How profitable is The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), COCO converted $609.8M of revenue into a 36.5% gross margin, 13.5% operating margin, and $39.0M in free cash flow (6.4% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / COCO / financials

FIZZ (71) SAM (75) CCU (45) PRMB (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$58.21 -0.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.05

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $58.21 (-0.46% 1D, market cap $3.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.30B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

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Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.05 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY COCO SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$57.61+7.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$61.77-11.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$54.76+6.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$58.21-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, COCO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.20) or 200D SMA ($61.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.42) toward Bear Floor ($44.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “COCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How COCO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$39.0M (6.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $158.2M

FY24

Rev $516.0M

FY25

Rev $609.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$609.8M	36.5%	13.5%	$72.7M	$39.0M	48.4%
FY 2024	$516.0M	38.5%	14.3%	$56.0M	$41.9M	61.9%
FY 2023	$158.2M	36.5%	35.7%	$46.6M	$107.2M	40.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)

✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $56.27H $58.48L $56.27C $58.21VOL 1.27M

RES: $64.42SUP: $38.65SMA50: $57.20SMA200: $61.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COCO Butterfly Map → + Track COCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #60 of 147 ⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with COCO at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
COCO ACTIVE The Vita Coco Company Inc.	D+	55/100	44.2x	36.5%	40.6%	-0.46%	$3.34B	Benchmark Subject
FIZZ National Beverage Corp.	B-	71/100	17.9x	37.0%	65.6%	+3.57%	$3.30B	/fizz-vs-coco →
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc.	B	75/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+9.97%	$2.04B	/sam-vs-coco →
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D	45/100	—	—	—	+0.19%	$1.91B	/ccu-vs-coco →
PRMB Primo Brands Corporation	D-	36/100	117.4x	30.3%	4.4%	+5.22%	$7.15B	/prmb-vs-coco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M , and +285.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$609.8M	$72.7M	$47.2M	$39.0M	$461.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$516.0M	$56.0M	$42.9M	$41.9M	$362.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$158.2M	$46.6M	$107.2M	$107.2M	—	—

3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COCO last traded at $58.21 (-0.46% on volume of 1,249,317 shares), positioning the stock +1.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.20) and -5.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.79). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 40.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($51.52 to $64.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: COCO RQD Cockpit COCO 12M Forecast COCO Earnings & Move COCO Dividends & DRIP COCO Insiders & 13F COCO Whale Options COCO Profit Sankey COCO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COCO — The Vita Coco Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $58.21 (-0.46% 1D, market capitalization $3.34B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 40.6%, gross margin of 36.5%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 1.22%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 18.24, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, within the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $609.8M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported $609.8M in annual revenue (up from $516.0M in FY2024, +18.2% YoY) and $72.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($158.2M revenue, $46.6M net income) through FY2025, COCO scaled operating cash flow to $47.2M and free cash flow to $39.0M, backed by $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.22% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $39.69 – $85.83 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 44.2x trailing P/E and 33.7x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, supply-chain dependencies, or proprietary signals are recorded. Sector correlations, 2nd-order bottlenecks, and ripple effects are — The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Staples / Beverages classification and the Beta of 1.0 from the market data.

Key Question #1: Can COCO sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 40.6% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $609.8M and free cash flow of $39.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is COCO's 41.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COCO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 21h ago

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

The Vita Coco Company climbs 11% after five-day slide (COCO:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Trefis • 1d ago

Is Vita Coco Stock Cheaper Now That Its Multiple Has Fallen?

Trefis report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

The Vita Coco Company to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on October 22, 2026

www.marketscreener.com report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

The Vita Coco Company Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy COCO?

StockInvest.us report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Evercore ISI reiterates Vita Coco stock rating on demand strength

Investing.com report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

The Vita Coco Company Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast | COCO Stock News

Quiver Quantitative report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Vita Coco: Fair Value, Growth From Private Label And Acquisitions

Seeking Alpha report covering The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $58.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $75.44 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 18.24, Piotroski F 6/9, and ROIC of 40.6%.

The street is overcomplicating The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO). Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 18.24, Piotroski F 6/9, and ROIC of 40.6%.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $63.16.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — COCO's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.61 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $58.48

A P/E (TTM) of 44.2 and 1.22% FCF yield leave the stock with rich valuation and thin cash return.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short COCO above $58.48. A P/E (TTM) of 44.2 and 1.22% FCF yield leave the stock with rich valuation and thin cash return.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (1.22%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $85.83.