Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$262.38 -0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.49

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $93.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CEG compare to SO and AEP in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CEG?
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Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.49 (-0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$404 Bull$261 Base$204 Bear
📬 FREE CEG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CEG SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($1.29B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$295.79-12.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$258.84+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$258.98+1.3% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$262.38-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CEG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CEG faces multiple-compression risk if 40.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($272.29) or 200D SMA ($279.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($261.20) toward Bear Floor ($203.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$23.35 Expected Swing
$239.03 (-8.9%)Spot $262.38$285.73 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CEG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $6.55 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19.5%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$22.66B$2.32B$1.29B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$18.96B$3.75B-$5.03B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$20.84B$1.62B-$6.24B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CEG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.27%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $258.1H $264.6L $258.1C $262.4VOL 2.72M
RES: $309.7SUP: $248.8SMA50: $272.3SMA200: $279.4
$335.8$306.8$277.7$248.7$219.6RES $309.7SUP $248.8$262.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CEG)

Utilities Rank #40 of 117 ⚔️ SO vs CEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CEG vs. SO, AEP, D, ETR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($93.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CEG at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CEG ACTIVE
Constellation Energy Corporation
D+ 57/100 40.4x — 13.4% -0.83% $93.74B Benchmark Subject
SO
Southern Company
D 48/100 24.6x — 6.9% +0.77% $106.97B /so-vs-ceg →
AEP
American Electric Power Company Inc.
C 63/100 17.0x — 5.6% +0.67% $70.43B /aep-vs-ceg →
D
Dominion Energy Inc.
C 65/100 19.1x — 5.5% +2.30% $57.27B /d-vs-ceg →
ETR
Entergy Corporation
D 46/100 20.5x — 5.9% +0.13% $51.32B /etr-vs-ceg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001868275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported GAAP revenue of $22.66B (+19.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.96B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.32B, operating cash flow of $4.24B, and free cash flow of $1.29B (+125.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CEG closed FY2025 with $57.25B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $22.66B $2.32B $4.24B $1.29B $57.25B $7.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.96B $3.75B -$2.46B -$5.03B $52.93B $7.38B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.84B $1.62B -$5.30B -$6.24B $51.56B $12.06B

3. CEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CEG compare to SO and AEP in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CEG?

Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CEG last traded at $262.38 (-0.83% on volume of 3,223,442 shares), positioning the stock -3.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($272.29) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($279.44). Across its 52-week range of $228.63 to $384.98, CEG sits at the 21.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($239.03 to $285.73).

CEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CEG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CEG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.9% event move for CEG, spanning a range between $239.03 and $285.73.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CEG — Constellation Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CEG scores 57 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 13.4%; FCF yield 1.37%); Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.71; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.13; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar mix suggests the strongest support comes from balance-sheet quality and a respectable return on invested capital, while the weakest readings are institutional flow and macro-regime fit. The thin FCF yield of 1.37% indicates that the current share price already embeds substantial expectations about future cash generation; investors would be paying for growth that the trailing cash engine does not yet demonstrate. The low beta of 0.71 implies lower sensitivity to broad market moves, which can be a defensive attribute, but the macro-regime pillar scored only 8/20, signaling that the sector-level sensitivities captured in the rating are not favorable. Upside drivers would need to come from execution on contracted cash flows; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the elevated P/E multiples shown in the Snapshot.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$264.58$93.74B40.433.917.46.550.52%0.71$228.63 - $384.9813.4%

Business

Constellation Energy Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, classified under Electric Utilities: Central. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $93.7B. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the company's named relationship with Microsoft involves a 20-year power purchase agreement for carbon-free nuclear electricity tied to the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1 (Crane Clean Energy Center), supplying PJM baseload power. The source data does not provide a detailed breakdown of revenue by customer type or product line beyond this disclosure.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$22663.0M$3086.0M$2319.0MN/A$1288.0M$3641.0M$7250.0M
FY 2024$18964.0M$4352.0M$3749.0MN/A$-5029.0M$3022.0M$7384.0M
FY 2023$20841.0M$1610.0M$1623.0MN/A$-6238.8MN/A$12064.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 13.6% and net margin is 10.2% per the market data section, with gross margin reported as 0%. Free cash flow moved from negative in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to positive at $1288.0M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.13, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt declined from $12064.7M in FY 2023 to $7250.0M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's EPS for the reported fiscal periods, given that EPS is shown as N/A across FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is recorded as N/A?
  • How does the 1.37% FCF yield reconcile with the FY 2025 FCF of $1288.0M relative to the current market capitalization?
  • What is the status of the NRC licensing review and the PJM interconnection upgrades that the Microsoft PPA timeline depends on?
  • What drove the FY 2024 negative FCF of $-5029.0M, and what is the expected trajectory of capital expenditures?

CEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CEG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $262.38?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CEG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CEG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $285.75 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CEG (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $264.58?

Welcome to the CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (40.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $211.66 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $264.58

Pump the brakes on CEG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CEG, but look at what you are paying: 40.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Constellation Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $325.43 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $264.58

CEG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $264.58 (52-wk range $228.63 - $384.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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