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Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$298.99 +4.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $300.88

Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $32.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXPE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXPE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $298.99 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $32.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPE ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXPE compare to XPO and BKNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), EXPE carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 57.1%. By comparison, XPO (XPO Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 67.8x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $22.09B) and BKNG (Booking Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 77.1%, cap $111.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while BKNG leads on capital efficiency (77.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPE?
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Per EXPE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001324424), Expedia Group Inc. generated $14.73B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $3.11B in free cash flow against $24.45B in total assets and $4.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $300.87 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 21.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk D
Cash (18)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$369 Bull$312 Base$244 Bear
📬 FREE EXPE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXPE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXPE SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.1% FCF Margin ($3.11B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.6) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$274.69+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$285.64-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$275.53+8.5% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$298.99+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXPE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, EXPE faces multiple-compression risk if 24.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($283.23) or 200D SMA ($259.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($312.44) toward Bear Floor ($243.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXPE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXPE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$23.92 Expected Swing
$275.07 (-8%)Spot $298.99$322.91 (+8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EXPE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $11.36 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.6%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$14.73B$1.30B$3.11B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$13.69B$1.22B$2.33B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$12.84B$688.0M$2.11B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EXPE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EXPE
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EXPE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $282.7H $299.0L $282.7C $299.0VOL 1.78M
RES: $395.9SUP: $254.0SMA50: $283.2SMA200: $259.1
$351.5$312.2$272.8$233.5$194.1RES $395.9SUP $254.0$299.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXPE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXPE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXPE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXPE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXPE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #178 of 1009 ⚔️ XPO vs EXPE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EXPE vs. XPO, BKNG, GATX, HAFN)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #63 by equity capitalization ($32.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while BKNG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 77.1% ROIC and — gross margin. BKNG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with EXPE at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXPE ACTIVE
Expedia Group Inc.
C+ 68/100 24.9x — 57.1% +4.57% $32.74B Benchmark Subject
XPO
XPO Inc.
D 50/100 67.8x — 10.8% +1.13% $22.09B /xpo-vs-expe →
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
B 74/100 20.9x — 77.1% +3.79% $111.30B /bkng-vs-expe →
GATX
GATX Corporation
D+ 57/100 19.1x — 4.0% +4.16% $6.39B /gatx-vs-expe →
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
C 65/100 — — — -6.26% $5.82B /hafn-vs-expe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001324424 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) reported GAAP revenue of $14.73B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.69B , and +14.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.30B, operating cash flow of $3.88B, and free cash flow of $3.11B (+33.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXPE closed FY2025 with $24.45B in total assets against $4.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.73B $1.30B $3.88B $3.11B $24.45B $4.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.69B $1.22B $3.08B $2.33B $22.39B $5.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.84B $688.0M $2.69B $2.11B $17.80B $4.17B

3. EXPE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXPE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $298.99 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $32.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPE ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXPE compare to XPO and BKNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), EXPE carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 57.1%. By comparison, XPO (XPO Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 67.8x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $22.09B) and BKNG (Booking Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 77.1%, cap $111.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while BKNG leads on capital efficiency (77.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPE?

Per EXPE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001324424), Expedia Group Inc. generated $14.73B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $3.11B in free cash flow against $24.45B in total assets and $4.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXPE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXPE last traded at $298.99 (+4.57% on volume of 2,026,613 shares), positioning the stock +5.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($283.23) and +15.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($259.06). Across its 52-week range of $185.34 to $342.00, EXPE sits at the 72.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($275.07 to $322.91).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EXPE — Expedia Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $298.99 (+4.57% 1D, market capitalization $32.74B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 57.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.7%, and free cash flow yield of 9.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.88x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.39, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.48x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Expedia Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry. The profile describes the company as operating in Transportation Services with a market capitalization of $32.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) reported $14.73B in annual revenue (up from $13.69B in FY2024, +7.6% YoY) and $1.30B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.84B revenue, $688.0M net income) through FY2025, EXPE scaled operating cash flow to $3.88B and free cash flow to $3.11B, backed by $24.45B in total assets against $4.47B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $185.34 – $342.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 24.9x trailing P/E and 12.4x EV/EBITDA against 12.7% operating margins and a 0.88x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Transportation Services (Consumer Discretionary), EXPE carries a macro regime beta of 0.88 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can EXPE sustain or expand its 12.7% operating margin and 57.1% ROIC against Transportation Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $14.73B and free cash flow of $3.11B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.47B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXPE's 23.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.88x)?

EXPE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXPE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXPE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $298.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXPE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXPE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $368.85 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 57.1% and an FCF yield of 9.61% signal a strong cash engine with high insider conviction support.

The street is overcomplicating Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE). ROIC of 57.1% and an FCF yield of 9.61% signal a strong cash engine with high insider conviction support.. With an RQD score of 68/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $308.80.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EXPE's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $220.17 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $285.93

Debt/Equity of 3.48 and a beta-sensitive macro fit score of 9/20 leave the stock exposed to leverage and sector pressure, with a RED bo

I respect the product at Expedia Group Inc., but the stock at $285.93 is a different story. Debt/Equity of 3.48 and a beta-sensitive macro fit score of 9/20 leave the stock exposed to leverage and sector pressure, with a RED bookings-concern price target cut.. FCF yield is 9.61% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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