GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$11.90 -1.25% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.85

GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $324.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.90 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $324.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EAF compare to NPWR and BLDP in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.0M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $561.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAF?
β–Ό

Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.85 (-0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$21 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE EAF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EAF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY EAF SCORES 42/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 47% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 68.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$8.29-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$7.41+43.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$10.65+11.7% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$11.90-7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (34) β†’ D- (42)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EAF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While EAF currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.45) and Max Pain ($12.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.71.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EAFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œEAF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EAF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of EAF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EAF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.93%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $12.18H $12.18L $11.90C $11.90VOL 560.2K
RES: $12.42SUP: $6.24SMA50: $8.45SMA200: $8.37
$12.90$10.79$8.67$6.56$4.44RES $12.42SUP $6.24$11.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EAF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EAF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EAF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EAF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EAF)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EAF vs. NPWR, BLDP, FCEL, EROC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #166 by equity capitalization ($324.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EAF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with EAF at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EAF ACTIVE
GrafTech International Ltd.
D- 42/100 β€” -3.1% -7.3% -1.25% $324.1M Benchmark Subject
NPWR
NET Power Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.25% $188.0M /npwr-vs-eaf β†’
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.87% $561.7M /bldp-vs-eaf β†’
FCEL
FuelCell Energy Inc.
E 21/100 β€” -16.7% -35.0% -7.88% $973.8M /fcel-vs-eaf β†’
EROC
ERock Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” β€” β€” -6.91% $1.97B /eroc-vs-eaf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000931148

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) reported GAAP revenue of $504.1M (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $538.8M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$219.8M, operating cash flow of -$81.6M, and free cash flow of -$120.5M (-62.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EAF closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $504.1M -$219.8M -$81.6M -$120.5M $1.03B $1.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $538.8M -$131.2M -$40.1M -$74.4M $1.22B $1.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $620.5M -$255.3M $76.6M $76.6M β€” β€”

3. EAF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EAF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.90 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $324.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EAF compare to NPWR and BLDP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.0M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $561.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAF?

Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EAF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EAF last traded at $11.90 (-1.25% on volume of 389,158 shares), positioning the stock +40.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.45) and +42.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.37). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $19.72, EAF sits at the 47.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($10.41 to $13.39).

EAF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does EAF pay a dividend and is it safe?

GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 42/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EAF β€” GrafTech International Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EAF scores 42 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 7 of 20 (ROIC of -7.3%; FCF yield of 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or free cash flow to shareholders. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is the strongest component of the rating, though it does not offset weak cash economics. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow that the rating treats as weak support. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), meaning the stock tracks the market without a defensive offset. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), which the rating reads as vulnerable. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on flow and any reversal in cash generation; the valuation tradeoff is that standard earnings-based multiples are unavailable in source data, so the stock cannot be benchmarked on earnings. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$504.1M$-77.1M$-219.8MN/A$-120.5MN/A$1094.7M
FY 2024$538.8M$-75.2M$-131.2MN/A$-74.4MN/A$1086.9M
FY 2023$620.5M$-214.4M$-255.2MN/A$76.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $620.5M (FY 2023) to $538.8M (FY 2024) to $504.1M (FY 2025), while net losses persisted in every reported period. Per the market data, gross margin is -3.1%, operating margin is -15.3%, and net margin is -43.6%, with ROIC at -7.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt rose from $1086.9M to $1094.7M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, headlines include a Q3 beat described as failing to mask cash flow and outlook concerns (ChartMill, GREEN), a Q3 loss with a revenue beat (Yahoo Finance, GREEN), a Q3 earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-23 (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW), a report that Q3 results hint at a pricing turnaround (Simply Wall St, GREEN), a report of a stock fair value rise after better-than-expected Q2 EBITDA (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), and a downgrade-style item describing a "Sell" rating by Wall Street Zen (MarketBeat, YELLOW). Risk watch items in the feed center on cash flow and outlook; the positive catalysts center on pricing and EBITDA. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain dependency or sector correlation can be specified from source data. Investors should watch the cash flow and outlook concerns flagged in the news feed as the primary second-order channel, since persistent negative FCF ($-120.5M in FY 2025) combined with reported debt of $1094.7M bears on refinancing and balance sheet capacity. Sector correlation data is not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's cash and equivalents balances, given that cash is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • What is the EPS trajectory, since EPS is reported as N/A and P/E and EPS (TTM) are unavailable?
  • What drives the debt level of $1094.7M, and what is the maturity and refinancing schedule?
  • What is the supply-chain structure, given the graph returns no links?
  • What institutional and insider holdings exist, since the holders section is empty?

EAF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to EAF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EAF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $11.90?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EAF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EAF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.60 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EAF (D- β€’ RQD 42/100) a Buy at $12.05?

Welcome to the EAF (GrafTech International Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.12 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $12.05

Pump the brakes on EAF β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EAF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -3.1% gross margins. Unless GrafTech International Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.94 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $12.05

EAF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EAF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.05 (52-wk range $4.92 - $19.72), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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