Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4% Move

$22.93 +2.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.99

Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Eastern Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: EBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, EBC ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EBC compare to AX and TFSL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), EBC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.7%. By comparison, AX (Axos Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $5.13B) and TFSL (TFS Financial Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while AX leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EBC?
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Per EBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001810546), Eastern Bankshares Inc. generated $134.1M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $88.2M in net income, and $426.4M in free cash flow against $30.59B in total assets and $11.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 59x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.99 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 318% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$28 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE EBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EBC SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$20.83+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$21.51+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$22.52+1.8% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$22.93+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, EBC faces multiple-compression risk if 58.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 59x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.68) or 200D SMA ($21.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.96) toward Bear Floor ($18.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4% Swing Band

±$0.92 Expected Swing
$22.01 (-4%)Spot $22.93$23.85 (+4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EBC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $0.39 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19.1%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$134.1M$88.2M$426.4M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$112.6M$119.6M$278.8M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$76.9M$232.2M$258.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EBC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EBC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $22.64H $22.93L $22.39C $22.93VOL 1.72M
RES: $25.36SUP: $19.63SMA50: $21.68SMA200: $21.11
$24.13$22.63$21.14$19.64$18.15RES $25.36SUP $19.63$22.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EBC)

Financials Rank #152 of 1096 ⚔️ AX vs EBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (EBC vs. AX, TFSL, BKU, PFS)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #270 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFS leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while AX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. EBC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EBC ACTIVE
Eastern Bankshares Inc.
C+ 68/100 58.6x — 0.7% +2.41% $5.12B Benchmark Subject
AX
Axos Financial Inc.
C 63/100 12.2x — 14.8% +4.79% $5.13B /ax-vs-ebc →
TFSL
TFS Financial Corporation
D 50/100 51.7x — 4.8% +0.55% $4.61B /tfsl-vs-ebc →
BKU
BankUnited Inc.
D+ 54/100 11.5x — 8.8% +2.42% $3.06B /bku-vs-ebc →
PFS
Provident Financial Services Inc
C 65/100 10.4x — 10.3% +2.66% $2.99B /pfs-vs-ebc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001810546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) reported GAAP revenue of $134.1M (+19.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $112.6M , and +74.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $88.2M, operating cash flow of $432.4M, and free cash flow of $426.4M (+53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EBC closed FY2025 with $30.59B in total assets against $11.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $134.1M $88.2M $432.4M $426.4M $30.59B $11.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $112.6M $119.6M $283.8M $278.8M $25.56B $9.88B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $76.9M $232.2M $261.7M $258.2M $2.85B $665.8M

3. EBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Eastern Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: EBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, EBC ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EBC compare to AX and TFSL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), EBC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.7%. By comparison, AX (Axos Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $5.13B) and TFSL (TFS Financial Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while AX leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EBC?

Per EBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001810546), Eastern Bankshares Inc. generated $134.1M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $88.2M in net income, and $426.4M in free cash flow against $30.59B in total assets and $11.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 59x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EBC last traded at $22.93 (+2.41% on volume of 2,704,990 shares), positioning the stock +5.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.68) and +8.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.11). Across its 52-week range of $16.65 to $23.77, EBC sits at the 88.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($22.01 to $23.85).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EBC — Eastern Bankshares Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:42Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

EBC scores 69 out of 100 (letter grade C+, verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Cited as ROIC 0.7% and FCF yield 8.24%. The low ROIC indicates weak return on invested capital, while the FCF yield is a comparatively supportive element of the score.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 15 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Described as an SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Cited as Beta 1.12 and sector sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Cited as Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the rating reads as a middle-of-the-range profile: the balance sheet and forensic pillar and the whale-flow pillar are the strongest contributors, while insider conviction and cash-engine economics weigh on the score. The verdict's "watch for breakout" language signals that the rating frames EBC as a name to monitor rather than one with a decisive directional signal. Valuation is a key tradeoff: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 58.6 and EV/EBITDA is 95, which are elevated relative to the 0.7% ROIC shown. Upside drivers would need to come from earnings expansion, since the current multiple already embeds substantial growth expectations. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Savings Institutions industry. Per the market data, the company reports a 65.8% net margin and 75% operating margin. Market capitalization is $5.2B.

Net income declined from $232.2M in FY 2023 to $119.6M in FY 2024 and $88.2M in FY 2025, while reported debt rose from $665.8M to $11.81B over the same span. FCF increased from $258.2M to $426.4M. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Per the market data, ROIC is 0.7%, which is low despite strong reported margins.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong forensic balance-sheet pillar (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 8.24% FCF yield support the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 0.7%, FCF yield 8.24%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.65 – $23.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Elevated valuation at 58.6x TTM P/E and 95x EV/EBITDA against a 0.7% ROIC and declining net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Investors must weigh 58.6x trailing P/E and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.12 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context provided is classification within Financials / Savings Institutions and the Beta of 1.12 per the market data.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the jump in reported debt from $665.8M in FY 2023 to $11.81B in FY 2025, and how does it relate to the decline in net income?
  • Key Question #2: Why is ROIC only 0.7% despite a 65.8% net margin, and what capital base is the denominator?
  • Key Question #3: What were the actual Q3 2026 earnings figures and guidance behind the reported "beat"?

EBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Eastern Bankshares Inc. (EBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EBC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.55 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance-sheet pillar (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 8.24% FCF yield support the rating.

Long EBC at $22.39 targeting $29.55. Strong forensic balance-sheet pillar (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 8.24% FCF yield support the rating.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $16.65 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 68/100 quality, though with 1.12 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $22.39 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.82.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.79 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $22.39

Elevated valuation at 58.6x TTM P/E and 95x EV/EBITDA against a 0.7% ROIC and declining net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025.

I respect the product at Eastern Bankshares Inc., but the stock at $22.39 is a different story. Elevated valuation at 58.6x TTM P/E and 95x EV/EBITDA against a 0.7% ROIC and declining net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025.. FCF yield is 8.24% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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