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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DCH / earnings
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Dauch Corporation (DCH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.6% Move

$4.64 -2.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.61

Dauch Corporation (DCH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (-2.93% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #872 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DCH compare to ADNT and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.29B) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?
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Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.61 (-0.72%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE DCH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DCH SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (37% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.7% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.50-11.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$4.86-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$4.72-1.7% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$4.64-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCH currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.65) and Max Pain ($4.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.6% Swing Band

±$0.49 Expected Swing
$4.15 (-10.6%)Spot $4.64$5.13 (+10.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DCH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 30/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.7%

Model Bullish Setup (30/100)Model Risk Weight (70/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$5.84B-$19.7M$155.1M12.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$6.12B$35.0M$207.4M12.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$6.08B-$33.6M$396.1M12.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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DCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.43%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.99H $4.99L $4.64C $4.64VOL 3.74M
RES: $7.65SUP: $4.40SMA50: $5.65SMA200: $6.12
$7.77$6.87$5.96$5.06$4.16RES $7.65SUP $4.40$4.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DCH Butterfly Map → + Track DCH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #872 of 1009 ⚔️ ADNT vs DCH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DCH vs. ADNT, SMP, APOG, THRM)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dauch Corporation (DCH) ranks #872 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #495 by equity capitalization ($1.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DCH at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DCH ACTIVE
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 — 12.1% 2.2% -2.93% $1.14B Benchmark Subject
ADNT
Adient plc
D- 35/100 — 6.6% -16.2% +3.66% $1.29B /adnt-vs-dch →
SMP
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +7.64% $947.5M /smp-vs-dch →
APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% +3.78% $945.3M /apog-vs-dch →
THRM
Gentherm Inc
D+ 55/100 — 24.2% 8.7% +1.39% $1.63B /thrm-vs-dch →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001062231 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dauch Corporation (DCH) reported GAAP revenue of $5.84B (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and -4.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.7M, operating cash flow of $411.6M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-25.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCH closed FY2025 with $6.67B in total assets against $4.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.84B -$19.7M $411.6M $155.1M $6.67B $4.08B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.12B $35.0M $455.4M $207.4M $5.06B $2.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.08B -$33.6M $396.1M $396.1M — —

3. DCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (-2.93% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #872 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCH compare to ADNT and SMP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.29B) and SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?

Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCH last traded at $4.64 (-2.93% on volume of 4,795,699 shares), positioning the stock -17.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.65) and -24.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.12). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $9.25, DCH sits at the 4.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($4.15 to $5.13).

Direct Sub-Reports: DCH RQD Cockpit DCH 12M Forecast DCH Earnings & Move DCH Dividends & DRIP DCH Insiders & 13F DCH Whale Options DCH Profit Sankey DCH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DCH — Dauch Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dauch Corporation (DCH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.64 (-2.93% 1D, market capitalization $1.14B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.2%, gross margin of 12.1%, operating margin of 1.9%, and free cash flow yield of 13.08%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.42, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 6.38x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dauch Corporation (DCH) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry,. Gross margin is 12.1% and operating margin is 1.9% per the market data, indicating a low-margin operating profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dauch Corporation (DCH) reported $5.84B in annual revenue (up from $6.12B in FY2024, -4.7% YoY) and -$19.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.08B revenue, -$33.6M net income) through FY2025, DCH scaled operating cash flow to $411.6M and free cash flow to $155.1M, backed by $6.67B in total assets against $4.08B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 13.08% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.44 – $9.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 13.8x EV/EBITDA against 1.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped. Upstream/downstream dependencies and 2nd-order bottlenecks: — The only sector-relevant reference in the news is the Dowlais Acquisition mentioned in the Yahoo Finance item; its terms and integration effects are not detailed in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can DCH sustain or expand its 1.9% operating margin and 2.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.84B and free cash flow of $155.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.08B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DCH's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DCH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dauch Corporation (DCH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DCH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DCH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DCH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DCH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.88 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 13.08% FCF yield on a stock trading near its 52-week low offers a cash-generation cushion against the current price.

The street is overcomplicating Dauch Corporation (DCH). A 13.08% FCF yield on a stock trading near its 52-week low offers a cash-generation cushion against the current price.. With an RQD score of 30/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 3/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $5.16.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 30/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.78 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.45.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.58 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $4.78

A 6.38 Debt/Equity ratio, Altman Z of 1.42, and FY 2025 net loss leave the balance sheet as the dominant forensic risk.

Careful chasing DCH at $4.78. A 6.38 Debt/Equity ratio, Altman Z of 1.42, and FY 2025 net loss leave the balance sheet as the dominant forensic risk.. Gross margin is 12.1%, but operating margin is 1.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.58 on multiple compression.

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