Universal Health Services' Q3 earnings fall 8.3% despite revenue growth, as rising costs and Acute Care pricing pressure offset higher patient volumes.
Why CON Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (NYSE: CON) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $40.33 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $5.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, CON ranks #93 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CON compare to BLLN and CDNA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), CON carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, BLLN (BillionToOne Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $5.35B) and CDNA (CareDx Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.2%, cap $4.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CON leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while CON leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CON?
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Per CON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002014596), Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. generated $2.16B in revenue (+13.9% YoY), $166.4M in net income, and $197.1M in free cash flow against $2.86B in total assets and $1.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.1% FCF Margin ($197.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.4) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CON Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, CON faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.42) or 200D SMA ($28.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.14) toward Bear Floor ($32.87).
Why CON Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) slipped -0.12% to $40.33, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($18.55 – $41.52). Solid steady margins (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($18.55 – $41.52) with RSI-14 at 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.3% around $40.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $197.1M annual free cash flow.
Here is how Concentra Group (CON) and Centene (CNC) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Centene's Q3 earnings beat estimates as Medicare revenues surge 19.9% despite falling membership, while management lifts its 2026 adjusted profit outlook.
Concentra Group Holdings Parent recently opened new occupational health centers in Arlington, Virginia and Pensacola, Florida, extending its network to employers in two employment heavy corridors with services spanning w
PENSACOLA, Fla., October 22, 2026--Concentra®, the nation’s leader in occupational medicine, today announced the opening of its first medical center in Pensacola, expanding its presence to the Florida Panhandle and provi
Elevance Health (ELV) is at a 52-week high, but can investors hope for more gains in the future? We take a look at the company's fundamentals for clues.
Elevance Health beats Q3 EPS estimate by 50% as Carelon grows despite declining medical membership, and lifts its 2026 underlying earnings baseline to $26.75.
Stephens & Co. initiates coverage on Concentra Group Holdings (NYSE:CON) with a Overweight rating and announces Price Target of $45.
Jefferies analyst Jack Slevin initiates coverage on Concentra Group Holdings (NYSE:CON) with a Buy rating and announces Price Target of $47.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CON Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
CON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CON today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CON)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CON vs. BLLN, CDNA, RDNT, GRAL)
Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) ranks #93 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #158 by equity capitalization ($5.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CON leads on earnings valuation at 31.6x trailing P/E, while CON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDNA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CON at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON
ACTIVE
Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 31.6x | — | 19.7% | -0.12% | $5.15B | Benchmark Subject |
| BLLN BillionToOne Inc. | B- | 70/100 | — | 68.3% | 2.9% | -2.57% | $5.35B | /blln-vs-con → |
| CDNA CareDx Inc. | B- | 71/100 | — | — | -8.2% | -1.75% | $4.59B | /cdna-vs-con → |
| RDNT RadNet Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 3.5% | -0.53% | $5.78B | /rdnt-vs-con → |
| GRAL GRAIL Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | -18.0% | -6.74% | $6.41B | /gral-vs-con → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002014596 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.16B (+13.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.90B , and +17.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $166.4M, operating cash flow of $279.4M, and free cash flow of $197.1M (-6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CON closed FY2025 with $2.86B in total assets against $1.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.53, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.16B | $166.4M | $279.4M | $197.1M | $2.86B | $1.10B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.90B | $166.5M | $274.7M | $210.3M | $2.52B | $1.00B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.84B | $179.9M | $234.3M | $151.6M | $2.89B | $677.0M |
3. CON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (NYSE: CON) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $40.33 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $5.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, CON ranks #93 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CON compare to BLLN and CDNA in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), CON carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, BLLN (BillionToOne Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $5.35B) and CDNA (CareDx Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.2%, cap $4.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CON leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while CON leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CON?
Per CON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002014596), Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. generated $2.16B in revenue (+13.9% YoY), $166.4M in net income, and $197.1M in free cash flow against $2.86B in total assets and $1.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CON last traded at $40.33 (-0.12% on volume of 1,242,738 shares), positioning the stock +10.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.42) and +41.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.59). Across its 52-week range of $18.55 to $41.52, CON sits at the 94.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($38.19 to $42.47).
CON — Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $40.33 (-0.12% 1D, market capitalization $5.15B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 15.4%, and free cash flow yield of 3.75%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.53, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.60x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and the Medical Specialities industry. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 15.4% and a net margin of 7.7%. Per the financials, FY 2025 revenue was $2.16B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) reported $2.16B in annual revenue (up from $1.90B in FY2024, +13.9% YoY) and $166.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.84B revenue, $179.9M net income) through FY2025, CON scaled operating cash flow to $279.4M and free cash flow to $197.1M, backed by $2.86B in total assets against $1.10B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.55 – $41.52 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 31.6x trailing P/E and 15.4x EV/EBITDA against 15.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector is Health Care and industry is Medical Specialities. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottlenecks are identified in the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can CON sustain or expand its 15.4% operating margin and 19.7% ROIC against Medical Specialities peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.16B and free cash flow of $197.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.10B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CON's 26.5x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
CON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Universal Health Services' Q3 earnings fall 8.3% despite revenue growth, as rising costs and Acute Care pricing pressure offset higher patient volumes.
Here is how Concentra Group (CON) and Centene (CNC) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Centene's Q3 earnings beat estimates as Medicare revenues surge 19.9% despite falling membership, while management lifts its 2026 adjusted profit outlook.
Concentra Group Holdings Parent recently opened new occupational health centers in Arlington, Virginia and Pensacola, Florida, extending its network to employers in two employment heavy corridors with services spanning w
PENSACOLA, Fla., October 22, 2026--Concentra®, the nation’s leader in occupational medicine, today announced the opening of its first medical center in Pensacola, expanding its presence to the Florida Panhandle and provi
Elevance Health (ELV) is at a 52-week high, but can investors hope for more gains in the future? We take a look at the company's fundamentals for clues.
Elevance Health beats Q3 EPS estimate by 50% as Carelon grows despite declining medical membership, and lifts its 2026 underlying earnings baseline to $26.75.
Stephens & Co. initiates coverage on Concentra Group Holdings (NYSE:CON) with a Overweight rating and announces Price Target of $45.
CON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.33?
Institutional accumulation (17 of 20 whale pillar) and a 19.7% ROIC support the cash-engine case.
The street is overcomplicating Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON). Institutional accumulation (17 of 20 whale pillar) and a 19.7% ROIC support the cash-engine case.. With an RQD score of 68/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $43.61.
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 31.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Medical Specialities. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
A 2.6 Debt/Equity and Beta of 1 leave the balance sheet and macro sensitivity as key exposures.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CON above $40.38. A 2.6 Debt/Equity and Beta of 1 leave the balance sheet and macro sensitivity as key exposures.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (3.75%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $41.52.