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Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.29 -10.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.14

Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.32B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CIFR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CIFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Cipher Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $7.29 (-10.00% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CIFR ranks #1027 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CIFR compare to GBDC and PFSI in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CIFR carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -11.5%. By comparison, GBDC (Golub Capital BDC Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 8.8x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $3.30B) and PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PFSI leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CIFR?
▼

Per CIFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819989), Cipher Digital Inc. generated $223.9M in revenue (+48.0% YoY), -$822.2M in net income, and -$695.9M in free cash flow against $4.29B in total assets and $2.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.14 (-1.99%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target
$32 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE CIFR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CIFR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CIFR SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 63.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (29.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$9.94-8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$9.13-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$8.87-17.8% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$7.29-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CIFR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CIFR currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.69) and Max Pain ($7.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CIFR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CIFR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CIFR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.29: 1371.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.95
$6,790
$-3,210 (-32.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $6.34
$8,697
$-1,303 (-13.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $31.65
$43,416
+$33,416 (+334.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CIFR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CIFR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CIFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $8.10H $8.10L $7.29C $7.29VOL 56.62M
RES: $14.52SUP: $6.40SMA50: $13.69SMA200: $17.59
$31.76$25.03$18.30$11.57$4.84RES $14.52SUP $6.40$7.292026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CIFR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CIFR Butterfly Map → + Track CIFR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +48.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CIFR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CIFR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CIFR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CIFR)

Financials Rank #1027 of 1096 ⚔️ GBDC vs CIFR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CIFR vs. GBDC, PFSI, SLM, GPGI)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) ranks #1027 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #337 by equity capitalization ($3.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PFSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PFSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with CIFR at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CIFR ACTIVE
Cipher Digital Inc.
E 29/100 — — -11.5% -10.00% $3.32B Benchmark Subject
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 8.8x — 9.6% -0.47% $3.30B /gbdc-vs-cifr →
PFSI
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
D- 43/100 6.7x — 11.6% -2.31% $3.27B /pfsi-vs-cifr →
SLM
SLM Corporation
D- 37/100 4.5x — 7.4% -2.47% $3.25B /slm-vs-cifr →
GPGI
GPGI Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — — -6.5% -3.62% $3.24B /gpgi-vs-cifr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819989

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) reported GAAP revenue of $223.9M (+48.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $151.3M , and +76.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$822.2M, operating cash flow of -$207.9M, and free cash flow of -$695.9M (-206.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CIFR closed FY2025 with $4.29B in total assets against $2.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $223.9M -$822.2M -$207.9M -$695.9M $4.29B $2.71B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $151.3M -$44.6M -$87.5M -$227.0M $855.4M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $126.8M -$25.8M -$94.2M -$99.9M $2.03B $475.1M

3. CIFR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CIFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cipher Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $7.29 (-10.00% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CIFR ranks #1027 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CIFR compare to GBDC and PFSI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CIFR carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -11.5%. By comparison, GBDC (Golub Capital BDC Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 8.8x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $3.30B) and PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PFSI leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CIFR?

Per CIFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819989), Cipher Digital Inc. generated $223.9M in revenue (+48.0% YoY), -$822.2M in net income, and -$695.9M in free cash flow against $4.29B in total assets and $2.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CIFR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CIFR last traded at $7.29 (-10.00% on volume of 56,618,297 shares), positioning the stock -46.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.69) and -58.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.59). Across its 52-week range of $6.93 to $30.14, CIFR sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.38 to $8.20).

CIFR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CIFR's 12-month stock price target?

Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $6.34 (-13% from $7.29), with a bull-case target of $31.65 and a bear-case floor of $4.95.

Is CIFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CIFR E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 29/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CIFR RQD Cockpit CIFR 12M Forecast CIFR Earnings & Move CIFR Dividends & DRIP CIFR Insiders & 13F CIFR Whale Options CIFR Profit Sankey CIFR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CIFR — Cipher Digital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:01Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CIFR scores 28 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20 (ROIC -11.5%; FCF yield -18%), Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to weakness across every dimension, with the lowest scores concentrated in macro regime fit and institutional flow. The cash engine score reflects negative return on invested capital and a deeply negative free cash flow yield, meaning the business is not currently generating cash relative to its capital base. The forensic balance sheet score is the highest of the five pillars but remains below midpoint, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4 out of 9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5. Any upside case would have to rest on a reversal in cash generation that the source data does not show. The rating is a structured summary of the available data, not a forecast, and it does not account for information outside the provided sources.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$223.9M$-421.6M$-822.2MN/A$-695.9M$628.3M$2711.6M
FY 2024$151.3M$-43.7M$-44.6MN/A$-227.0M$5.6M$0.0M
FY 2023$126.8M$-20.1M$-25.8MN/A$-99.9MN/A$475.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose across the three reported periods while operating and net losses widened sharply in FY 2025. Gross margin is 0% and operating and net margins are each -60% per the market data. ROIC is -11.5% and the Roarable RQD rating records an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Debt rose from $0.0M in FY 2024 to $2711.6M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $628.3M, and free cash flow was negative in every reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • RISK WATCH (Yahoo Finance-sourced headline, 2026-11-02 window): Shares fell 12% after an announced $850 million convertible debt offering. This is the most material item in the feed and aligns with the rise in reported debt.
  • RISK WATCH (24/7 Wall St.): Shares tumbled 14% on the same $850M convertible note offering and a share exchange, with Applied Digital reported down 5%.
  • RISK WATCH (Yahoo Finance, analytical): A risk-oriented article on how risky the stock is, flagged red by the feed.
  • MARKET WIRE (Trefis): A "what changed and what did not" piece, flagged yellow.
  • MARKET WIRE (Yahoo Finance): A "what needs to be true to buy" piece, flagged yellow.
  • CATALYST (Yahoo Finance, market action): A report that the stock dipped while the market gained, flagged green.

Per the market data, the stock closed at $8.10, down -8.68% on the session, with volume of 39,467,011. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain and no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's business model, product set, and revenue source, given that the source data provides only sector classification?
  • What are the terms, maturity, and conversion price of the $850 million convertible note offering, and how much dilution would the share exchange create?
  • What is the basis for the reported jump in debt to $2711.6M and what is the cash runway given free cash flow of $-695.9M in FY 2025?
  • Why is P/E (TTM) unavailable while EPS is -1.8, and what are the EV/EBITDA and gross margin trajectories?
  • What is the institutional and insider ownership profile, given that the holders and analyst data sections are empty?

CIFR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CIFR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CIFR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.29?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CIFR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CIFR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.13 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CIFR (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $8.10?

Welcome to the CIFR (Cipher Digital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.32 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $8.10

Pump the brakes on CIFR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CIFR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cipher Digital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.13 (+25.1%)
Spot @ $8.10

CIFR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CIFR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.10 (52-wk range $6.93 - $30.14), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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