GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.90 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $320.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $187.5M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $551.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).
Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While EAF currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.56) and Max Pain ($12.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.71.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) slipped -1.25% to $11.90, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($4.92 – $19.72). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
When a stock experiences a golden cross technical event, good things could be on the horizon. How should investors react?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EAF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EAF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #164 by equity capitalization ($320.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EAF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with EAF at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAF
ACTIVE
GrafTech International Ltd. | D- | 42/100 | — | -3.1% | -7.3% | -1.25% | $320.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| NPWR NET Power Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.25% | $187.5M | /npwr-vs-eaf → |
| BLDP Ballard Power Systems Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -1.87% | $551.2M | /bldp-vs-eaf → |
| FCEL FuelCell Energy Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -16.7% | -35.0% | -7.88% | $897.1M | /fcel-vs-eaf → |
| EROC ERock Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | — | — | -6.91% | $1.83B | /eroc-vs-eaf → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) reported GAAP revenue of $504.1M (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $538.8M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$219.8M, operating cash flow of -$81.6M, and free cash flow of -$120.5M (-62.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EAF closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $504.1M | -$219.8M | -$81.6M | -$120.5M | $1.03B | $1.09B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $538.8M | -$131.2M | -$40.1M | -$74.4M | $1.22B | $1.09B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $620.5M | -$255.3M | $76.6M | $76.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.90 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $320.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $187.5M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $551.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).
Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
EAF last traded at $11.90 (-1.25% on volume of 389,158 shares), positioning the stock +39.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.56) and +42.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.34). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $19.72, EAF sits at the 47.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.41 to $13.39).
Why EAF Stock slipped -1.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, EAF scores 42 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 7 of 20 (ROIC of -7.3%; FCF yield of 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or free cash flow to shareholders. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is the strongest component of the rating, though it does not offset weak cash economics. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow that the rating treats as weak support. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), meaning the stock tracks the market without a defensive offset. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), which the rating reads as vulnerable. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on flow and any reversal in cash generation; the valuation tradeoff is that standard earnings-based multiples are unavailable in source data, so the stock cannot be benchmarked on earnings. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $504.1M | $-77.1M | $-219.8M | N/A | $-120.5M | N/A | $1094.7M |
| FY 2024 | $538.8M | $-75.2M | $-131.2M | N/A | $-74.4M | N/A | $1086.9M |
| FY 2023 | $620.5M | $-214.4M | $-255.2M | N/A | $76.6M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $620.5M (FY 2023) to $538.8M (FY 2024) to $504.1M (FY 2025), while net losses persisted in every reported period. Per the market data, gross margin is -3.1%, operating margin is -15.3%, and net margin is -43.6%, with ROIC at -7.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt rose from $1086.9M to $1094.7M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.
Per the recent news feed, headlines include a Q3 beat described as failing to mask cash flow and outlook concerns (ChartMill, GREEN), a Q3 loss with a revenue beat (Yahoo Finance, GREEN), a Q3 earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-23 (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW), a report that Q3 results hint at a pricing turnaround (Simply Wall St, GREEN), a report of a stock fair value rise after better-than-expected Q2 EBITDA (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), and a downgrade-style item describing a "Sell" rating by Wall Street Zen (MarketBeat, YELLOW). Risk watch items in the feed center on cash flow and outlook; the positive catalysts center on pricing and EBITDA. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain dependency or sector correlation can be specified from source data. Investors should watch the cash flow and outlook concerns flagged in the news feed as the primary second-order channel, since persistent negative FCF ($-120.5M in FY 2025) combined with reported debt of $1094.7M bears on refinancing and balance sheet capacity. Sector correlation data is not available in source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the EAF (GrafTech International Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EAF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -3.1% gross margins. Unless GrafTech International Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EAF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.05 (52-wk range $4.92 - $19.72), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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