Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $4.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While CNR currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.54) and Max Pain ($91.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) slipped -0.25% to $86.93, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($74.75 – $114.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Core Natural Resources (CNR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
The best-performing stocks typically have robust sales growth, increasing margins, and rising returns on capital, and those that can maintain this trifecta year in and year out often become the legends of the investing w
Is CNR a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on Core Natural Resources, Inc. on One Idea Per Day’s Substack by Paul. The thesis was published on July 15th, when the stock was trading at $86.21, and CNR has
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #91 by equity capitalization ($4.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CNR at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNR
ACTIVE
Core Natural Resources Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -4.0% | -0.25% | $4.33B | Benchmark Subject |
| HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 79.3x | 22.4% | 1.8% | +0.41% | $4.52B | /hcc-vs-cnr → |
| BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | E | 24/100 | — | — | -2.1% | -0.22% | $2.71B | /btu-vs-cnr → |
| AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -4.1% | -1.62% | $2.05B | /amr-vs-cnr → |
| NRP Natural Resource Partners LP | B- | 70/100 | — | — | 18.4% | -0.75% | $1.54B | /nrp-vs-cnr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.16B | -$153.2M | $305.8M | $21.2M | $6.13B | $317.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.16B | $286.4M | $476.4M | $298.4M | $2.88B | $79.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.51B | $655.9M | $857.9M | $857.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $4.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CNR last traded at $86.93 (-0.25% on volume of 306,889 shares), positioning the stock -6.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.54) and -4.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.81). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 30.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($80.58 to $93.28).
Why CNR Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNR scores 37 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC -4%; FCF yield 0.49%); Whale 13F Flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7 of 20 (Altman Z 1.93; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.09).
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weakness in the cash-generating engine and in the flow of capital behind the shares. The two lowest-scoring pillars, insider conviction and institutional flow, indicate limited evidence of concentrated buying conviction in the source data. The fundamental pillar reflects negative ROIC and a very low FCF yield, meaning the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital and generates little free cash relative to its price. The forensic pillar sits in the middle of the range: the Altman Z-Score of 1.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 are mixed signals, while the low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 is a relative balance-sheet strength. Macro fit is neutral, with a beta of 1.0 implying market-level sensitivity. Any upside case would depend on operating margins and cash generation improving from current levels; the rating itself does not project that outcome.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4164.8M | $-182.1M | $-153.2M | N/A | $21.2M | $432.2M | $317.3M |
| FY 2024 | $2164.4M | $351.0M | $286.4M | N/A | $298.4M | $408.2M | $79.5M |
| FY 2023 | $2506.6M | $803.3M | $655.9M | N/A | $857.9M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose to $4164.8M in FY 2025 from $2164.4M in FY 2024, but the company moved from operating income of $351.0M to an operating loss of $-182.1M and from net income of $286.4M to a net loss of $-153.2M. Per the market data, the operating margin is -4.4%, the net margin is -3.7%, the gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.09. Reported debt rose from $79.5M in FY 2024 to $317.3M in FY 2025, while cash was $432.2M at FY 2025 year end.
The news feed contains six headlines, all relating to CNR, with no company-specific detail beyond headlines and generic summaries. The two items tagged as catalysts are a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Core Natural Resources: The Buyback Acceleration Is Coming" (GREEN) and a GuruFocus item referencing a GF Value of $97.90 against a price of $92.10 (GREEN). The remaining four items are market-wire or estimate-related coverage tagged YELLOW, including Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, and TradingView pages. The source data does not explain the content underlying these headlines beyond their titles. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Core Natural Resources (CNR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Welcome to the CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Core Natural Resources Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $87.15 (52-wk range $74.75 - $114.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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