Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$56.11 +1.85% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.43

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $113.97B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNQ Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE: CNQ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $56.11 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $113.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNQ ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNQ compare to E and PBR in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CNQ carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, E (ENI S.p.A.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $94.69B) and PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $141.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EOG leads on earnings multiple (17.1x) while EOG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNQ?
β–Ό

For Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.43 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$70 Bull$60 Base$46 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CNQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CNQ SCORES 72/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.6% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$52.14+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$54.18-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$54.07+3.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$56.11+7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (64) β†’ B (72)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNQ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CNQ faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.91) or 200D SMA ($46.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.64) toward Bear Floor ($46.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNQβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCNQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CNQ Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CNQ)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CNQ. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CNQ Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CNQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.93%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $54.81H $56.11L $54.81C $56.11VOL 4.46M
RES: $56.47SUP: $49.71SMA50: $50.91SMA200: $46.19
$57.67$51.89$46.11$40.33$34.55RES $56.47SUP $49.71$56.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNQ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNQ)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNQ vs. E, PBR, EOG, TTE)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #11 by equity capitalization ($113.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.1x trailing P/E, while EOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 87/100 (A) compared with CNQ at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNQ ACTIVE
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.85% $113.97B Benchmark Subject
E
ENI S.p.A.
B- 71/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.03% $94.69B /e-vs-cnq β†’
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS
C+ 67/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.69% $141.13B /pbr-vs-cnq β†’
EOG
EOG Resources Inc.
A 87/100 17.1x β€” 14.7% +2.05% $85.09B /eog-vs-cnq β†’
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
B- 71/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.38% $205.16B /tte-vs-cnq β†’

2. CNQ Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $113.97B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. CNQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE: CNQ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $56.11 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $113.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNQ ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNQ compare to E and PBR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CNQ carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, E (ENI S.p.A.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $94.69B) and PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $141.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EOG leads on earnings multiple (17.1x) while EOG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNQ?

For Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNQ last traded at $56.11 (+1.85% on volume of 7,263,183 shares), positioning the stock +10.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($50.91) and +21.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.19). Across its 52-week range of $30.13 to $56.27, CNQ sits at the 99.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.6% ($53.53 to $58.69).

CNQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are CNQ insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CNQ leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 72/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNQ β€” Canadian Natural Resources Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNQ carries an RQD Score of 72 and a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. This is the weakest pillar relative to its weight. The inputs cited are ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. For an investor, this suggests the business generates a modest return on invested capital and a relatively thin free-cash yield at the current price, which tempers valuation support.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar, described in the rating as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: institutional demand is a notable upside driver, though it can reverse quickly if positioning changes.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Described as reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is moderate conviction; it neither strongly confirms nor contradicts the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Cited inputs are Beta of 1.14 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock is somewhat more volatile than the market, so it is likely to amplify broader moves in either direction.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Cited inputs are Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. These are the strongest fundamentals-adjacent signals, indicating a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage.

Valuation tradeoff: market data shows a trailing P/E of 32.8 against a forward P/E of 27.6, and EV/EBITDA of 21. Those multiples are elevated, so the "Good Risk/Reward" verdict depends heavily on the institutional and balance-sheet pillars offsetting a demanding price. Price of 55.09 sits near the top of its 52-week range of $30.13 - $56.27.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
55.09$113.97B32.827.6211.680%1.14$30.13 - $56.279.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed (six items, all relating to CNQ):

  • Yellow-flagged market-wire items include a general market report, a report of a 52-week high, a MarketBeat "Moderate Buy" consensus headline, a dividend-focused commentary piece, and a short-interest report for October.
  • One red-flagged "RISK WATCH" item reports a downgrade to Market Perform at Raymond James.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures for recent periods?
  • What are the specific analyst consensus ratings and price targets?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the 13F and Form 4 cluster flow cited in the RQD rating?
  • What is the company's production profile, commodity exposure, and customer base?
  • What is the dividend policy, given that the market data reports a 0% dividend yield while the news feed contains a dividend-focused headline?

CNQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CNQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $56.11?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNQ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $65.01 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNQ (B β€’ RQD 72/100) a Buy at $55.09?

Welcome to the CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.32 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $55.09

Pump the brakes on CNQ β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNQ, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Canadian Natural Resources Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.76 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $55.09

CNQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $55.09 (52-wk range $30.13 - $56.27), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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