Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.35 -2.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.24

Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $70.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CLST) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.35 (-2.42% 1D, market cap $70.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLST ranks #534 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLST compare to HFBL and CPBI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLST carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HFBL (Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $69.2M) and CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HFBL leads on earnings multiple (17.4x) while HFBL leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLST?
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Per CLST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849867), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $282.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.24 (-0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$22 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE CLST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLST SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$17.25-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$16.93-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$16.91+2.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$17.35-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CLST Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CLST faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.45) or 200D SMA ($16.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.12) toward Bear Floor ($13.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE54% OF RANGE
L: $14$17.35H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CLST

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

2.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.32% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CLST
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLST)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.12%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.78H $17.78L $17.35C $17.35VOL 5.5K
RES: $19.34SUP: $16.40SMA50: $17.45SMA200: $16.63
$20.91$19.22$17.54$15.86$14.18RES $19.34SUP $16.40$17.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLST)

Financials Rank #534 of 1096 ⚔️ HFBL vs CLST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLST vs. HFBL, CPBI, FDSB, BYFC)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) ranks #534 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #998 by equity capitalization ($70.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HFBL leads on earnings valuation at 17.4x trailing P/E, while HFBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and — gross margin. HFBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CLST at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLST ACTIVE
Catalyst Bancorp Inc.
D+ 55/100 35.0x — 2.5% -2.42% $70.0M Benchmark Subject
HFBL
Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana
B- 70/100 17.4x — 6.7% +2.19% $69.2M /hfbl-vs-clst →
CPBI
Central Plains Bancshares Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.5x — 4.6% 0.00% $86.0M /cpbi-vs-clst →
FDSB
Fifth District Bancorp Inc.
D+ 58/100 22.3x — 3.2% +0.72% $92.0M /fdsb-vs-clst →
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — -9.4% -0.17% $106.3M /byfc-vs-clst →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001849867

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $3.3M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (+13.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLST closed FY2025 with $282.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $2.1M $3.3M $3.1M $282.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$3.1M $3.2M $2.7M $276.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $526.0K $2.0M $2.0M — —

3. CLST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CLST) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.35 (-2.42% 1D, market cap $70.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLST ranks #534 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLST compare to HFBL and CPBI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLST carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HFBL (Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $69.2M) and CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HFBL leads on earnings multiple (17.4x) while HFBL leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLST?

Per CLST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849867), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $282.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLST last traded at $17.35 (-2.42% on volume of 5,450 shares), positioning the stock -0.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.45) and +4.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.63). Across its 52-week range of $13.66 to $20.50, CLST sits at the 53.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.8% ($16.86 to $17.84).

CLST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CLST stock right now?

Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CLST's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CLST's 12-month base price target is $17.12 (range $13.35 to $21.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CLST — Catalyst Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CLST scores 58 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The lowest-scoring pillar, reflecting ROIC of 2.5% and an FCF yield of 4.32%. For a prospective investor, this indicates limited capital efficiency relative to the price paid.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, so institutional support is modest based on the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint; no detailed insider transaction records are provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is a market-neutral volatility profile, not a defensive one.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting the balance sheet is more stable than the earnings engine.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the balance sheet holding up and earnings continuing to recover from the prior-year loss. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 35 against EPS of 0.51 prices in substantial future growth, while the ROIC of 2.5% does not yet support that premium. The pillar profile suggests a stock where the price and the cash-generation metrics are not well aligned.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$2.1MN/A$3.1M$25.2MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-3.1MN/A$2.7M$44.3MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$0.5MN/A$2.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $0.5M in FY 2023 to $-3.1M in FY 2024, then to $2.1M in FY 2025. Reported cash declined from $44.3M in FY 2024 to $25.2M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is 2.5%. Revenue and operating income are reported as $0.0M, so margin figures cannot be independently verified from the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items relate to CLST:

  • Q3 2026 results. Multiple items report third-quarter results, including one headline citing net income of $978,000 and another citing a sequential increase of 87%. Per the news feed, Q3 net income is $978,000.
  • Lakeside acquisition. A Kalkine report states the company completed the Lakeside acquisition.
  • Equity buyback. A MarketScreener item references a tranche update on an equity buyback plan announced November 20, 2025, flagged as a catalyst item.
  • Risk watch items. The news feed contains no explicit risk items beyond the general market-wire coverage. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue and how is it generated? All reported revenue figures are $0.0M, and the source does not describe the lending or deposit business.
  • Why does the FY 2024 and FY 2025 net income swing (from $-3.1M to $2.1M) occur, and is the Q3 2026 earnings result sustainable?
  • What is the reported EPS? The EPS field is N/A across all periods, while EPS (TTM) is 0.51. The reconciliation is not in the source.
  • What were the terms, price, and effect of the Lakeside acquisition on balance sheet and earnings?
  • Who holds the stock, and what is the insider and institutional activity? The holders and analyst data sections are empty.

CLST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.35?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLST 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.20 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CLST (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $17.78?

Welcome to the CLST (Catalyst Bancorp Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Savings Institutions. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.51 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $17.78

Pump the brakes on CLST — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CLST, but look at what you are paying: 35.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Catalyst Bancorp Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.69 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $17.78

CLST cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CLST, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Savings Institutions and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.78 (52-wk range $13.65 - $20.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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