Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.90 -18.10% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $4.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-18.10% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #456 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
β–Ό

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83 (-3.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$106 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DFLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DFLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DFLI SCORES 25/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$3.54-17.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$2.92-21.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$2.29-17% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.90-10.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ E (25)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While DFLI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.87) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $105.84.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DFLIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDFLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DFLI)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DFLI.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DFLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.13%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $2.25H $2.32L $1.90C $1.90VOL 99.6K
RES: $5.08SUP: $1.60SMA50: $5.87SMA200: $14.02
$41.66$30.86$20.07$9.27$-1.52RES $5.08SUP $1.60$1.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DFLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, RETO, UCAR, BURU)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #456 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #464 by equity capitalization ($4.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.5% ROIC and 36.3% gross margin. BURU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with DFLI at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DFLI ACTIVE
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)
E 25/100 β€” 26.7% -35.0% -18.10% $4.3M Benchmark Subject
XPON
Expion Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 13.9% -35.0% -11.60% $4.1M /xpon-vs-dfli β†’
RETO
ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 35.3% -35.0% -10.86% $4.7M /reto-vs-dfli β†’
UCAR
U Power Limited (Class A)
E 19/100 β€” 36.3% -18.5% +5.24% $5.1M /ucar-vs-dfli β†’
BURU
Nuburu Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -22.79% $3.4M /buru-vs-dfli β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001847986

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $58.6M -$69.9M -$26.0M -$27.9M $86.5M $9.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $50.6M -$40.6M -$7.2M -$9.9M $75.2M $29.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $64.4M -$13.8M -$17.7M -$17.7M β€” β€”

3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-18.10% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #456 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DFLI last traded at $1.90 (-18.10% on volume of 96,836 shares), positioning the stock -67.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.87) and -86.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $100.80, DFLI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

DFLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is DFLI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DFLI.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 25/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DFLI β€” Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DFLI scores 25 out of 100 for a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.8). The weakest pillar is the cash engine, consistent with the negative ROIC and zero FCF yield in the market data. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the primary upside case would have to come from a change in cash generation or balance sheet strength, neither of which is evidenced in the current source data. The low Altman Z-Score and the forensic balance sheet score point to elevated financial-distress risk, which the rating treats as the dominant consideration. The rating is analytical and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell.

Business

Per the profile, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond its reported revenue figures. Per the SEC financials, revenue was $58.6M in FY 2025, $50.6M in FY 2024, and $64.4M in FY 2023. Specific product lines and customer segments are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$58.6M$-23.2M$-69.9MN/A$-27.9M$18.3M$9.2M
FY 2024$50.6M$-25.8M$-40.6MN/A$-9.9M$4.8M$29.6M
FY 2023$64.4M$-27.4M$-13.8MN/A$-17.7MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 26.7%, operating margin is -39.5%, and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.8. Operating losses persisted across all three reported periods, and net losses exceeded operating losses in FY 2025 and FY 2024. Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M over the same span.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers behind the $58.6M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • What explains the widening net loss from $-13.8M in FY 2023 to $-69.9M in FY 2025, and what is the path to positive operating income?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and covenants of the debt, and how did debt fall from $29.6M to $9.2M?
  • What is the reason for the 52-week range of $1.83 to $100.8, and how does the current share count relate to the $4.3M market capitalization?
  • What is the liquidity runway given FY 2025 FCF of $-27.9M against cash of $18.3M?

DFLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DFLI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DFLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.90?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DFLI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DFLI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.04 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DFLI (E β€’ RQD 25/100) a Buy at $2.32?

Welcome to the DFLI (Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.83 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $2.32

Pump the brakes on DFLI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DFLI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 26.7% gross margins. Unless Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.76 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $2.32

DFLI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DFLI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.32 (52-wk range $1.83 - $100.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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