MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EC Stock dropped -5.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.17 -5.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.97
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $35.34B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is EC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE: EC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $16.17 (-5.93% 1D, market cap $35.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EC ranks #62 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does EC compare to EQT and PBA in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EQT (EQT Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $34.64B) and PBA (Pembina Pipeline Corp. (Canada)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $29.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EQT leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while TPL leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EC?
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For Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #62 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.97 (-1.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$17.90-3.7% Next Q
73
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$17.24+2.6% Next Q
70
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$17.68-8.5% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade C$16.17+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, EC faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.21) or 200D SMA ($15.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.68) toward Bear Floor ($13.01).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EC Stock dropped -5.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) dropped -5.93% to $16.17, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $18.38). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $18.38) with RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $16.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $781.0M annual free cash flow.
Live EC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ecopetrol (EC) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You TradeYahoo Finance report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Oil Stocks: Values or Traps?TradingView report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTGuruFocus • 1d ago
Is Ecopetrol SA (EC) Overvalued After 4.6% Rally? GF Value SaysGuruFocus report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Offer Insights on Energy Companies: Diamondback (FANG), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Ecopetrol SA (EC)The Globe and Mail report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on ItYahoo Finance report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC) Stock Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side BrokeragesMarketBeat report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
A results call in Spanish and English is planned for Nov. 11.Stock Titan report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 2d ago
3 Integrated Oil Majors Whose Cash Flow Outlook Just Got ClearerOil markets are finally catching their breath. OPEC+ is holding December output targets steady while still keeping meaningful cuts in place through 2026, which gives you clearer sight lines on energy-linked cash flows th
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Ecopetrol (EC) Laps the Stock Market: Here's WhyIn the latest trading session, Ecopetrol (EC) closed at $17.68, marking a +2.26% move from the previous day.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $17.28H $17.28L $16.17C $16.17VOL 1.13M
RES: $18.76SUP: $15.83SMA50: $17.21SMA200: $15.17
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EC)
Energy Rank #62 of 211
⚔️ EQT vs EC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EC vs. EQT, PBA, WDS, TPL)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) ranks #62 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #37 by equity capitalization ($35.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EQT leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while TPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. EQT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with EC at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EC
ACTIVE
Ecopetrol S.A. | C | 65/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -5.93% | $35.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| EQT EQT Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 16.7x | 82.3% | 8.3% | -0.97% | $34.64B | /eqt-vs-ec → |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corp. (Canada) | C+ | 69/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.93% | $29.87B | /pba-vs-ec → |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Limited American | C+ | 68/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -4.29% | $44.77B | /wds-vs-ec → |
| TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | C | 65/100 | 47.0x | — | 25.9% | -0.52% | $22.88B | /tpl-vs-ec → |
2. EC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTEcopetrol S.A. (EC) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $35.34B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
3. EC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE: EC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $16.17 (-5.93% 1D, market cap $35.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EC ranks #62 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EC compare to EQT and PBA in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EQT (EQT Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $34.64B) and PBA (Pembina Pipeline Corp. (Canada)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $29.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EQT leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while TPL leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EC?
For Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #62 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EC last traded at $16.17 (-5.93% on volume of 1,804,456 shares), positioning the stock -6.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.21) and +6.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.17). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $18.38, EC sits at the 76.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($15.18 to $17.16).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
EC — Ecopetrol S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $16.17 (-5.93% 1D, market capitalization $35.34B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry,. — for detailed product lines, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%, and the gross margin is listed as 0%.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.10 – $18.38 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), EC carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can EC sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $18.38 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is EC's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?
EC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ecopetrol (EC) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade Yahoo Finance report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
Oil Stocks: Values or Traps? TradingView report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago
Is Ecopetrol SA (EC) Overvalued After 4.6% Rally? GF Value Says GuruFocus report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Offer Insights on Energy Companies: Diamondback (FANG), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Ecopetrol SA (EC) The Globe and Mail report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It Yahoo Finance report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC) Stock Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side Brokerages MarketBeat report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
A results call in Spanish and English is planned for Nov. 11. Stock Titan report covering Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
EC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.17?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $19.77 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Strongest RQD pillar is the forensic balance sheet (16/20) with Altman Z 3.74 and Piotroski F 7/9, a comparatively solid financial base
Strongest RQD pillar is the forensic balance sheet (16/20) with Altman Z 3.74 and Piotroski F 7/9, a comparatively solid financial base.. When you look under the hood at EC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 9.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $18.38. My 12M target is $19.77.
CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL
@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $13.24 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $17.19 A P/E TTM of 32.8 combined with a 2.21% FCF yield leaves the valuation resting on expectations rather than current cash generation.
Fading this rally in EC at $17.19. A P/E TTM of 32.8 combined with a 2.21% FCF yield leaves the valuation resting on expectations rather than current cash generation.. With a beta of 0.98 and the stock sitting at $17.19 (52-wk range $9.10–$18.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.