Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$17.58 +0.72% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.57

Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $92.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: FDSB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.58 (+0.72% 1D, market cap $92.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDSB ranks #469 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDSB compare to CPBI and BYFC in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FDSB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.2%. By comparison, CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M) and BYFC (Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $106.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SFBC leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while SFBC leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDSB?
β–Ό

Per FDSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002012726), Fifth District Bancorp Inc. generated $605.0K in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $942.0K in free cash flow against $534.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.57 (-0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 94.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C+
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$21 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FDSB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±2.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FDSB SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 80% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$17.12-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$17.10+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$17.23+2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$17.58+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FDSB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, FDSB faces multiple-compression risk if 22.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.77) or 200D SMA ($16.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.58) toward Bear Floor ($13.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDSBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFDSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FDSB)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FDSB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FDSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.27%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $17.45H $17.58L $17.45C $17.58VOL 511
RES: $19.50SUP: $16.69SMA50: $17.77SMA200: $16.25
$19.00$17.70$16.40$15.10$13.80RES $19.50SUP $16.69$17.582026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDSB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDSB)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FDSB vs. CPBI, BYFC, PROV, SFBC)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) ranks #469 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #966 by equity capitalization ($92.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SFBC leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while SFBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CPBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FDSB at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDSB ACTIVE
Fifth District Bancorp Inc.
D+ 58/100 22.3x β€” 3.2% +0.72% $92.0M Benchmark Subject
CPBI
Central Plains Bancshares Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.5x β€” 4.6% 0.00% $86.0M /cpbi-vs-fdsb β†’
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -9.4% -0.17% $106.3M /byfc-vs-fdsb β†’
PROV
Provident Financial Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 18.0x β€” 4.9% -0.16% $112.6M /prov-vs-fdsb β†’
SFBC
Sound Financial Bancorp Inc.
C 65/100 16.1x β€” 6.5% 0.00% $115.6M /sfbc-vs-fdsb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002012726

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) reported GAAP revenue of $605.0K (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $619.0K , and -1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of $1.3M, and free cash flow of $942.0K (+160.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDSB closed FY2025 with $534.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $605.0K $4.1M $1.3M $942.0K $534.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $619.0K -$1.1M -$1.1M -$1.6M $527.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $614.0K $797.0K $796.0K $796.0K β€” β€”

3. FDSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: FDSB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.58 (+0.72% 1D, market cap $92.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDSB ranks #469 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDSB compare to CPBI and BYFC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FDSB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.2%. By comparison, CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M) and BYFC (Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $106.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SFBC leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while SFBC leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDSB?

Per FDSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002012726), Fifth District Bancorp Inc. generated $605.0K in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $942.0K in free cash flow against $534.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDSB last traded at $17.58 (+0.72% on volume of 511 shares), positioning the stock -1.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.77) and +8.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.25). Across its 52-week range of $13.00 to $18.69, FDSB sits at the 80.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±2.1% ($17.21 to $17.95).

FDSB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does FDSB pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDSB β€” Fifth District Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDSB scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 3.2% and an FCF yield of 1.03%. This is the weakest pillar relative to its weight, indicating low returns on invested capital and thin free-cash generation per dollar of market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score below midpoint. The source data contains no holder detail to explain this reading (see Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score below midpoint. Recent news items reference rising insider buying at regional banks, but the source data does not specify FDSB-specific transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity place this pillar moderately above the others.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are the strongest pillar, though still under midpoint.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak cash economics as the primary concern. A P/E (TTM) of 22.3 against a ROIC of 3.2% and FCF yield of 1.03% implies the market is pricing earnings well above what the reported cash generation supports. Upside drivers would need to come from earnings recognition or a re-rating in institutional and insider sentiment; the source data does not establish either. The balance sheet pillar offers some downside cushion, but the rating frames the stock as a trim candidate rather than an accumulation candidate.

Business

Fifth District Bancorp Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Savings Institutions industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Its market capitalization is listed as $91.4M.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.6M$0.0M$4.1MN/A$0.9M$33.9MN/A
FY 2024$0.6M$0.0M$-1.1MN/A$-1.6M$37.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.6M$0.0M$0.8MN/A$0.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $0.8M (FY 2023) to $-1.1M (FY 2024) and then to $4.1M (FY 2025), while FCF followed a similar path. Reported revenue is stated as $0.6M in each period, and operating income is stated as $0.0M in each period. Per the market data, gross and operating margins are listed as 0%, net margin as 68%, ROIC as 3.2%, and FCF yield as 1.03%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The source data does not provide reported debt figures, so balance sheet leverage cannot be independently verified beyond the stated ratio.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference FDSB:

  • Four items are tagged YELLOW, labeled MARKET WIRE, covering a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo Finance piece on rising insider buying at regional banks, a TradingKey most-active-stocks report, and a TradingKey unusual-volume report.
  • One item is tagged RED, labeled RISK WATCH, referencing an earnings report for Q2 2026 described as a modest per-share profit with a muted market response and a revenue miss.
  • One item is tagged YELLOW and is unrelated in content to FDSB (a headline about a different issuer).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The RED-tagged Q2 2026 revenue-miss report is the only item flagged as a risk; the source data does not include the underlying earnings figures to verify it.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data, no consensus rating or price targets are available. Per the holders data, no 13F, SEC Form 4, or Congressional trade records are available for FDSB in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What specific revenue and EPS figures underlie the Q2 2026 revenue-miss report flagged RED?
  • What is the reported debt balance, given that the financials list debt as N/A in every period?
  • Why does the source show a net margin of 68% alongside 0% gross and operating margins, and how is that reconciled with reported revenue?
  • What is the company's actual business mix and deposit or lending profile behind the Savings Institutions classification?
  • What insider or institutional transactions, if any, occurred for FDSB, given the insider-buying headline?

FDSB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FDSB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDSB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $17.58?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDSB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FDSB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.85 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FDSB (D+ β€’ RQD 56/100) a Buy at $17.45?

Welcome to the FDSB (Fifth District Bancorp Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Savings Institutions. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.09 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $17.45

Pump the brakes on FDSB β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDSB, but look at what you are paying: 22.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fifth District Bancorp Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.46 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $17.45

FDSB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDSB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Savings Institutions and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.45 (52-wk range $13.00 - $18.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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