What is CAR's 12-month stock price target?

Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $103.49 (-7.2% from $111.52), with a bull-case target of $890.09 and a bear-case floor of $80.72.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CAR / forecast

R (62) UHAL (33) HTZ (42) MRT (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is CAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CAR D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 42/100.

$111.52 +3.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.96

Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.81B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Avis Budget Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $111.52 (+3.27% 1D, market cap $3.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAR ranks #696 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAR compare to R and UHAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Rental/Leasing Companies), CAR carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, R (Ryder System Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $10.80B) and UHAL (U-Haul Holding Company) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 132.8x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $11.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, R leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while R leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAR?

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Per CAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000723612), Avis Budget Group Inc. generated $11.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), -$889.0M in net income, and $3.30B in free cash flow against $31.26B in total assets and $6.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.97 (+0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CAR SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.3% FCF Margin ($3.30B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.9) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$107.60-4.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$102.45-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$102.21+9.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$111.52-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAR currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($115.47) and Max Pain ($117.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $890.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CAR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $111.52: 89.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $80.72

$7,238

$-2,762 (-27.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $103.49

$9,280

$-720 (-7.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $890.09

$79,814

+$69,814 (+698.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$108	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$837	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$92	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAR)

✓Walkthrough of CAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $108.2H $111.5L $108.0C $111.5VOL 309.2K

RES: $112.1SUP: $79.32SMA50: $115.5SMA200: $153.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAR Butterfly Map → + Track CAR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #696 of 1009 ⚔️ R vs CAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAR vs. R, UHAL, HTZ, MRT)

Industry: Rental/Leasing Companies (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) ranks #696 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #321 by equity capitalization ($3.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, R leads on earnings valuation at 21.5x trailing P/E, while R leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. R currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with CAR at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CAR ACTIVE Avis Budget Group Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+3.27%	$3.81B	Benchmark Subject
R Ryder System Inc.	C	62/100	21.5x	—	5.7%	+1.07%	$10.80B	/r-vs-car →
UHAL U-Haul Holding Company	E	33/100	132.8x	67.6%	5.1%	+3.72%	$11.18B	/uhal-vs-car →
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings Inc	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+1.56%	$684.4M	/htz-vs-car →
MRT Marti Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	61.1%	-35.0%	+1.45%	$178.1M	/mrt-vs-car →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000723612 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) reported GAAP revenue of $11.65B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.79B , and -3.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$889.0M, operating cash flow of $3.30B, and free cash flow of $3.30B (-6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAR closed FY2025 with $31.26B in total assets against $6.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$11.65B	-$889.0M	$3.30B	$3.30B	$31.26B	$6.05B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$11.79B	-$1.82B	$3.52B	$3.52B	$29.04B	$5.37B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$12.01B	$1.63B	$3.83B	$3.83B	—	—

3. CAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CAR compare to R and UHAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAR?

Where is CAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAR last traded at $111.52 (+3.27% on volume of 713,769 shares), positioning the stock -3.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($115.47) and -27.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($153.48). Across its 52-week range of $85.96 to $847.70, CAR sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($101.48 to $121.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: CAR RQD Cockpit CAR 12M Forecast CAR Earnings & Move CAR Dividends & DRIP CAR Insiders & 13F CAR Whale Options CAR Profit Sankey CAR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAR — Avis Budget Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $111.52 (+3.27% 1D, market capitalization $3.81B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Avis Budget Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Rental/Leasing Companies industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $3.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) reported $11.65B in annual revenue (up from $11.79B in FY2024, -1.2% YoY) and -$889.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.01B revenue, $1.63B net income) through FY2025, CAR scaled operating cash flow to $3.30B and free cash flow to $3.30B, backed by $31.26B in total assets against $6.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $85.96 – $847.70 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation is limited to the Consumer Discretionary / Rental/Leasing Companies classification. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order bottleneck analysis is not supported by this dataset.

Key Question #1: Can CAR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Rental/Leasing Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.65B and free cash flow of $3.30B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.05B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

How Risky Is Avis Budget Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Bloomberg.com • 1d ago

Avis Wipeout Erases Last Vestige of 600% Short Squeeze Rally

Bloomberg.com report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Trefis • 1d ago

Does The Fall In Avis Budget Stock Change Anything?

Trefis report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

Avis Budget(CAR) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

A Look at Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) After 3.6% Decline -- GF V

GuruFocus report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Avis Budget Group Shares Erase Short-Squeeze Rally

marketscreener.com report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST 24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago

Hertz Rebounds 16% From a Record Low; Avis Climbs 5%, Ryder Ticks Up

24/7 Wall St. report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Does Avis (CAR) Prioritizing Debt Cuts Over Fleet Size Change Its Profitability-First Investment Case?

Yahoo Finance report covering Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $111.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $130.67 (+21.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock posted a +6.31% move and sits well above its $85.96 52-week low while the company reported $3.30B in FY 2025 free cash flow

The stock posted a +6.31% move and sits well above its $85.96 52-week low while the company reported $3.30B in FY 2025 free cash flow.. When you look under the hood at CAR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $847.70. My 12M target is $130.67.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $107.99 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $82.07 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $107.99

The company posted net losses of -$1.82B in FY 2024 and -$889.0M in FY 2025 with 0% ROIC and a 4/9 Piotroski F-Score.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CAR: The company posted net losses of -$1.82B in FY 2024 and -$889.0M in FY 2025 with 0% ROIC and a 4/9 Piotroski F-Score.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Rental/Leasing Companies triggers a 12-15% air pocket.