What is EAT's 12-month stock price target?

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $234.72 (+10.8% from $211.84), with a bull-case target of $276.97 and a bear-case floor of $173.71.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / EAT / forecast

BROS (57) CAVA (51) TXRH (76) JMKE (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is EAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates EAT A- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 82/100.

$211.84 -0.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $212.29

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 82/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 53% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $8.81B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EAT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Brinker International Inc. (NYSE: EAT) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $211.84 (-0.16% 1D, market cap $8.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EAT ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EAT compare to BROS and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), EAT carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 53.3%. By comparison, BROS (Dutch Bros Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 96.2x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $7.49B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAT leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAT?

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Per EAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-24, CIK 0000703351), Brinker International Inc. generated $5.81B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $487.0M in net income, and $557.5M in free cash flow against $2.75B in total assets and $643.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $212.28 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 9.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 82/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.9% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (82/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EAT SCORES 82/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.6% FCF Margin ($557.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$204.24-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$188.06+17.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$220.74-4% Next Q

Current

Grade A-$211.84+8.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → A- (82)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 82/100 (A-) score, EAT faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($207.54) or 200D SMA ($175.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($234.72) toward Bear Floor ($173.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 23, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 82%NO 18%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EAT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $211.84: 47.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $173.71

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $234.72

$11,080

+$1,080 (+10.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $276.97

$13,074

+$3,074 (+30.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$244	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$260	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$204	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EAT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.12%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $219.9H $219.9L $211.8C $211.8VOL 1.21M

RES: $229.2SUP: $186.5SMA50: $207.5SMA200: $175.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EAT Butterfly Map → + Track EAT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #9 of 1009 ⚔️ BROS vs EAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EAT vs. BROS, CAVA, TXRH, JMKE)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brinker International Inc. (EAT) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (82/100, grade A-) and #180 by equity capitalization ($8.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EAT leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while EAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EAT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 82/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EAT ACTIVE Brinker International Inc.	A-	82/100	18.8x	—	53.3%	-0.16%	$8.81B	Benchmark Subject
BROS Dutch Bros Inc.	D+	57/100	96.2x	25.9%	20.7%	+2.33%	$7.49B	/bros-vs-eat →
CAVA CAVA Group Inc.	D	51/100	108.5x	—	5.9%	+5.64%	$6.86B	/cava-vs-eat →
TXRH Texas Roadhouse Inc.	B+	76/100	29.6x	—	28.3%	+2.55%	$11.98B	/txrh-vs-eat →
JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.	D	47/100	32.8x	—	2.4%	+2.84%	$5.81B	/jmke-vs-eat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-24 • CIK 0000703351 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-24), Brinker International Inc. (EAT) reported GAAP revenue of $5.81B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.38B , and +31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $487.0M, operating cash flow of $789.4M, and free cash flow of $557.5M (+34.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, EAT closed FY2025 with $2.75B in total assets against $643.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.03, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-24	$5.81B	$487.0M	$789.4M	$557.5M	$2.75B	$643.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-25	$5.38B	$383.1M	$679.0M	$413.7M	$2.56B	$599.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-26	$4.42B	$155.3M	$421.9M	$223.2M	$5.30B	$1.24B

3. EAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EAT compare to BROS and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAT?

Where is EAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EAT last traded at $211.84 (-0.16% on volume of 1,168,136 shares), positioning the stock +2.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($207.54) and +20.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($175.24). Across its 52-week range of $100.30 to $254.99, EAT sits at the 72.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($190.23 to $233.45).

Direct Sub-Reports: EAT RQD Cockpit EAT 12M Forecast EAT Earnings & Move EAT Dividends & DRIP EAT Insiders & 13F EAT Whale Options EAT Profit Sankey EAT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 82/100 (A-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EAT — Brinker International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-06-24

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 82/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $211.84 (-0.16% 1D, market capitalization $8.81B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 53.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 10.7%, and free cash flow yield of 6.10%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.03, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.46x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Brinker International Inc. (EAT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry.1B are provided in the profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-24), Brinker International Inc. (EAT) reported $5.81B in annual revenue (up from $5.38B in FY2024, +7.9% YoY) and $487.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.42B revenue, $155.3M net income) through FY2025, EAT scaled operating cash flow to $789.4M and free cash flow to $557.5M, backed by $2.75B in total assets against $643.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (A- • RQD 82/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $100.30 – $254.99 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 18.8x trailing P/E and 11.8x EV/EBITDA against 10.7% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level information provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Restaurants and the beta of 0.98, which indicates market-aligned sensitivity.

Key Question #1: Can EAT sustain or expand its 10.7% operating margin and 53.3% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.81B and free cash flow of $557.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $643.3M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is EAT's 17.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

EAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Brinker International Inc. (EAT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Brinker International Looks Tastier Than Ever (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha report covering Brinker International Inc. (EAT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It