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Stock Ratings / Technology / CHKP / options
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$141.50 -6.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.06

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (86.7% gross margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $15.53B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHKP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHKP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $141.50 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $15.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CHKP ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHKP compare to TYL and DOCU in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CHKP carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of 20.8%. By comparison, TYL (Tyler Technologies Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 47.1x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $15.68B) and DOCU (DocuSign Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHKP leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while CHKP leads on capital efficiency (20.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHKP?
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Per CHKP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001015922), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. generated $2.73B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $1.06B in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $2.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.07 (-1.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 43% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B+
Cash (17)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (16)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$217 Bull$156 Base$116 Bear
📬 FREE CHKP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHKP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHKP SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43% FCF Margin ($1.17B FCF) & 86.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$134.08+7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$143.43+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
77
Grade B+$155.22-8.8% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$141.50+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHKP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, CHKP faces multiple-compression risk if 14.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 84.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($138.76) or 200D SMA ($140.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($155.51) toward Bear Floor ($116.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHKP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHKP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CHKP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CHKP.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CHKP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CHKP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHKP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.03%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $153.5H $153.5L $141.5C $141.5VOL 2.49M
RES: $164.9SUP: $128.0SMA50: $138.8SMA200: $140.6
$184.6$165.0$145.4$125.8$106.3RES $164.9SUP $128.0$141.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHKP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHKP Butterfly Map → + Track CHKP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHKP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHKP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHKP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHKP)

Technology Rank #11 of 715 ⚔️ TYL vs CHKP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CHKP vs. TYL, DOCU, U, MANH)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #121 by equity capitalization ($15.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHKP leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while CHKP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.8% ROIC and 86.7% gross margin. CHKP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHKP ACTIVE
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
B+ 80/100 14.8x 86.7% 20.8% -6.97% $15.53B Benchmark Subject
TYL
Tyler Technologies Inc.
B 73/100 47.1x 46.5% 8.1% +2.44% $15.68B /tyl-vs-chkp →
DOCU
DocuSign Inc.
B+ 78/100 49.3x 79.4% 10.3% -0.63% $15.36B /docu-vs-chkp →
U
Unity Software Inc.
D+ 54/100 — 74.2% -14.6% +3.10% $16.59B /u-vs-chkp →
MANH
Manhattan Associates Inc.
B+ 80/100 63.8x 56.3% 19.7% +1.95% $14.48B /manh-vs-chkp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001015922 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.56B , and +12.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.06B, operating cash flow of $1.20B, and free cash flow of $1.17B (+14.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHKP closed FY2025 with $7.81B in total assets against $2.22B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.62, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.73B $1.06B $1.20B $1.17B $7.81B $2.22B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.56B $845.7M $1.05B $1.03B $5.75B $1.33B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.41B $840.3M $1.04B $929.2M $8.62B $2.02B

3. CHKP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHKP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $141.50 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $15.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CHKP ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHKP compare to TYL and DOCU in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CHKP carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of 20.8%. By comparison, TYL (Tyler Technologies Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 47.1x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $15.68B) and DOCU (DocuSign Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHKP leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while CHKP leads on capital efficiency (20.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHKP?

Per CHKP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001015922), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. generated $2.73B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $1.06B in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $2.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHKP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHKP last traded at $141.50 (-6.97% on volume of 2,786,947 shares), positioning the stock +1.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($138.76) and +0.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($140.56). Across its 52-week range of $112.23 to $206.43, CHKP sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($131.88 to $151.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: CHKP RQD Cockpit CHKP 12M Forecast CHKP Earnings & Move CHKP Dividends & DRIP CHKP Insiders & 13F CHKP Whale Options CHKP Profit Sankey CHKP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHKP — Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 80/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $141.50 (-6.97% 1D, market capitalization $15.53B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 20.8%, gross margin of 86.7%, operating margin of 30.5%, and free cash flow yield of 7.48%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.38x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.62, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.72x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Specific product lines, customer segments, and monetization mechanics are — The market data shows gross margin of 86.7%, operating margin of 30.5%, and net margin of 38.8%, which are consistent with a high-margin software business, though the source does not describe the revenue model directly.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) reported $2.73B in annual revenue (up from $2.56B in FY2024, +6.3% YoY) and $1.06B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.41B revenue, $840.3M net income) through FY2025, CHKP scaled operating cash flow to $1.20B and free cash flow to $1.17B, backed by $7.81B in total assets against $2.22B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 80/100): Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $112.23 – $206.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 14.8x trailing P/E and 18.7x EV/EBITDA against 30.5% operating margins and a 1.38x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector information is the classification of Technology / Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. An investor should treat the RQD macro pillar's sector-sensitivity reference as the only available proxy for ripple exposure.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHKP sustain or expand its 30.5% operating margin and 20.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.73B and free cash flow of $1.17B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.22B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHKP's 13.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.38x)?

CHKP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHKP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHKP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $141.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHKP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHKP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.10 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 20.8% and an FCF yield of 7.48% sit alongside a forward P/E of 13.8 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9.

The street is overcomplicating Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP). Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 20.8% and an FCF yield of 7.48% sit alongside a forward P/E of 13.8 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9.. With an RQD score of 80/100 (B+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $164.28.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 80/100 quality, though with 1.38 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $152.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $141.46.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $115.60 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $152.11

Per the news wire, shares fell on a Q3 revenue and billings miss, and the stock carries a beta of 1.38.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CHKP above $152.11. Per the news wire, shares fell on a Q3 revenue and billings miss, and the stock carries a beta of 1.38.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (7.48%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $206.43.

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