Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.43 -1.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.39

Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CFFN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CFFN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $8.43 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CFFN ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CFFN compare to HTB and KRNY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CFFN carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, HTB (HomeTrust Bancshares Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $747.9M) and KRNY (Kearny Financial Corp) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $599.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRIM leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while NRIM leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CFFN?
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Per CFFN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001490906), Capitol Federal Financial Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $68.0M in net income, and $49.8M in free cash flow against $9.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.39 (-0.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 305.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE CFFN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CFFN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CFFN SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.4) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$8.39-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$8.09+4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$8.44-0.1% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$8.43+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CFFN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CFFN faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.55) or 200D SMA ($8.00) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.70) toward Bear Floor ($6.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CFFN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CFFN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
54.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE75% OF RANGE
L: $6$8.43H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CFFN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

6.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.64% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (67)

28/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CFFN
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CFFN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CFFN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.77%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $8.40H $8.54L $8.40C $8.43VOL 842.2K
RES: $8.68SUP: $7.91SMA50: $8.55SMA200: $8.00
$9.44$8.71$7.98$7.25$6.52RES $8.68SUP $7.91$8.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CFFN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CFFN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CFFN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CFFN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CFFN)

Financials Rank #285 of 1096 ⚔️ HTB vs CFFN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CFFN vs. HTB, KRNY, PDLB, NRIM)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) ranks #285 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #537 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NRIM leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while NRIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PDLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CFFN at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CFFN ACTIVE
Capitol Federal Financial Inc.
C 65/100 15.8x — 6.5% -1.29% $1.07B Benchmark Subject
HTB
HomeTrust Bancshares Inc.
C 63/100 11.6x — 10.7% -2.03% $747.9M /htb-vs-cffn →
KRNY
Kearny Financial Corp
D+ 55/100 23.0x — 3.4% -1.19% $599.3M /krny-vs-cffn →
PDLB
Ponce Financial Group Inc.
C+ 68/100 19.9x — 5.1% -0.84% $548.6M /pdlb-vs-cffn →
NRIM
Northrim BanCorp Inc
C 64/100 8.3x — 19.8% -1.36% $537.9M /nrim-vs-cffn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001490906

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) reported GAAP revenue of $16.3M (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.3M , and -7.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $68.0M, operating cash flow of $55.0M, and free cash flow of $49.8M (+107.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CFFN closed FY2025 with $9.78B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $16.3M $68.0M $55.0M $49.8M $9.78B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $15.3M $38.0M $31.2M $24.0M $9.54B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $17.6M -$101.7M $47.5M $47.5M — —

3. CFFN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CFFN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CFFN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $8.43 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CFFN ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CFFN compare to HTB and KRNY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CFFN carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, HTB (HomeTrust Bancshares Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $747.9M) and KRNY (Kearny Financial Corp) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $599.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRIM leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while NRIM leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CFFN?

Per CFFN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001490906), Capitol Federal Financial Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $68.0M in net income, and $49.8M in free cash flow against $9.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CFFN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CFFN last traded at $8.43 (-1.29% on volume of 869,882 shares), positioning the stock -1.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.55) and +5.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.00). Across its 52-week range of $5.97 to $9.26, CFFN sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($8.05 to $8.81).

CFFN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CFFN stock right now?

Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CFFN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CFFN's 12-month base price target is $8.7 (range $6.79 to $10.27), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CFFN — Capitol Federal Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CFFN scores 65/100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 4.64%. Investor implication: returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is not especially high relative to the price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F detail, so the score is taken as stated.
  • Insider Conviction: 16/20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: insider-side signals are the most constructive element of the rating, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12/20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted. Investor implication: the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering neither defensive insulation nor amplified upside on a beta basis.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13/20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Investor implication: the balance sheet is adequate rather than strong, with a moderate Piotroski reading and modest leverage.

Taken together, the rating points to a balanced setup: solid insider signals and acceptable balance-sheet metrics offset by modest capital returns and market-level macro sensitivity. Upside drivers would need to come from improving returns on capital or sustained insider accumulation; valuation tradeoffs are reflected in a trailing P/E of 15.8 against a forward P/E of 14.7 per the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$16.3M$0.0M$68.0MN/A$49.8M$232.6MN/A
FY 2024$15.3M$0.0M$38.0MN/A$24.0M$170.3MN/A
FY 2023$17.6M$0.0M$-101.7MN/A$47.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $38.0M in FY 2024 to $68.0M in FY 2025, after a $-101.7M loss in FY 2023. Per the market data, the net margin is 68%, while gross and operating margins are reported as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 6.5% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported cash grew from $170.3M to $232.6M over FY 2024–FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items were captured, all tagged to CFFN:

  • A Seeking Alpha piece headlined around margin expansion supporting the bull case was flagged GREEN (CATALYST).
  • Several items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Moomoo, Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and The Globe and Mail) were flagged YELLOW or MARKET WIRE, covering market action and positioning without specific fundamental detail.
  • The Globe and Mail item reports that KBW reaffirmed a Hold rating on CFFN.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are limited to the absence of detail in the news summaries; the headlines themselves are generic market-wire content.

Open Questions

  • What specifically drives the Savings Institutions business model at CFFN, and how does it generate revenue beyond the reported figures?
  • Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period while net income is substantially positive, and what explains the FY 2025 net margin of 68%?
  • What are the EPS and total debt figures for each reported period, given that both are listed as N/A?
  • What were the Form 4 insider and 13F institutional transactions underlying the 16/20 insider and 12/20 whale pillar scores?
  • What caused the FY 2023 net loss of $-101.7M, and has the underlying issue been resolved?

CFFN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Capitol Federal Financial Inc. (CFFN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CFFN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CFFN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.43?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CFFN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CFFN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.22 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CFFN (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $8.54?

Welcome to the CFFN (Capitol Federal Financial Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Savings Institutions. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.75 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.54

Pump the brakes on CFFN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CFFN, but look at what you are paying: 15.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Capitol Federal Financial Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.74 (+14.1%)
Spot @ $8.54

CFFN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CFFN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Savings Institutions and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.54 (52-wk range $5.97 - $9.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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