Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($1.29B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -12 pt regime headwind
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CEG faces multiple-compression risk if 40.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($272.29) or 200D SMA ($279.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($261.20) toward Bear Floor ($203.74).
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) slipped -0.83% to $262.38, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($228.63 – $384.98). Stretched risk/reward at 40x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Constellation Energy report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Key Stats for Vistra StockCurrent Price: $138. 37Target Price (Mid): ~$155Street Target: ~$205Potential Total Return: ~12%Annualized IRR: ~3% / yearWhat Happened?Vistra (VST:NYSE) closed its purchase of Cogentrix Energy
Building industrial power for artificial intelligence is going to require nuclear energy, and these stocks may be able to deliver it.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +19.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CEG today. View full Setup Ledger →
Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($93.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CEG at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG
ACTIVE
Constellation Energy Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 40.4x | — | 13.4% | -0.83% | $93.74B | Benchmark Subject |
| SO Southern Company | D | 48/100 | 24.6x | — | 6.9% | +0.77% | $106.97B | /so-vs-ceg → |
| AEP American Electric Power Company Inc. | C | 63/100 | 17.0x | — | 5.6% | +0.67% | $70.43B | /aep-vs-ceg → |
| D Dominion Energy Inc. | C | 65/100 | 19.1x | — | 5.5% | +2.30% | $57.27B | /d-vs-ceg → |
| ETR Entergy Corporation | D | 46/100 | 20.5x | — | 5.9% | +0.13% | $51.32B | /etr-vs-ceg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported GAAP revenue of $22.66B (+19.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.96B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.32B, operating cash flow of $4.24B, and free cash flow of $1.29B (+125.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CEG closed FY2025 with $57.25B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $22.66B | $2.32B | $4.24B | $1.29B | $57.25B | $7.25B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $18.96B | $3.75B | -$2.46B | -$5.03B | $52.93B | $7.38B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $20.84B | $1.62B | -$5.30B | -$6.24B | $51.56B | $12.06B |
As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CEG last traded at $262.38 (-0.83% on volume of 3,223,442 shares), positioning the stock -3.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($272.29) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($279.44). Across its 52-week range of $228.63 to $384.98, CEG sits at the 21.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($239.03 to $285.73).
Why CEG Stock slipped -0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 40x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CEG scores 57 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 13.4%; FCF yield 1.37%); Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.71; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.13; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the pillar mix suggests the strongest support comes from balance-sheet quality and a respectable return on invested capital, while the weakest readings are institutional flow and macro-regime fit. The thin FCF yield of 1.37% indicates that the current share price already embeds substantial expectations about future cash generation; investors would be paying for growth that the trailing cash engine does not yet demonstrate. The low beta of 0.71 implies lower sensitivity to broad market moves, which can be a defensive attribute, but the macro-regime pillar scored only 8/20, signaling that the sector-level sensitivities captured in the rating are not favorable. Upside drivers would need to come from execution on contracted cash flows; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the elevated P/E multiples shown in the Snapshot.
Constellation Energy Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, classified under Electric Utilities: Central. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $93.7B. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the company's named relationship with Microsoft involves a 20-year power purchase agreement for carbon-free nuclear electricity tied to the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1 (Crane Clean Energy Center), supplying PJM baseload power. The source data does not provide a detailed breakdown of revenue by customer type or product line beyond this disclosure.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $22663.0M | $3086.0M | $2319.0M | N/A | $1288.0M | $3641.0M | $7250.0M |
| FY 2024 | $18964.0M | $4352.0M | $3749.0M | N/A | $-5029.0M | $3022.0M | $7384.0M |
| FY 2023 | $20841.0M | $1610.0M | $1623.0M | N/A | $-6238.8M | N/A | $12064.7M |
Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 13.6% and net margin is 10.2% per the market data section, with gross margin reported as 0%. Free cash flow moved from negative in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to positive at $1288.0M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.13, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt declined from $12064.7M in FY 2023 to $7250.0M in FY 2025.
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Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Constellation Energy report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Welcome to the CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (40.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CEG, but look at what you are paying: 40.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Constellation Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $264.58 (52-wk range $228.63 - $384.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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