Why CPS Stock dropped -3.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$20.07 -3.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.90

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $356.6M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.07 (-3.56% 1D, market cap $356.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPS ranks #704 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPS compare to HLLY and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CPS carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $318.8M) and STRT (STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $250.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPS?
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Per CPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320461), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. generated $2.74B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$4.2M in net income, and $64.4M in free cash flow against $1.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.90 (-0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$50 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE CPS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPS SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.4% FCF Margin ($64.4M FCF) & 11.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$21.37-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$20.45+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$20.99-4.4% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$20.07-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CPS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CPS currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.66) and Max Pain ($21.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $50.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CPS Stock dropped -3.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) dropped -3.56% to $20.07, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($19.22 – $47.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($19.22 – $47.98) with RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.9% around $20.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 11.9% gross margin and $64.4M annual free cash flow.
Live CPS Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CPS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.72%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $20.81H $20.81L $20.07C $20.07VOL 374.9K
RES: $21.17SUP: $18.77SMA50: $22.66SMA200: $28.54
$37.09$32.25$27.40$22.56$17.72RES $21.17SUP $18.77$20.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #704 of 1011 ⚔️ HLLY vs CPS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPS vs. HLLY, STRT, AEVA, MPAA)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) ranks #704 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #630 by equity capitalization ($356.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. MPAA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CPS at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPS ACTIVE
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 — 11.9% 85.0% -3.56% $356.6M Benchmark Subject
HLLY
Holley Inc.
D+ 52/100 16.8x 43.4% 7.0% -1.13% $318.8M /hlly-vs-cps →
STRT
STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION
D+ 54/100 12.5x 16.5% 15.2% -2.56% $250.0M /strt-vs-cps →
AEVA
Aeva Technologies Inc.
E 21/100 — -3.7% -35.0% -6.74% $646.2M /aeva-vs-cps →
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America Inc.
D+ 56/100 16.3x 20.2% 21.6% +0.10% $195.2M /mpaa-vs-cps →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001320461

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.74B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.73B ) , GAAP net income of -$4.2M, operating cash flow of $64.4M, and free cash flow of $64.4M (-15.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPS closed FY2025 with $1.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.54, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.74B -$4.2M $64.4M $64.4M $1.83B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.73B -$78.7M $76.4M $76.4M $1.73B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$202.0M $117.3M $117.3M — —

3. CPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.07 (-3.56% 1D, market cap $356.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPS ranks #704 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPS compare to HLLY and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CPS carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $318.8M) and STRT (STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $250.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPS?

Per CPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320461), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. generated $2.74B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$4.2M in net income, and $64.4M in free cash flow against $1.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPS last traded at $20.07 (-3.56% on volume of 374,929 shares), positioning the stock -11.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.66) and -29.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.54). Across its 52-week range of $19.22 to $47.98, CPS sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($18.08 to $22.06).

CPS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CPS stock moving today?

Why CPS Stock dropped -3.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPS — Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CPS scores 44 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The score is built from five pillars, each scored out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 17.43%. For a prospective investor, the high ROIC and FCF yield are the most constructive datapoints in the rating, suggesting the business generates substantial cash relative to its market value. However, the same source data shows a net margin of -0.2% and a gross margin of 11.9%, so the cash generation has not translated into bottom-line profit. Investors should weigh whether the FCF yield is durable or reflects a depressed equity price.
  • Whale / 13F Flow (5/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. In practical terms, there is little evidence in the source data of large institutional buyers building positions, which removes a common confirmation signal for a value thesis.
  • Insider Conviction (12/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score moderately. This is neither a strong insider-buying signal nor a clear distribution signal based on the rating alone; the underlying trade detail is not provided in the holders section.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score weakly. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion, and the auto-parts OEM sector carries cyclical exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z of 1.54, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 score modestly. An Altman Z below the commonly cited distress zone threshold is a material caution flag for a prospective investor, even though Debt/Equity of 0.5 appears moderate.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with strong cash conversion metrics but thin margins, weak institutional support, and a financially stressed balance sheet profile. The upside case rests on sustaining the FCF yield and improving margins; the downside case rests on the distress-zone Altman Z and the absence of institutional demand. The rating is a factual scoring output and is not a recommendation.

Business

Per the profile, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Auto Parts: O.E.M. industry. Per the news wire, the company has announced a lightweight car-door component claiming weight reduction of up to 40%. Per the profile, the market capitalization is $0.4B. Specific customer lists and revenue-by-segment detail are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$2740.9M$86.6M$-4.2MN/A$64.4M$191.7MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$2730.9M$69.8M$-78.7MN/A$76.4M$170.0MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$0.0M$46.0M$-202.0MN/A$117.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $69.8M in FY 2024 to $86.6M in FY 2025 while net income remained negative at $-4.2M. Per the market data, gross margin is 11.9%, operating margin 3.2%, and net margin -0.2%, with ROIC at 85%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z is 1.54 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Free cash flow declined from $117.3M in FY 2023 to $64.4M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the catalysts are:

  • A Stifel Nicolaus price forecast described as pessimistic (MarketBeat).
  • A scheduled investor opportunity to question the CEO and CFO on Nov. 5 (Stock Titan).
  • An expected earnings announcement on Thursday (MarketBeat).
  • A product announcement for a car-door component cutting weight by up to 40% (Stock Titan, flagged RED / RISK WATCH).

Per the news wire, the remaining items are general market-wire coverage flagged YELLOW. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded (supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

  • What are the trailing and forward earnings and valuation multiples, given P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data?
  • What is the debt balance and debt structure, given debt is recorded as N/A across all periods?
  • What drove the FY 2023 revenue figure of $0.0M and the FY 2023 net loss of $-202.0M?
  • What is the outcome of the Stifel Nicolaus forecast and the expected Thursday earnings release?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, given the holders section is NONE?

CPS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.07?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.31 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CPS (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $20.81?

Welcome to the CPS (Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.27 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $20.81

Pump the brakes on CPS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CPS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 11.9% gross margins. Unless Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.97 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $20.81

CPS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CPS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.81 (52-wk range $19.22 - $47.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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