Stock Ratings / Energy / CNR / dividends

HCC (56) BTU (24) AMR (43) NRP (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$86.93 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.33B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $4.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

▼

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

▼

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNR SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$91.62-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$89.90-1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$88.47-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$86.93-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNR currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.54) and Max Pain ($91.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.21% Total Yield

0.61% Cash ($0.53/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

49.6% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $42,987

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $520/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.6K

Yr 1

$13.4K

Yr 2

$15.5K

Yr 3

$17.9K

Yr 4

$20.7K

Yr 5

$24.0K

Yr 6

$27.8K

Yr 7

$32.1K

Yr 8

$37.2K

Yr 9

$43.0K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNR)

✓Walkthrough of CNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $88.40H $88.40L $86.93C $86.93VOL 402.9K

RES: $108.3SUP: $86.18SMA50: $92.54SMA200: $90.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNR Butterfly Map → + Track CNR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNR)

Energy Rank #180 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs CNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNR vs. HCC, BTU, AMR, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #91 by equity capitalization ($4.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CNR at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNR ACTIVE Core Natural Resources Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-4.0%	-0.25%	$4.33B	Benchmark Subject
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+0.41%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-cnr →
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation	E	24/100	—	—	-2.1%	-0.22%	$2.71B	/btu-vs-cnr →
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-4.1%	-1.62%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-cnr →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	B-	70/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.75%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-cnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.16B	-$153.2M	$305.8M	$21.2M	$6.13B	$317.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.16B	$286.4M	$476.4M	$298.4M	$2.88B	$79.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.51B	$655.9M	$857.9M	$857.9M	—	—

3. CNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

Where is CNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNR last traded at $86.93 (-0.25% on volume of 306,889 shares), positioning the stock -6.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.54) and -4.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.81). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 30.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($80.58 to $93.28).

CNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CNR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) offers a 0.61% cash dividend yield ($0.53 annualized) and 1.21% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNR RQD Cockpit CNR 12M Forecast CNR Earnings & Move CNR Dividends & DRIP CNR Insiders & 13F CNR Whale Options CNR Profit Sankey CNR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNR — Core Natural Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNR scores 37 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC -4%; FCF yield 0.49%); Whale 13F Flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7 of 20 (Altman Z 1.93; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.09).

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weakness in the cash-generating engine and in the flow of capital behind the shares. The two lowest-scoring pillars, insider conviction and institutional flow, indicate limited evidence of concentrated buying conviction in the source data. The fundamental pillar reflects negative ROIC and a very low FCF yield, meaning the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital and generates little free cash relative to its price. The forensic pillar sits in the middle of the range: the Altman Z-Score of 1.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 are mixed signals, while the low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 is a relative balance-sheet strength. Macro fit is neutral, with a beta of 1.0 implying market-level sensitivity. Any upside case would depend on operating margins and cash generation improving from current levels; the rating itself does not project that outcome.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$4164.8M	$-182.1M	$-153.2M	N/A	$21.2M	$432.2M	$317.3M
FY 2024	$2164.4M	$351.0M	$286.4M	N/A	$298.4M	$408.2M	$79.5M
FY 2023	$2506.6M	$803.3M	$655.9M	N/A	$857.9M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose to $4164.8M in FY 2025 from $2164.4M in FY 2024, but the company moved from operating income of $351.0M to an operating loss of $-182.1M and from net income of $286.4M to a net loss of $-153.2M. Per the market data, the operating margin is -4.4%, the net margin is -3.7%, the gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.09. Reported debt rose from $79.5M in FY 2024 to $317.3M in FY 2025, while cash was $432.2M at FY 2025 year end.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six headlines, all relating to CNR, with no company-specific detail beyond headlines and generic summaries. The two items tagged as catalysts are a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Core Natural Resources: The Buyback Acceleration Is Coming" (GREEN) and a GuruFocus item referencing a GF Value of $97.90 against a price of $92.10 (GREEN). The remaining four items are market-wire or estimate-related coverage tagged YELLOW, including Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, and TradingView pages. The source data does not explain the content underlying these headlines beyond their titles. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue mix behind the FY 2025 revenue increase to $4164.8M?
What drove the swing to an operating loss of $-182.1M in FY 2025, and is it expected to persist?
What is the source and purpose of the increase in reported debt from $79.5M to $317.3M?
What EPS and valuation multiples apply, given that EPS and P/E fields are unavailable in the source data?
What is the content and status of the buyback program referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline?

CNR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 6h ago

Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 12h ago

Core Natural Resources: The Buyback Acceleration Is Coming

Seeking Alpha report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 15h ago

Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 18h ago

A Look at Core Natural Resources Inc (CNR) After 4.2% Gain -- GF Value $97.90 vs Price $92.10

GuruFocus report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 21h ago

Core Natural Resources, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:CNR

TradingView report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) Stock Falls 3.5% - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Core Natural Resources (CNR) Earnings And Rare Earths Push Put Valuation Back In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Analysts Estimate Core Natural Resources (CNR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Natural Resources (CNR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.93?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.69 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNR (D- • RQD 37/100) a Buy at $87.15?

Welcome to the CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.59 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $87.15

Pump the brakes on CNR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Core Natural Resources Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $110.68 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $87.15

CNR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $87.15 (52-wk range $74.75 - $114.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.