Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.90 -18.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $4.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-18.10% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #456 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
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Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83 (-3.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$106 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE DFLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DFLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DFLI SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$3.54-17.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$2.92-21.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$2.29-17% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.90-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DFLI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.87) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $105.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DFLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DFLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.24 Expected Swing
$1.66 (-12.5%)Spot $1.90$2.14 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DFLI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 25/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.8%

Model Bullish Setup (25/100)Model Risk Weight (75/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$58.6M-$69.9M-$27.9M26.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$50.6M-$40.6M-$9.9M23%
FY 20232023-12-31$64.4M-$13.8M-$17.7M26.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DFLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $2.25H $2.32L $1.90C $1.90VOL 99.6K
RES: $5.08SUP: $1.60SMA50: $5.87SMA200: $14.02
$41.66$30.86$20.07$9.27$-1.52RES $5.08SUP $1.60$1.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DFLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)

Industrials Rank #456 of 485 ⚔️ XPON vs DFLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, RETO, UCAR, BURU)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #456 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #464 by equity capitalization ($4.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.5% ROIC and 36.3% gross margin. BURU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with DFLI at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DFLI ACTIVE
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)
E 25/100 — 26.7% -35.0% -18.10% $4.3M Benchmark Subject
XPON
Expion Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 — 13.9% -35.0% -11.60% $4.1M /xpon-vs-dfli →
RETO
ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 35.3% -35.0% -10.86% $4.7M /reto-vs-dfli →
UCAR
U Power Limited (Class A)
E 19/100 — 36.3% -18.5% +5.24% $5.1M /ucar-vs-dfli →
BURU
Nuburu Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -22.79% $3.4M /buru-vs-dfli →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847986

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $58.6M -$69.9M -$26.0M -$27.9M $86.5M $9.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $50.6M -$40.6M -$7.2M -$9.9M $75.2M $29.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $64.4M -$13.8M -$17.7M -$17.7M — —

3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-18.10% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #456 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DFLI last traded at $1.90 (-18.10% on volume of 96,836 shares), positioning the stock -67.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.87) and -86.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $100.80, DFLI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

DFLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DFLI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DFLI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for DFLI, spanning a range between $1.66 and $2.14.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DFLI — Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DFLI scores 25 out of 100 for a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.8). The weakest pillar is the cash engine, consistent with the negative ROIC and zero FCF yield in the market data. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the primary upside case would have to come from a change in cash generation or balance sheet strength, neither of which is evidenced in the current source data. The low Altman Z-Score and the forensic balance sheet score point to elevated financial-distress risk, which the rating treats as the dominant consideration. The rating is analytical and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell.

Business

Per the profile, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond its reported revenue figures. Per the SEC financials, revenue was $58.6M in FY 2025, $50.6M in FY 2024, and $64.4M in FY 2023. Specific product lines and customer segments are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$58.6M$-23.2M$-69.9MN/A$-27.9M$18.3M$9.2M
FY 2024$50.6M$-25.8M$-40.6MN/A$-9.9M$4.8M$29.6M
FY 2023$64.4M$-27.4M$-13.8MN/A$-17.7MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 26.7%, operating margin is -39.5%, and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.8. Operating losses persisted across all three reported periods, and net losses exceeded operating losses in FY 2025 and FY 2024. Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M over the same span.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers behind the $58.6M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • What explains the widening net loss from $-13.8M in FY 2023 to $-69.9M in FY 2025, and what is the path to positive operating income?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and covenants of the debt, and how did debt fall from $29.6M to $9.2M?
  • What is the reason for the 52-week range of $1.83 to $100.8, and how does the current share count relate to the $4.3M market capitalization?
  • What is the liquidity runway given FY 2025 FCF of $-27.9M against cash of $18.3M?

DFLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DFLI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DFLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.90?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DFLI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DFLI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.04 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DFLI (E • RQD 25/100) a Buy at $2.32?

Welcome to the DFLI (Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.83 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $2.32

Pump the brakes on DFLI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DFLI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 26.7% gross margins. Unless Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.76 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $2.32

DFLI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DFLI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.32 (52-wk range $1.83 - $100.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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