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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DCH / options
ADNT (35) SMP (61) APOG (71) THRM (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Dauch Corporation (DCH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.78 -4.21% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.73

Dauch Corporation (DCH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.14B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DCH Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.78 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #874 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DCH compare to ADNT and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.29B) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?
β–Ό

Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.73 (-0.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 2.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DCH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DCH SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (37% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.7% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.50-11.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$4.86-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$4.72+1.3% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$4.78-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While DCH currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.65) and Max Pain ($5.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DCH)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DCH.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of DCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.82%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $4.99H $4.99L $4.78C $4.78VOL 3.74M
RES: $7.65SUP: $4.40SMA50: $5.65SMA200: $6.12
$7.77$6.87$5.96$5.06$4.16RES $7.65SUP $4.40$4.782026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ DCH Butterfly Map β†’ + Track DCH β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #874 of 1011 βš”οΈ ADNT vs DCH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DCH vs. ADNT, SMP, APOG, THRM)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dauch Corporation (DCH) ranks #874 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #497 by equity capitalization ($1.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DCH at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DCH ACTIVE
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 β€” 12.1% 2.2% -4.21% $1.14B Benchmark Subject
ADNT
Adient plc
D- 35/100 β€” 6.6% -16.2% -3.80% $1.29B /adnt-vs-dch β†’
SMP
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +10.88% $947.5M /smp-vs-dch β†’
APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% -1.22% $945.3M /apog-vs-dch β†’
THRM
Gentherm Inc
D+ 55/100 β€” 24.2% 8.7% -3.88% $1.63B /thrm-vs-dch β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001062231

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dauch Corporation (DCH) reported GAAP revenue of $5.84B (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and -4.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.7M, operating cash flow of $411.6M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-25.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCH closed FY2025 with $6.67B in total assets against $4.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.84B -$19.7M $411.6M $155.1M $6.67B $4.08B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.12B $35.0M $455.4M $207.4M $5.06B $2.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.08B -$33.6M $396.1M $396.1M β€” β€”

3. DCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.78 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #874 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCH compare to ADNT and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.29B) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?

Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCH last traded at $4.78 (-4.21% on volume of 3,739,725 shares), positioning the stock -15.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.65) and -21.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.12). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $9.25, DCH sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.6% ($4.27 to $5.29).

DCH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is DCH's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: DCH RQD Cockpit DCH 12M Forecast DCH Earnings & Move DCH Dividends & DRIP DCH Insiders & 13F DCH Whale Options DCH Profit Sankey DCH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DCH β€” Dauch Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DCH carries an RQD Score of 31 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted to a maximum of 20 points:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 2.2% and an FCF yield of 13.08%. The FCF yield is the most constructive datapoint in the rating, suggesting cash generation is high relative to the market value, while ROIC at 2.2% indicates limited returns on invested capital.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score points to weak institutional support; the underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The moderate score indicates no strong insider-buying signal, though the specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. The low score signals limited alignment with the prevailing macro regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 1.42, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 6.38. This is the weakest pillar and the primary driver of the forensic-risk label.

Investor implications: the upside case rests mainly on the 13.08% FCF yield and a share price that has moved between $4.44 and $9.25 over the past 52 weeks, meaning the stock trades near its lower range. The valuation tradeoff is that cheap cash-flow yield coexists with a leveraged balance sheet and thin returns on capital, so any equity value depends heavily on whether debt is serviced and cash flow is sustained. The RQD framework treats these forensic markers as the dominant risk, which is why the rating advises avoidance rather than accumulation.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5836.7M$112.3M$-19.7MN/A$155.1M$708.9M$4082.6M
FY 2024$6124.9M$241.4M$35.0MN/A$207.4M$552.9M$2612.0M
FY 2023$6079.5M$146.6M$-33.6MN/A$396.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $6124.9M in FY 2024 to $5836.7M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $35.0M to $-19.7M. Debt rose from $2612.0M to $4082.6M over the same period while cash rose from $552.9M to $708.9M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.42, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 6.38; these forensic markers align with the balance-sheet pillar score of 3 / 20. Net margin is -0.3% per the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference DCH:

  • A Yahoo Finance UK and Yahoo! Finance Canada market-wire item (both YELLOW) covering market action and institutional positioning, with no specific event detailed.
  • A TradingView (YELLOW) item titled as a CFO succession and realignment announcement.
  • A Stock Titan (YELLOW) item noting that third-quarter results will be released before markets open on Nov. 6, with the call starting at 10 a.m. ET.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de item (RED, RISK WATCH) reporting a price-target cut from USD 10 to USD 5 by BofA.
  • A Yahoo Finance (YELLOW) analytical piece referencing the Dowlais Acquisition in comparison with LKQ and GPC.

The RISK WATCH flag on the target cut and the CFO transition are the most material items to monitor, alongside the upcoming Q3 results. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the debt maturity and interest-cost profile behind the $4082.6M debt balance, and how does it compare with FY 2025 operating income of $112.3M?
  • What drove the decline in FY 2025 revenue and the swing to a net loss, and is operating margin of 1.9% expected to recover?
  • What are the terms, financing, and expected contribution of the Dowlais Acquisition?
  • Why was the CFO succession announced, and what is the realignment's expected effect on reporting continuity?
  • What is the Q3 result and what guidance accompanies it on Nov. 6?

DCH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dauch Corporation (DCH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DCH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DCH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.78?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DCH 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DCH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.39 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DCH (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $4.99?

Welcome to the DCH (Dauch Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.74 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $4.99

Pump the brakes on DCH β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DCH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 12.1% gross margins. Unless Dauch Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.14 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $4.99

DCH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DCH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.99 (52-wk range $4.44 - $9.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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