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The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

$58.48 +3.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.78

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $58.48 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $3.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.30B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?
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Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.78 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$90 Bull$58 Base$45 Bear
📬 FREE COCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COCO SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$57.61+7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$61.77-11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$54.76+6.8% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$58.48-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, COCO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.20) or 200D SMA ($61.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.69) toward Bear Floor ($45.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$6.73 Expected Swing
$51.75 (-11.5%)Spot $58.48$65.21 (+11.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

COCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $1.27 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$609.8M$72.7M$39.0M36.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$516.0M$56.0M$41.9M38.5%
FY 20232023-12-31$158.2M$46.6M$107.2M36.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $56.27H $58.48L $56.27C $58.48VOL 1.27M
RES: $64.42SUP: $38.65SMA50: $57.20SMA200: $61.79
$88.53$77.34$66.15$54.97$43.78RES $64.42SUP $38.65$58.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COCO Butterfly Map → + Track COCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #60 of 147 ⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with COCO at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COCO ACTIVE
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 55/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% +3.93% $3.34B Benchmark Subject
FIZZ
National Beverage Corp.
B- 71/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +0.80% $3.30B /fizz-vs-coco →
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B 75/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +1.43% $2.04B /sam-vs-coco →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -0.96% $1.91B /ccu-vs-coco →
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +1.39% $7.15B /prmb-vs-coco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M , and +285.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $609.8M $72.7M $47.2M $39.0M $461.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $516.0M $56.0M $42.9M $41.9M $362.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $158.2M $46.6M $107.2M $107.2M — —

3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $58.48 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $3.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.30B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COCO last traded at $58.48 (+3.93% on volume of 1,273,834 shares), positioning the stock +2.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.20) and -5.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.79). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($51.75 to $65.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: COCO RQD Cockpit COCO 12M Forecast COCO Earnings & Move COCO Dividends & DRIP COCO Insiders & 13F COCO Whale Options COCO Profit Sankey COCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COCO — The Vita Coco Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $58.48 (+3.93% 1D, market capitalization $3.34B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 40.6%, gross margin of 36.5%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 1.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 18.24, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, within the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $609.8M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported $609.8M in annual revenue (up from $516.0M in FY2024, +18.2% YoY) and $72.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($158.2M revenue, $46.6M net income) through FY2025, COCO scaled operating cash flow to $47.2M and free cash flow to $39.0M, backed by $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.22% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $39.69 – $85.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 44.2x trailing P/E and 33.7x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, supply-chain dependencies, or proprietary signals are recorded. Sector correlations, 2nd-order bottlenecks, and ripple effects are — The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Staples / Beverages classification and the Beta of 1.0 from the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can COCO sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 40.6% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $609.8M and free cash flow of $39.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COCO's 41.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $58.48?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $75.44 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 18.24, Piotroski F 6/9, and ROIC of 40.6%.

The street is overcomplicating The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO). Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 18.24, Piotroski F 6/9, and ROIC of 40.6%.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $63.16.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — COCO's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.61 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $58.48

A P/E (TTM) of 44.2 and 1.22% FCF yield leave the stock with rich valuation and thin cash return.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short COCO above $58.48. A P/E (TTM) of 44.2 and 1.22% FCF yield leave the stock with rich valuation and thin cash return.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (1.22%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $85.83.

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