$1498.6M	$1270.0M	N/A	$6728.4M	$3479.0M	$39028.9M
FY 2023	$1863.0M	$610.1M	$517.0M	N/A	$6394.2M	N/A	$1390.3M

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $1270.0M in FY 2024 to $602.0M in FY 2025, and debt rose from $39028.9M to $45018.9M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 35%, net margin is 28.7%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 1.2%. Per the RQD pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. The balance sheet posture, per the RQD pillar, reflects a Debt/Equity of 0.5, though the reported debt figures in the financials table are substantially larger than the cash balance.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to FNF, all carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:

A Yahoo Finance report describes a fair value trim tied to mortgage earnings caution.
A Stocktwits report covers market action and institutional positioning.
A TradingView report announces a third quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call.
A Simply Wall St report suggests the stock may be undervalued on excess returns.
An Investing.com UK report notes the stock hit a 52-week low at 38.05 USD.
A Yahoo Finance report notes analysts estimate a decline in earnings.

Risk watch items, per the news feed: mortgage earnings caution, a 52-week low, and estimated earnings decline. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly graph: none.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE and there are no butterfly links. Not available in source data for: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation partners. For a prospective investor, the mortgage earnings caution flagged in the news feed is the most visible second-order channel to monitor, but the source data does not map which other tickers or sectors it propagates to.

Open Questions

What drives the gap between a 22% FCF yield and a 1.2% ROIC, and how much of reported free cash flow is retained versus distributed?
What does the mortgage earnings caution in the news feed specifically reference, and how exposed is FNF's reported revenue to that channel?
Why are EPS values reported as N/A for all three fiscal years despite reported net income?
How does debt rising from $39028.9M to $45018.9M in FY 2025 align with the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5?
What is the composition of FNF's revenue and which products or segments generate the operating income?

FNF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FNF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

Fidelity National Financial (FNF) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim On Mortgage Earnings Caution

Yahoo Finance report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 10h ago

FNF: Fidelity National Financial Inc Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 13h ago

Fidelity National Financial Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

TradingView report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 16h ago

Fidelity National Financial (FNF) Stock Could Be 23% Undervalued On Excess Returns

Simply Wall St report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com UK • 19h ago

Fidelity National Financial stock hits 52-week low at 38.05 USD

Investing.com UK report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Analysts Estimate Fidelity National Financial (FNF) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Yahoo Finance report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A new AI tool could turn mortgage insights into action in minutes or hours, not weeks or months.

Stock Titan report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

How Investors May Respond To Fidelity National Financial Stock After AI Platform Launch

Simply Wall St report covering Fidelity National Financial Inc. (FNF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FNF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.51?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FNF 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $43.50 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FNF (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $40.28?

Welcome to the FNF (Fidelity National Financial Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Specialty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.42 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $40.28

Pump the brakes on FNF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FNF, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fidelity National Financial Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.34 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $40.28

FNF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FNF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $40.28 (52-wk range $37.88 - $58.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.