Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$212.08 +2.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $212.72

Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $57.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FANG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Diamondback Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $212.08 (+2.74% 1D, market cap $57.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FANG ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FANG compare to DVN and CVE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), FANG carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, DVN (Devon Energy Corporation) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $56.29B) and CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $60.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FANG?
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Per FANG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001539838), Diamondback Energy Inc. generated $15.03B in revenue (+35.8% YoY), $1.55B in net income, and $8.08B in free cash flow against $71.06B in total assets and $13.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $212.72 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 53.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (16)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$262 Bull$222 Base$173 Bear
📬 FREE FANG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FANG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FANG SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 8.4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$198.18+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$202.42+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$204.48+3.7% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$212.08+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FANG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, FANG faces multiple-compression risk if 37.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($197.31) or 200D SMA ($190.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($221.62) toward Bear Floor ($172.86).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FANG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FANG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$10.82 Expected Swing
$201.26 (-5.1%)Spot $212.08$222.90 (+5.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FANG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $5.52 • YoY Revenue Growth: 35.8%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$15.03B$1.55B$8.08B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$11.07B$3.70B$5.92B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$8.41B$3.34B$5.54B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FANG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FANG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FANG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $206.2H $212.1L $206.2C $212.1VOL 1.17M
RES: $212.4SUP: $180.5SMA50: $197.3SMA200: $190.2
$221.0$204.0$187.0$170.1$153.1RES $212.4SUP $180.5$212.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FANG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +35.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FANG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FANG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FANG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FANG)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (FANG vs. DVN, CVE, OKE, OXY)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #32 by equity capitalization ($57.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with FANG at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FANG ACTIVE
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 68/100 37.4x — 2.0% +2.74% $57.81B Benchmark Subject
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
B+ 80/100 21.3x — 11.8% +1.92% $56.29B /dvn-vs-fang →
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.87% $60.24B /cve-vs-fang →
OKE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% +1.31% $60.41B /oke-vs-fang →
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% +1.57% $62.99B /oxy-vs-fang →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001539838

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) reported GAAP revenue of $15.03B (+35.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.07B , and +78.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.55B, operating cash flow of $8.76B, and free cash flow of $8.08B (+36.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, FANG closed FY2025 with $71.06B in total assets against $13.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.55, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.03B $1.55B $8.76B $8.08B $71.06B $13.73B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.07B $3.70B $6.41B $5.92B $67.29B $12.07B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.41B $3.34B $5.92B $5.54B $31.79B $7.44B

3. FANG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FANG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Diamondback Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $212.08 (+2.74% 1D, market cap $57.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FANG ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FANG compare to DVN and CVE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), FANG carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, DVN (Devon Energy Corporation) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $56.29B) and CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $60.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FANG?

Per FANG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001539838), Diamondback Energy Inc. generated $15.03B in revenue (+35.8% YoY), $1.55B in net income, and $8.08B in free cash flow against $71.06B in total assets and $13.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FANG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FANG last traded at $212.08 (+2.74% on volume of 1,986,572 shares), positioning the stock +7.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($197.31) and +11.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($190.20). Across its 52-week range of $137.03 to $216.90, FANG sits at the 94.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($201.26 to $222.90).

FANG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FANG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FANG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for FANG, spanning a range between $201.26 and $222.9.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FANG — Diamondback Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FANG scores 68 / C+ (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 2%; FCF yield 13.98%), Whale 13F Flow 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 16/20 (Beta 1.1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 12/20 (Altman Z 1.55; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.37).

For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The weakest pillar is the cash engine: a 2% ROIC is low relative to the stock's valuation, which per the market data shows a P/E (TTM) of 37.4 and EV/EBITDA of 38.8. The strongest support comes from institutional flow (17/20) and macro fit (16/20), which suggests market participants are positioned constructively, though the source does not specify the magnitude of that positioning. A free-cash-flow yield of 13.98% per the market data is a notable upside driver if sustained, but it sits alongside a 2% ROIC, so the investor case depends on whether cash generation translates into returns on capital. The Altman Z of 1.55 is in the source's stated range but the source does not define the distress threshold, so its weight in the forensic pillar should be assessed independently. The grade reflects a stock that is not yet a clear buy on fundamentals but carries signals worth monitoring for a breakout.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
206.43$57.81B37.431.438.85.522%1.1$137.03 - $216.92%

Business

Per the profile, Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue was $15026.0M for FY 2025. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$15026.0M$1266.0M$1547.0MN/A$8081.8M$104.0M$13726.0M
FY 2024$11066.0M$4396.0M$3701.0MN/A$5915.0M$161.0M$12075.0M
FY 2023$8412.0M$4570.0M$3336.0MN/A$5541.5MN/A$7439.6M

Per the market data, the operating margin is 8.4%, net margin 10.3%, and gross margin 0%, with ROIC of 2%. Operating income declined from $4396.0M in FY 2024 to $1266.0M in FY 2025 while revenue rose, a pattern the source does not explain. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.55 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9; the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.37. Cash of $104.0M against debt of $13726.0M in FY 2025 indicates a leveraged balance sheet in absolute terms, though the source does not provide a liquidity ratio.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference FANG, all sourced from Yahoo Finance or Benzinga: "3 Reasons Investors Love Diamondback Energy (FANG)"; "Stock of the Day: Where is the Top for Diamondback Energy?"; "Diamondback Energy (FANG) Stock Looks Rich Against Current Earnings" (flagged GREEN, CATALYST); "Diamondback Energy Reports Soon: How Has The Stock Reacted To Past Earnings?"; "Diamondback Energy (FANG) Faces A Fresh Valuation Test As Two Directors Step Down"; and "Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Diamondback Energy (FANG) is a Great Choice." Most items are flagged YELLOW (market wire). The valuation-related headlines and the director departures are the items that bear on risk. The news feed does not include detail on the nature or timing of the director changes. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for this issuer.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. An investor should note that the valuation-related news headlines are the only sector-relevant signal in the feed, and the source does not connect them to any specific supplier or customer relationship.

Open Questions

  • What drove the decline in operating income from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while revenue increased?
  • What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which the financials list as N/A?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is listed as N/A?
  • What is the identity and timing of the directors stepping down, and does that change governance or strategy?
  • What is the dollar magnitude and holder identity behind the institutional and Congressional flows scored in the RQD pillars?

FANG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FANG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FANG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $212.08?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FANG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FANG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $222.94 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FANG (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $206.43?

Welcome to the FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (37.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $173.40 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $206.43

Pump the brakes on FANG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FANG, but look at what you are paying: 37.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Diamondback Energy Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $255.97 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $206.43

FANG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FANG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $206.43 (52-wk range $137.03 - $216.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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