Should I buy, hold, or sell CHKP stock right now?

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (86.7% gross margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is CHKP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CHKP's 12-month base price target is $155.51 (range $116.03 to $216.75), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / CHKP

TYL (73) DOCU (78) U (54) MANH (80) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$141.50 -6.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.06

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (86.7% gross margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $15.53B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHKP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHKP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $141.50 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $15.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CHKP ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHKP compare to TYL and DOCU in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CHKP carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of 20.8%. By comparison, TYL (Tyler Technologies Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 47.1x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $15.68B) and DOCU (DocuSign Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHKP leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while CHKP leads on capital efficiency (20.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHKP?

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Per CHKP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001015922), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. generated $2.73B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $1.06B in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $2.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $140.07 (-1.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 43% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHKP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CHKP SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43% FCF Margin ($1.17B FCF) & 86.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$134.08+7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$143.43+8.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$155.22-8.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$141.50+8.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHKP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, CHKP faces multiple-compression risk if 14.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 84.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($138.76) or 200D SMA ($140.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($155.51) toward Bear Floor ($116.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHKP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CHKP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.62>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE

L: $112$141.50H: $206

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (86.7% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CHKP

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

20.8% ROIC with 86.7% gross margin and 7.48% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 5.62 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (80)

32/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CHKP

✓Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHKP Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CHKP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.03%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $153.5H $153.5L $141.5C $141.5VOL 2.49M

RES: $164.9SUP: $128.0SMA50: $138.8SMA200: $140.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHKP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHKP Butterfly Map → + Track CHKP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

6.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHKP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHKP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHKP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHKP)

Technology Rank #11 of 715 ⚔️ TYL vs CHKP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CHKP vs. TYL, DOCU, U, MANH)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #121 by equity capitalization ($15.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHKP leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while CHKP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.8% ROIC and 86.7% gross margin. CHKP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CHKP ACTIVE Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.	B+	80/100	14.8x	86.7%	20.8%	-6.97%	$15.53B	Benchmark Subject
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc.	B	73/100	47.1x	46.5%	8.1%	+2.44%	$15.68B	/tyl-vs-chkp →
DOCU DocuSign Inc.	B+	78/100	49.3x	79.4%	10.3%	-0.63%	$15.36B	/docu-vs-chkp →
U Unity Software Inc.	D+	54/100	—	74.2%	-14.6%	+3.10%	$16.59B	/u-vs-chkp →
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc.	B+	80/100	63.8x	56.3%	19.7%	+1.95%	$14.48B	/manh-vs-chkp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001015922 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.56B , and +12.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.06B, operating cash flow of $1.20B, and free cash flow of $1.17B (+14.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHKP closed FY2025 with $7.81B in total assets against $2.22B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.62, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.73B	$1.06B	$1.20B	$1.17B	$7.81B	$2.22B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.56B	$845.7M	$1.05B	$1.03B	$5.75B	$1.33B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.41B	$840.3M	$1.04B	$929.2M	$8.62B	$2.02B

3. CHKP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHKP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CHKP compare to TYL and DOCU in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHKP?

Where is CHKP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHKP last traded at $141.50 (-6.97% on volume of 2,786,947 shares), positioning the stock +1.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($138.76) and +0.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($140.56). Across its 52-week range of $112.23 to $206.43, CHKP sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($131.88 to $151.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: CHKP RQD Cockpit CHKP 12M Forecast CHKP Earnings & Move CHKP Dividends & DRIP CHKP Insiders & 13F CHKP Whale Options CHKP Profit Sankey CHKP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHKP — Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 80/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $141.50 (-6.97% 1D, market capitalization $15.53B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 20.8%, gross margin of 86.7%, operating margin of 30.5%, and free cash flow yield of 7.48%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.38x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.62, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.72x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Specific product lines, customer segments, and monetization mechanics are — The market data shows gross margin of 86.7%, operating margin of 30.5%, and net margin of 38.8%, which are consistent with a high-margin software business, though the source does not describe the revenue model directly.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) reported $2.73B in annual revenue (up from $2.56B in FY2024, +6.3% YoY) and $1.06B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.41B revenue, $840.3M net income) through FY2025, CHKP scaled operating cash flow to $1.20B and free cash flow to $1.17B, backed by $7.81B in total assets against $2.22B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 80/100): Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $112.23 – $206.43 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 14.8x trailing P/E and 18.7x EV/EBITDA against 30.5% operating margins and a 1.38x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector information is the classification of Technology / Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. An investor should treat the RQD macro pillar's sector-sensitivity reference as the only available proxy for ripple exposure.

Key Question #1: Can CHKP sustain or expand its 30.5% operating margin and 20.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.73B and free cash flow of $1.17B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.22B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHKP's 13.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.38x)?

CHKP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHKP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy CHKP?

StockInvest.us report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investor's Business Daily • 1d ago

Check Point Software Falls On Q3 Revenue, Billings Miss

Investor's Business Daily report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) Stock Could Trade At A Discount To Fair Value

Yahoo Finance report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Shares Surge 3.4% -- What GF Score of 82 Tells Investors

GuruFocus report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies Insider Sold Shares Worth $478,005, According to a Recent SEC Filing

www.marketscreener.com report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Shares Surge 4.6% -- What GF Score of 86 Tells Investors

GuruFocus report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Check Point Software stock tumbles 9% on missing revenue despite in-line earnings

Yahoo Finance report covering Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHKP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $141.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHKP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.10 (+23.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 20.8% and an FCF yield of 7.48% sit alongside a forward P/E of 13.8 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9.

The street is overcomplicating Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP). Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 20.8% and an FCF yield of 7.48% sit alongside a forward P/E of 13.8 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9.. With an RQD score of 80/100 (B+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $164.28.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 80/100 quality, though with 1.38 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $152.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $141.46.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $115.60 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $152.11

Per the news wire, shares fell on a Q3 revenue and billings miss, and the stock carries a beta of 1.38.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CHKP above $152.11. Per the news wire, shares fell on a Q3 revenue and billings miss, and the stock carries a beta of 1.38.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (7.48%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $206.43.