e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-03, e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (NYSE: ELF) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $111.69 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $6.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ELF ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), ELF carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.7%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and COTY (Coty Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).
Per ELF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001600033), e.l.f. Beauty Inc. generated $1.64B in revenue (+24.6% YoY), $26.3M in net income, and $190.1M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $522.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 4.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.5) create a -10 pt regime headwind
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, ELF faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 68.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($106.01) or 200D SMA ($81.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($117.22) toward Bear Floor ($91.43).
e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) slipped -1.12% to $111.69, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($48.82 – $122.36). Solid 71% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
The Motley Fool report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNN report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Estee Lauder (EL) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +38.46% and +1.86%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
OAKLAND, Calif., November 02, 2026--e.l.f. Brands, including e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. SKIN and e.l.f. Hair, part of e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF), is celebrating what makes every eye, lip and face one of a kind with "e.l.f.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +24.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #227 by equity capitalization ($6.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with ELF at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF
ACTIVE
e.l.f. Beauty Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | — | 70.7% | 4.0% | -1.12% | $6.59B | Benchmark Subject |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 17.8x | 63.6% | 21.3% | +0.75% | $3.73B | /ipar-vs-elf → |
| COTY Coty Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | — | 64.8% | 3.1% | +1.49% | $2.99B | /coty-vs-elf → |
| CHD Church & Dwight Company Inc. | B+ | 80/100 | 34.1x | 44.7% | 14.7% | +1.16% | $25.44B | /chd-vs-elf → |
| SCL Stepan Company | C | 62/100 | 33.9x | 11.6% | 4.3% | -0.54% | $1.58B | /scl-vs-elf → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.64B (+24.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +59.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $26.3M, operating cash flow of $212.5M, and free cash flow of $190.1M (+64.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ELF closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $522.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.42, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $1.64B | $26.3M | $212.5M | $190.1M | $2.32B | $522.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $1.31B | $112.1M | $133.8M | $115.3M | $1.26B | $223.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $1.02B | $127.7M | $71.2M | $25.1M | $3.67B | $857.8M |
As of 2026-11-03, e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (NYSE: ELF) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $111.69 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $6.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ELF ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), ELF carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.7%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.73B) and COTY (Coty Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).
Per ELF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001600033), e.l.f. Beauty Inc. generated $1.64B in revenue (+24.6% YoY), $26.3M in net income, and $190.1M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $522.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ELF last traded at $111.69 (-1.12% on volume of 1,030,601 shares), positioning the stock +5.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($106.01) and +36.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.65). Across its 52-week range of $48.82 to $122.36, ELF sits at the 85.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($103.76 to $119.62).
Why ELF Stock slipped -1.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 71% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
The Roarable RQD rating is 69 / C+, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout" (per the Roarable RQD rating). Across its five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 2.85%); Whale 13F Flow scores 17 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 10 of 20 (Beta 0.91; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20 (Altman Z 4.42; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.42).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is institutional positioning, while the weakest is macro regime fit, which the rating ties to a sub-1 beta and sector sensitivity. The balance sheet pillar reads as the second strongest, supported by the forensic metrics. The fundamental cash engine pillar is moderate: the 4% ROIC and 2.85% FCF yield are modest relative to the valuation shown in market data, where EV/EBITDA is 75. The insider pillar is middling, reflecting mixed signal quality from Form 4 and congressional flow, though the holders section contains no detail to resolve this. The upside driver implied by the rating is continued institutional accumulation paired with balance sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is that a 75x EV/EBITDA multiple leaves limited room for error if cash generation does not expand. The rating's verdict, a hold with a watch for breakout, suggests the setup is neutral today rather than decisively positive or negative.
e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry (per the company profile). The source data does not describe its specific products, customer segments, or distribution channels. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 70.7%, an operating margin of 4.5%, and a net margin of 1.6%, which indicates that revenue is generated at a high gross level before operating and other costs are deducted. Revenue growth is visible in the financials, as detailed below.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1636.5M | $73.6M | $26.3M | N/A | $190.1M | $196.8M | $522.8M |
| FY 2024 | $1313.5M | $158.0M | $112.1M | N/A | $115.3M | $73.8M | $223.9M |
| FY 2023 | $1023.9M | $149.7M | $127.7M | N/A | $25.1M | N/A | $857.8M |
Revenue rose from $1023.9M in FY 2023 to $1636.5M in FY 2025 (per the SEC financials), while net income declined from $127.7M to $26.3M over the same span. Operating margin is 4.5% and net margin is 1.6% (per the market data), with ROIC at 4%. The Altman Z-Score is 4.42 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9 (per the Roarable RQD rating). Debt/Equity is 0.42 (per the Roarable RQD rating), and FY 2025 debt of $522.8M sits against cash of $196.8M, down from FY 2023 debt of $857.8M.
The news wire contains six items, all tagged as YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact: a Motley Fool comparison of ELF against Monster Beverage, a Yahoo Finance piece on a hypothetical $1000 investment over ten years, a CNN item with a placeholder headline, a Yahoo Finance piece on investor attention, a Motley Fool comparison against Dutch Bros, and a Yahoo Finance piece on the stock declining while the market improved. None of these items contains a specific fundamental event, earnings result, or guidance change in its headline or summary; the summaries are generic. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals (per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph). Risk watch items supported by the data include the 75x EV/EBITDA multiple and the decline in net income between FY 2023 and FY 2025. The price was down 2.13% on the reporting date (per the market data).
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The sector is Consumer Discretionary and the industry is Package Goods/Cosmetics (per the profile), but no sector correlations are provided. A prospective investor should note that no second-order bottleneck can be identified from the supplied material.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
The Motley Fool report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNN report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the ELF (e.l.f. Beauty Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Package Goods/Cosmetics. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ELF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 70.7% gross margins. Unless e.l.f. Beauty Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ELF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Package Goods/Cosmetics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $112.95 (52-wk range $48.82 - $123.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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