Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ESLT scores 74 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars break down as follows:

• Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Supported by ROIC of 15.1% and an FCF yield of 1.47%. The strong return on invested capital is the upside driver here; the low FCF yield signals that the cash generated is large relative to the company's size but is being priced richly by the market.
• Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Positive institutional participation is a supportive signal, though the source data does not provide the underlying 13F detail.
• Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the weakest pillar relative to the others, meaning insider-side conviction is less compelling than fundamentals or institutional flow.
• Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Beta of 0.94 indicates the stock has tracked broad market movement roughly in line with the market, with sector sensitivity as a factor. This suggests moderate rather than amplified exposure to market swings.
• Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Altman Z of 5.02, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 point to a sound balance sheet, the strongest pillar in the rating.

Investor implication: the rating's strength is concentrated in cash generation and balance-sheet quality. The main valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 70.3 and forward P/E of 59.1 with EV/EBITDA of 42.8 imply that much of the operating strength is already reflected in the share price. A prospective investor would weigh the quality signals against this elevated multiple, and against a 1.47% FCF yield and 0.3% dividend yield that offer little current cash return. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Per the market data, gross margin is 24.4%, operating margin 8.5%, and net margin 6.7%, with ROIC at 15.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.02 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported debt declined from $4832.9M in FY 2023 to $18.0M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $635.1M, consistent with the forensic balance-sheet pillar score of 18/20. Per-share EPS for the reported periods is listed as N/A in the SEC financials.

• Positive catalyst (GREEN): Coverage reports the company secured $200M in Asia-Pacific contracts (Stocktwits). This is the only item flagged as a catalyst in the feed.
• Risk watch (RED): A coverage piece titled around a 28% pullback and valuation demands on execution (Seeking Alpha) is flagged as a risk item.
• Scheduled event: Coverage notes the company has set a November 17 release date for Q3 2026 results (The Globe and Mail).
• Market wire items (YELLOW): Several general stock-price, history, and performance pieces (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance UK, Benzinga) with no specific fundamental content.
• Butterfly graph: Sector Industrials, industry Military/Government/Technical, supply chain NONE, no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

• What are the specific drivers of the $200M Asia-Pacific contract win, and what is its revenue timing?
• What underlies the 28% pullback flagged in the risk-watch item, and how does it reconcile with the 52-week range of $453 to $1016.06?
• What are the FY 2023 cash balance and per-share EPS figures, which are listed as N/A in the source data?
• What is the composition of the institutional 13F and insider Form 4 activity behind the 14/20 and 11/20 pillar scores?
• How does the Q3 2026 results release on November 17 bear on the FCF yield and the elevated forward P/E of 59.1?