Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why COF Stock slipped -1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is COF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $204.85 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $128.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, COF ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does COF compare to MFG and BNS in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), COF carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 52.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, MFG (Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $124.37B) and BNS (Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $117.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BNY leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while MFG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COF?
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Per COF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000927628), Capital One Financial Corporation generated $8.06B in revenue (+36.3% YoY), $2.45B in net income, and $26.14B in free cash flow against $669.01B in total assets and $249.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COF Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, COF faces multiple-compression risk if 52.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($204.35) or 200D SMA ($200.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($214.07) toward Bear Floor ($166.97).
Why COF Stock slipped -1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) slipped -1.86% to $204.85, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($174.24 – $259.64). Solid steady margins (1% return on capital), mixed timing at 52x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($174.24 – $259.64) with RSI-14 at 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $204.85 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $26.1B annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (COF Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
COF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +36.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COF)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (COF vs. MFG, BNS, UBS, BNY)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #24 by equity capitalization ($128.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BNY leads on earnings valuation at 18.3x trailing P/E, while MFG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. COF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF
ACTIVE
Capital One Financial Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 52.2x | — | 0.9% | -1.86% | $128.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan) | C- | 60/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.30% | $124.37B | /mfg-vs-cof → |
| BNS Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 | C+ | 66/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.73% | $117.05B | /bns-vs-cof → |
| UBS UBS Group AG Registered | D+ | 58/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.91% | $149.37B | /ubs-vs-cof → |
| BNY The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 18.3x | — | 2.4% | -1.51% | $101.35B | /bny-vs-cof → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000927628In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) reported GAAP revenue of $8.06B (+36.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.92B , and +42.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.45B, operating cash flow of $27.72B, and free cash flow of $26.14B (+54.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, COF closed FY2025 with $669.01B in total assets against $249.93B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.06B | $2.45B | $27.72B | $26.14B | $669.01B | $249.93B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.92B | $4.75B | $18.16B | $16.95B | $490.14B | $193.21B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $5.64B | $4.89B | $20.57B | $20.32B | $70.43B | $16.48B |
3. COF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs COF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $204.85 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $128.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, COF ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.
How does COF compare to MFG and BNS in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), COF carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 52.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, MFG (Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $124.37B) and BNS (Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $117.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BNY leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while MFG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COF?
Per COF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000927628), Capital One Financial Corporation generated $8.06B in revenue (+36.3% YoY), $2.45B in net income, and $26.14B in free cash flow against $669.01B in total assets and $249.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is COF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
COF last traded at $204.85 (-1.86% on volume of 4,555,001 shares), positioning the stock +0.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($204.35) and +1.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($200.92). Across its 52-week range of $174.24 to $259.64, COF sits at the 35.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($194.81 to $214.89).
COF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is COF stock moving today?
Why COF Stock slipped -1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (1% return on capital), mixed timing at 52x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
COF — Capital One Financial Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, COF scores 68 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, ROIC is 0.9% and FCF yield is 20.41%. The low ROIC against a high FCF yield is a tension the pillar does not resolve; investors should note that the two metrics measure different things and point in different directions on quality of capital deployment.
- Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The RQD pillar references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
- Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. The RQD pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, beta is 1.08, indicating modestly above-market sensitivity to broad market moves.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.
Investor implications, framed analytically: the score sits in the upper-neutral band, which the verdict label characterizes as a watch-for-breakout posture rather than a conviction signal in either direction. The strongest pillar is Forensic Balance Sheet; the weakest is Insider Conviction. Valuation is the central tradeoff in the market data: trailing P/E of 52.2 and forward P/E of 43.8 are elevated relative to the cash-flow yield, and EV/EBITDA of 64.8 further highlights that the market is pricing substantial future earnings expansion. An upside driver would be sustained earnings growth that compresses these multiples; a downside risk is that the multiples persist while reported earnings soften.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $8062.0M | $2894.5M | $2453.0M | N/A | $26140.0M | N/A | $249926.9M |
| FY 2024 | $5915.0M | $5605.0M | $4750.0M | N/A | $16955.0M | N/A | $193212.0M |
| FY 2023 | $5645.0M | $5766.7M | $4887.0M | N/A | $20321.0M | N/A | $16481.2M |
Per the market data, operating margin is 37.1% and net margin is 30.4%, with ROIC at 0.9%. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z is 2.5 and Piotroski F is 7/9. Per the SEC financials, reported debt rose from $16481.2M (FY 2023) to $249926.9M (FY 2025), a change the source data does not explain. Reported net income declined from $4887.0M (FY 2023) to $2453.0M (FY 2025) while revenue in the same table moved from $5645.0M to $8062.0M; the source does not reconcile these movements.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, six headlines are tagged to COF, all with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:
- A Yahoo Finance report on COF's Q3 earnings call commentary.
- A Seeking Alpha report referencing the Discover deal as a potential repricing catalyst.
- A StockInvest.us forecast article.
- A Yahoo Finance report on housing and debanking news, framed as items the company needs to address.
- A MarketScreener earnings flash reporting Q3 revenue of $16.34B against a FactSet estimate of $16.25B.
- A MarketBeat report on an institutional holder, Courier Capital LLC.
Risk watch items are the debanking and housing matters referenced in the news, and the unexplained debt and net-income movements noted above. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What explains the increase in reported debt from $16481.2M (FY 2023) to $249926.9M (FY 2025) against the decline in net income?
- Which specific 13F filers and options positions underpin the 15/20 Whale 13F Flow pillar?
- What is the EPS figure for the financial periods, given that all reported EPS values are N/A?
- How do the Discover deal and the debanking and housing items affect reported earnings and the risk profile?
- What is the reconciliation between the FY 2025 operating income of $2894.5M and the market data operating margin of 37.1%?
COF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
COF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $204.85?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is COF (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $208.74?
Welcome to the COF (Capital One Financial Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (52.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on COF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on COF, but look at what you are paying: 52.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Capital One Financial Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
COF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on COF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $208.74 (52-wk range $174.24 - $259.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.